Portugal vs Croatia Odds and Prediction (2026) Sport By lines July 1, 2026 Portugal vs Croatia odds headline a 2026 World Cup Round of 32 tie at BMO Field, Toronto. Kickoff lands July 2, 2026, at 19:00 ET. A Round of 16 place awaits the winner. Market-implied odds favor Portugal over Croatia in Toronto FanDuel prices Portugal at -130 on the three-way moneyline as of July 1. De-vigged, that line implies a 54% Portugal win probability across 90 minutes. The same market implies a 27% draw and a 19% Croatia win. DraftKings and bet365 both list Portugal near -125, a matching read. Portugal sits near -235 to advance, roughly a 67% market-implied chance. Portugal reached the Round of 32 as the Group K runner-up on five points. Roberto Martinez’s side scored six goals and conceded once across three group games. A 5-0 win over Uzbekistan anchored that record. Croatia finished as the Group L runner-up on six points. Zlatko Dalic’s side opened with a 4-2 loss to England. Croatia then edged Panama 1-0 and Ghana 2-1. Cristiano Ronaldo remains central to Portugal at age 41. Ronaldo scored a brace against Uzbekistan, reaching six different World Cups with a goal. Portugal reported no significant injuries before the Croatia tie. Luka Modric captains Croatia at age 40. Modric assisted Nikola Vlasic’s winner against Ghana. Croatia also reported no serious injury concerns after the group stage. The winner advances to the Round of 16 and a quarterfinal push. FanDuel frames Portugal as the roughly 67% favorite to advance. A Croatia win would end Portugal’s title bid and Ronaldo’s sixth World Cup. A Portugal win would send Modric’s Croatia home from the tournament. Both nations last met at Euro 2016, a 1-0 Portugal win. The market watches Portugal’s midfield of Joao Neves and Vitinha against Modric and Mateo Kovacic. Croatia conceded five goals in three group games, a flagged vulnerability. Portugal’s -130 price shortened from -110 on June 27, per FanDuel. Any Modric fitness update could move the Croatia line before kickoff. Live odds could shift again once starting lineups confirm at BMO Field. Portugal vs Croatia drew heavy prediction-market interest across Polymarket and Kalshi World Cup boards. Polymarket lists the fixture among its 2026 World Cup match markets. The 90-minute total sits near 2.5 goals at major books. Ronaldo holds 143 international goals entering the knockout tie. Modric plays a sixth World Cup at age 40. Related World Cup coverage Colombia vs Portugal odds and market preview France past Sweden in the Round of 32 Mexico downs Ecuador in the Round of 32 Market-implied probabilities reflect de-vigged FanDuel and DraftKings three-way moneylines, sourced July 1, 2026. Fixture and form data draw from Yahoo Sports, FOX Sports and Al Jazeera reporting. Odds move constantly, so current prices may differ at kickoff. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Lines.com may earn affiliate commissions from partner links. Lines.com reports market-implied probabilities and does not guarantee any outcome. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Kalshi holds a CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Sports betting carries risk and is not legal everywhere.
