T1 vs Karmine Corp Result: KC Wins 2-1 at EWC 2026

Karmine Corp defeated T1 two games to one in the T1 vs Karmine Corp semifinal at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 18, settling the prediction market. Yike delivered two match-defining engages in Game 3, earning series MVP honors and sending the French squad to the grand final.

Polymarket closed T1 as the heavy favorite, with the Game 1 Winner market resolving at 100 percent in T1’s favor after T1 claimed the opener. The match winner, however, belonged to Karmine Corp, whose bot lane and late-game execution flipped the series decisively.

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What Happened: T1 vs Karmine Corp at EWC 2026

T1 seized Game 1 through superior macro play and a decisive Baron pit fight. Karmine Corp appeared set to counter-engage and wipe T1 out, but T1 reversed the fight and closed the map cleanly from that moment forward.

Karmine Corp answered in Game 2 with a dominant bot lane performance. Caliste, KC’s bot laner, completely dismantled T1’s duo even without jungle support nearby, leaving T1 with no viable response. KC ran away with the map and leveled the series at one game apiece.

Game 3 was the tournament’s best match to that point. Karmine Corp trailed T1 in gold and experience for nearly the entire game. Yike refused to concede, landing two massive engages onto T1 in the late game that swung the momentum completely. KC’s late-game execution was sharp enough to overcome the deficit, and Karmine Corp closed the deciding map to advance.

How the Market Called It

The Game 1 Winner market on Polymarket closed at 100 percent in favor of T1 and resolved correctly. T1 did win the opener, exactly as the market priced. The broader match, however, produced the upset the overall market had not fully anticipated.

Karmine Corp entered the series as the clear underdog. The French roster was the only non-Korean team in the LoL EWC semifinals. Traders funneled more than $8.7 million in total volume through the suite of T1 vs Karmine Corp markets, reflecting the high-profile nature of the match. The Game 1 outcome confirmed what the market expected. The series result revealed how dangerous KC’s bot lane and late-game composure truly were.

Where the Big Money Landed

Large traders generated $498,101 in tracked volume over the seven days surrounding the match. Bullish positioning dominated the flow, with $269,896 in buy volume against $228,205 in sell volume.

The most notable exit came from the trader identified as suntori, who sold $228,205 worth of YES shares near the market ceiling and locked in roughly $5,400 in profit. On the buy side, wallet 0xeab3…4d7a added $71,000 at 97 cents, while 0x2c33…0563 placed $68,854 near the final price. Trader backback committed $66,666 and finished with a small gain. Wallet 0x1610…ae49 entered at 76 cents with $63,376 and absorbed the largest loss at roughly $14,200 as the price move did not break in that position’s favor before resolution.

What Is Next for Karmine Corp

Karmine Corp advance to the EWC 2026 grand final, where they will face the winner of the Gen.G versus Dplus KIA semifinal. The championship match is a best-of-five contest, with $600,000 of the $2 million prize pool going to the winner. Prediction markets for the LoL EWC 2026 grand final are live now on Lines.com. Head to the LoL Esports hub for all active markets across the tournament.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

T1

T1 won Game 1 as the market correctly priced, closing that specific outcome at 100 percent. Karmine Corp then flipped the series 2-1, with Yike and Caliste producing the performances that drove KC past the most celebrated roster in LoL.