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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Predictions

March 29 05:00 PM (Final)
FDSS Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Miami Heat
 118 135
Indiana Pacers
See Full Schedule

MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Heat and Pacers have a rivalry rooted in the late ’90s and early 2000s, marked by intense playoff battles and contrasting identities. Miami thrives on a fast-paced, perimeter-oriented game, while Indiana has historically favored a tough, physical style that emphasizes defense and rebounding. In their all-time record, the Heat have had the edge, but the Pacers often hold a strong home court advantage, especially in their arena, which can be a tough environment for visitors. Betting trends suggest that when these two meet, the total points often trend lower due to Indiana’s defensive approach, while Miami’s ability to score in transition can create volatility. Overall, understanding these enduring styles and historical dynamics can offer insight into betting angles when these teams clash.
POST-GAME GET EDGE PICKS
Miami Heat
sportsbook icon
-8.0
Indiana Pacers
sportsbook icon
+8.5
Final Score
118
–
135
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Miami Heat
sportsbook icon
-8.0
Indiana Pacers
sportsbook icon
+8.5
Final Score
118
–
135
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Miami Heat
sportsbook icon
-8.0
Indiana Pacers
sportsbook icon
+8.5
Final Score
118
–
135
Confidence Level: 75%

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MIAMI HEAT VS INDIANA PACERS MONEYLINE

When the Heat and Pacers face off, you’re looking at a clash of styles. Miami thrives on a tough, defensive approach, while Indiana often looks to push the pace and stretch the floor. Historically, the Heat have had the edge in this matchup, but the Pacers at home can be a different beast, especially with the crowd behind them. Betting lines tend to reflect this home court advantage, but keep an eye on how the Heat’s grit can shift the dynamics, especially in tight games.See Game Picks

MIAMI HEAT VS INDIANA PACERS POINT SPREAD

When the Heat and Pacers face off, it’s a clash of styles. Miami tends to play a tough, defensive game, while Indiana often relies on a more balanced approach with a mix of perimeter shooting and inside presence. Historically, the Heat have had the edge in the series record, but the Pacers’ home court can sway the spread, especially given their familiarity with each other in the Eastern Conference. Bettors should keep an eye on how the line moves, as this rivalry often tightens up in close games, reflecting the teams’ enduring strengths and weaknesses.See Game Picks

MIAMI HEAT VS INDIANA PACERS OVER/UNDER

When the Heat and Pacers face off, you’re looking at a matchup defined by contrasting styles. Miami often thrives on a gritty, defensive approach, while Indiana has historically leaned towards a more balanced offensive attack. This rivalry has seen a fair share of low-scoring battles, especially in Indiana, where the Pacers’ home court can stifle pace. Over the years, the totals have tended to lean under when these two meet, particularly when both teams are locked in defensively, making it a classic case of style versus style in the over/under betting landscape.See Game Picks

TRENDS

MIA Logo  MIA IND Logo  IND
42-39
All
18-62
25-15
Home
11-29
17-24
Away
7-33
27-16
as Fav
4-9
15-23
as Dog
14-53
44-35
ATS
38-42
22-18
ATS Home
23-17
22-17
ATS Away
15-25
46-34
O/U
40-40
22-17
O/U Home
20-20
24-17
O/U Away
20-20
RESULT
WIN 117-143
OPPONENT
Hawks logo ATL Atlanta Hawks
DATE
04/12
SPREAD
+6.5
O/U
o243.5
RESULT
WIN 140-117
OPPONENT
Wizards logo WAS Washington Wizards
DATE
04/10
SPREAD
-18.0
O/U
o250.5
RESULT
LOSE 114-128
OPPONENT
Raptors logo TOR Toronto Raptors
DATE
04/09
SPREAD
+4.0
O/U
o236.5
RESULT
LOSE 95-121
OPPONENT
Raptors logo TOR Toronto Raptors
DATE
04/07
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u239.5
RESULT
WIN 136-152
OPPONENT
Wizards logo WAS Washington Wizards
DATE
04/04
SPREAD
—
O/U
—
RESULT
LOSE 133-121
OPPONENT
Pistons logo DET Detroit Pistons
DATE
04/12
SPREAD
+12.0
O/U
o228.5
RESULT
LOSE 105-94
OPPONENT
76ers logo PHI Philadelphia 76ers
DATE
04/10
SPREAD
+14.5
O/U
u234.5
RESULT
WIN 123-94
OPPONENT
Nets logo BKN Brooklyn Nets
DATE
04/09
SPREAD
-2.5
O/U
u224.0
RESULT
LOSE 124-104
OPPONENT
Timberwolves logo MIN Minnesota Timberwolves
DATE
04/07
SPREAD
+12.5
O/U
u229.5
RESULT
LOSE 108-117
OPPONENT
Cavaliers logo CLE Cleveland Cavaliers
DATE
04/05
SPREAD
+17.5
O/U
u237.5
WHO WON
Heat logo MIA
RESULT
132-142
DATE
11/30
WHO WON
Pacers logo IND
RESULT
144-129
DATE
12/02
WHO WON
Pacers logo IND
RESULT
115-117
DATE
04/07
WHO WON
Heat logo MIA
RESULT
124-111
DATE
11/15
WHO WON
Pacers logo IND
RESULT
110-119
DATE
11/17

