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Big Tech

Market of the Day
99% Yes chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
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Meta "Mango" model released by…?

June 30 11%
March 31 0%

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 1500 100%
↑ 1550 20%

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 2028 52%
75B–100B 23%

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

11% chance

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7% chance

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

70% chance

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

100% chance

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

40% chance

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount 81%
None by June 30, 2027 13%
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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

89% chance

Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

5% chance

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

7% chance