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USA vs Bosnia Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport
June 30, 2026
Usa Vs Bosnia Odds And Prediction 2026 1

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Kalshi holds a CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Lines.com earns affiliate commissions from some links on this page.

USA vs Bosnia odds frame a Round of 32 tie at Levi’s Stadium on July 1, 2026. USA won Group D with two wins and one draw. Bosnia and Herzegovina reached the knockouts as a third-place team.

Market backs the USA over Bosnia and Herzegovina in Round of 32

De-vigged FanDuel odds assign the USA a 69.8% market-implied win probability for July 1. The same consensus prices a draw at 19.7% and Bosnia at 10.5%. FanDuel listed the USA at -280 before the de-vig adjustment. The USA sits at -750 in the FanDuel to-advance market. DraftKings posted the USA at -250 with Bosnia at +750.

The USA won Group D with a 2-0-1 record. The USA scored eight goals across the group stage. Bosnia and Herzegovina finished third in Group B at 1-1-1. Bosnia conceded in 11 of a recent 12-match span. The USA advanced as one of twelve group winners.

Christian Pulisic returned to full fitness after a calf issue. Manager Mauricio Pochettino leans on Pulisic and striker Folarin Balogun. Captain Edin Dzeko has not scored yet at the tournament. Ermin Mahmic scored 2 Bosnia goals across 3 group matches. Winger Kerim Alajbegovic scored for Bosnia against Qatar.

The winner advances to the 2026 World Cup Round of 16. A USA win would extend the co-host run at home. A Bosnia upset would eliminate a tournament co-host early. A draw pushes the tie toward extra time and penalties. The USA plays at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.

The USA enters as the Group D winner in the bracket. Bosnia qualified among the eight best third-place teams in the tournament. The USA’s 69.8% read leads a favorite-tilted three-way market. FanDuel set the total at 2.5 goals for the match. Book liquidity concentrates on the moneyline and total markets.

The USA chases a deep run as a 2026 co-host nation. Bosnia aims to extend a knockout run past the Round of 32. The 2026 World Cup expanded to 48 teams with a new Round of 32. The knockout stage runs from June 28 to July 19, 2026. The 2026 World Cup final takes place at MetLife Stadium on July 19.

Market watchers track the USA’s -280 price against the +380 draw line. An early Bosnia goal would shift live win probability quickly. The USA’s -750 advance line signals strong market confidence. Bosnia’s +800 price reflects long market-implied odds for July 1. The next matchday sends the winner into the Round of 16.

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Sources: FanDuel and DraftKings moneyline markets supplied the de-vigged probabilities. CBS Sports and ESPN reported the fixture odds and form. Yahoo Sports reported team news and lineups.