BOX SCORE: NBA TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

MIA Logo MIA IND Logo IND
118.00
Points per Game
135.00
46.80
Field Goal Percentage
45.80
54.20
2-Point Field Goal Percentage
53.30
36.10
3-Point Field Goal Percentage
35.60
79.20
Free Throw Percentage
77.60
10.00
Offensive Rebounds
3.00
32.00
Defensive Rebounds
39.00
29.00
Assists per Game
36.00
4.00
Blocked Shots
5.00
7.00
Turnovers
11.00
STARTERS
FG%
PPG
RPG
APG
J. Richardson SG
28.90
4.00
1.50
1.50
T. Herro SG
38.90
31.00
3.00
4.00
P. Larsson SG
50.00
15.00
5.00
3.00
D. Mitchell PG
50.00
12.00
3.00
8.00
G. Madsen SG
33.30
4.50
2.50
2.00
K. Jakucionis PG
0.00
5.00
0.00
1.00
N. Powell SG
55.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
D. Smith PG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
T. Keels SG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
T. Rozier PG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
J. Young PG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
A. Wiggins SF
55.60
15.00
6.00
5.00
J. Jaquez Jr. SF
35.70
17.00
8.00
2.00
D. Dainja PF
75.00
4.50
2.00
0.00
S. Fontecchio SF
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
M. Gardner SF
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
K. Johnson PF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N. Jović SF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
B. Adebayo C
100.00
15.00
12.00
3.00
K. Ware C
41.70
5.00
3.00
2.00
V. Goldin C
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
Terry Rozier
POS
PG
STATUS
Out
INJURY
Not With Team
Notes
Rozier is not with the team and will not take the court for the Heat.
full roster and injuries
STARTERS
FG%
PPG
RPG
APG
G. Mathews SG
40.40
5.20
1.13
0.67
M. Morris PG
35.00
3.00
1.17
1.50
A. Nembhard PG
44.20
15.00
3.00
10.00
Q. Jackson SG
47.00
10.00
3.00
1.00
T. McConnell PG
53.80
15.00
2.00
9.00
E. Thompson SG
37.80
3.00
1.00
0.00
D. Wright PG
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
K. Jones PG
40.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
T. Peter SG
38.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
T. Haliburton PG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
C. Martin SF
20.00
1.75
3.50
0.50
K. Brown PF
46.90
18.00
4.00
5.00
P. Siakam PF
48.40
30.00
11.00
6.00
B. Sheppard SF
43.40
5.00
2.00
1.00
M. Potter PF
51.50
21.00
5.00
0.00
J. Johnson PF
60.00
1.40
0.20
0.40
J. Slawson PF
44.20
0.00
4.00
1.00
O. Toppin PF
50.30
12.00
2.00
3.00
J. Furphy SF
47.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
A. Nesmith PF
41.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
J. Walker PF
41.90
0.00
0.00
0.00
G. McGlothan PF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
J. Wiseman C
60.00
3.25
2.00
0.75
J. Huff C
47.60
6.00
5.00
0.00
I. Zubac C
59.80
0.00
0.00
0.00

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
Johnny Furphy
POS
SF
STATUS
Out
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Furphy is recovering from a right knee torn ACL and is expected to miss the start of the 2026-27 season.
full roster and injuries

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