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Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions

July 27 07:10 PM (Start in 2 Hours)
CLEG Great American Ball Park

Guardians vs. Reds Matchup Overview

The Cleveland Guardians visit the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on July 27th, 2026, for a 7:10 pm matchup. Check out the latest betting odds, with the Guardians at +146 and the Reds at -173 on the moneyline, along with the spread and over-under options. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best bets for this game. Cleveland comes in with a record of 54-53, while Cincinnati sits at 48-55. Chase DeLauter has been a standout for the Guardians, hitting .282 with 11 home runs and 50 RBIs. For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz is leading the charge, boasting a .278 average and 18 home runs. José Ramírez is out with a fractured hamate bone, which could impact Cleveland’s lineup. The Guardians have won two of the last three matchups against the Reds, but both teams will be looking to gain momentum as they push toward the postseason.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Monday, July 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Guardians -1.5 (-142) (+1.5 (-140 Hard Rock)), Reds -1.5 (+119) (-1.5 (+118 Hard Rock))
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 (-114/-107) (Over 8.5 (-112 ), Under 8.5 (-105 Hard Rock))
  • Moneyline Odds: Guardians +146 (+146 (BetMGM Sportsbook)), Reds -173 (-170 (Hard Rock))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Guardians a win probability of 39%, while the Reds have a win probability of 61%

The Guardians and Reds have a long-standing rivalry that reflects their contrasting styles. Historically, the Guardians emphasize strong pitching and defense, while the Reds lean towards aggressive hitting. In their head-to-head matchups, the Guardians often capitalize on their pitching depth, making them tough to beat, especially in Cincinnati’s hitter-friendly park, which could impact betting lines significantly.

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Guardians 4-3 Reds with a confidence score of 65%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

When the Guardians and Reds face off, you’re looking at two teams that have different identities. The Guardians often rely on solid pitching and a knack for small ball, while the Reds typically showcase a more aggressive offensive style. Historically, the Reds have had the upper hand at home, but the Guardians’ ability to grind out games can shift the money line, especially in close contests where every run counts.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Moneyline

The Guardians face the Reds in Cincinnati, where the home team holds a slight edge in the moneyline odds. With José Ramírez out, Cleveland’s offense could struggle against a Reds lineup featuring Elly De La Cruz, making this a matchup worth considering for bettors looking at the moneyline.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Run Line

The Cleveland Guardians, with a road run line of -1.5, face the Cincinnati Reds, who have struggled at home this season. Given that José Ramírez is out for the Guardians, the Reds could capitalize on this absence, making it a tight contest. Watch for how both lineups perform against the opposing pitchers, as that will likely influence the run line outcome.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Over/Under

The Guardians and Reds are set to clash, with both teams averaging around 8.5 runs per game in their recent matchups. With José Ramírez sidelined for Cleveland, the Guardians’ offense could be tested against Cincinnati’s lineup led by Elly De La Cruz. The effectiveness of both starting pitchers will play a crucial role in whether this game hits the total.

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54-53
All
49-55
27-26
Home
22-28
27-27
Away
27-27
32-33
as Fav
26-18
22-20
as Dog
23-37
50-57
ATS
54-50
21-32
ATS Home
20-30
29-25
ATS Away
34-20
50-57
O/U
56-45
27-26
O/U Home
27-23
23-31
O/U Away
29-22
RESULT
LOSE 7-1
DATE
07/18
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
WIN 5-6
DATE
04/05
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
LOSE 0-1
DATE
07/26
SPREAD
O/U
u7.0
RESULT
LOSE 0-3
DATE
07/25
SPREAD
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
LOSE 3-11
DATE
07/24
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
LOSE 8-1
DATE
05/23
SPREAD
O/U
u9.5
RESULT
WIN 5-3
DATE
07/26
SPREAD
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
LOSE 0-7
DATE
07/25
SPREAD
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 4-2
DATE
07/24
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 5-3
DATE
07/22
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o8.0
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
3-10
DATE
05/17
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
4-7
DATE
05/16
WHO WON
Reds logo CIN
RESULT
7-6
DATE
05/15
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
2-11
DATE
06/11
WHO WON
Reds logo CIN
RESULT
1-0
DATE
06/10

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.309
On Base Percentage
0.308
0.371
Slugging Percentage
0.397
3.75
Earned Run Average
4.53
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.27
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.42
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.268
9
49
97
0.282
11
50
94
0.248
1
18
82
0.209
11
32
62
0.239
9
33
67
0.206
6
28
52
0.174
11
33
41
0.200
5
19
40
0.184
6
13
26
0.281
4
17
39
0.252
5
10
28
0.239
1
11
21
0.095
0
2
2
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
4-7
4.60
1.45
82
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
10-5
3.78
1.10
156
8-6
2.59
1.04
122
4-10
3.89
1.18
97
8-6
4.02
1.46
116
4-7
4.60
1.45
82
3-1
2.63
1.06
67
2-2
4.40
1.40
47
5-2
1.80
0.88
40
1-2
2.94
1.34
32
1-4
3.24
1.32
28
2-1
4.91
1.46
33
3-2
3.56
1.32
50
0-0
5.40
1.60
9
0-0
13.50
3.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.253
21
76
100
0.238
16
40
81
0.278
18
47
94
0.234
17
44
64
0.207
14
39
56
0.190
8
25
51
0.244
8
28
61
0.256
12
33
57
0.171
3
11
34
0.193
6
13
28
0.244
0
4
30
0.256
3
10
20
0.000
0
0
0
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
12-1
2.42
1.11
124
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
5-6
3.85
1.39
94
12-1
2.42
1.11
124
5-9
4.53
1.38
88
3-7
5.61
1.57
65
3-2
4.60
1.47
50
4-4
2.66
1.30
43
1-6
4.32
1.37
46
1-0
2.25
0.97
28
2-1
5.10
1.37
26
1-2
4.23
1.12
13
1-0
3.86
1.57
20
2-1
5.31
1.23
21
1-2
2.94
0.98
16
0-0
14.40
3.00
1
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster