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France vs England Third-Place Odds (2026)

Sport
July 15, 2026
France Vs England Third Place 2026

France vs England odds frame the 2026 World Cup third-place match on Saturday, July 18. The bronze final kicks off at Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium at 5:00 p.m. ET. France lost 0-2 to Spain, while England fell 1-2 to Argentina in the semifinals.

How the market prices France against England

No deep prediction market covers the bronze final, so de-vigged sportsbook consensus sets the read. FanDuel prices France at +100 in its three-way market for July 18. FanDuel prices a draw at +260 and England at +260. Those FanDuel prices imply a 47% win probability for France after de-vigging. The same method implies 26% for England and 26% for the draw. DraftKings agrees, listing France at +105 and England at +255 in regulation.

France reached the semifinals by beating Morocco 2-0 in the quarterfinal. England advanced past Norway 2-1 after extra time in its quarterfinal. Kylian Mbappe leads the 2026 Golden Boot race with eight goals. Harry Kane has led England’s attack throughout the knockout rounds. France and England last met at the 2022 World Cup quarterfinal.

France defender William Saliba injured himself in the semifinal loss to Spain. Saliba faces a fitness race for the bronze final, per Sports Mole. England carried a defensive injury list through the knockout rounds. Mbappe gets his final chance at the Golden Boot, with Messi in Sunday’s final. Both managers may rotate squads for a third-place match with no title stake.

A win earns France the bronze medal and a third-place World Cup finish. A win lifts England above its fourth-place finish from the 2018 World Cup. The bronze final carries no trophy, so managers often prioritize player fitness. Market pricing still favors France, per the sportsbook consensus for July 18.

France opened as the market favorite at +100 to +105 across major books. England sits near +255 to +260 in the same three-way markets. Sportsbooks price the draw around +260, close to England’s number. Any Saliba or Mbappe lineup news could move France’s price before Saturday’s kickoff.

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Lines.com may earn commissions from some links on this page. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Kalshi holds CFTC-regulated exchange designation.

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Odds come from FanDuel and DraftKings, framed as de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Fixture and injury details come from FIFA, ESPN, and Sports Mole reporting.