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Big Tech

Market of the Day
99% Yes chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
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Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

41% chance

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

23% chance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+ 92%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 8%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 86%
Anthropic 13%

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

D-Wave 80%
Rigetti 79%

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Earbuds/Headphones 32%
Clip-on device for clothing 24%

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

1% chance

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by…?

December 31 36%
September 30 19%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B 89%
$1T 72%
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2nd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 49%
Larry Page 38%

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

30%+ 100%
35%+ 100%

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

25% chance