Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees Prediction July 18

The Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees prediction favors the Dodgers at 79 percent, the clear market leader entering Saturday night’s showdown at Yankee Stadium. Shohei Ohtani is available as designated hitter despite knee inflammation, giving Los Angeles their most dangerous bat in a lineup that has carried the best record in baseball all season.

The Polymarket price on the Dodgers surged nearly 20 percent over the last 24 hours, then flattened in the last hour. The trend score of 32.50 confirms a market that settled after a sharp run-up, locking in the Dodgers at 79 percent and the New York Yankees at 21 percent. The market resolves July 26, 2026, and total volume reached $123,885, with $123,505 arriving in the last 24 hours alone.

Game Stats

• Players
• Team

Batters	AVG	HR	RBI	H
A.Pages CF	0.270	17	66	100
F.Freeman 1B	0.287	15	49	103
S.Ohtani DH	0.289	22	58	98
K.Tucker RF	0.244	7	47	81
M.Muncy 3B	0.260	18	42	77
M.Betts SS	0.232	11	31	56
T.Hernández LF	0.244	8	36	55
A.Freeland 2B	0.234	3	19	45
D.Rushing C	0.250	10	30	46
W.Smith C	0.249	6	23	43
M.Rojas SS	0.290	3	17	40
H.Kim SS	0.259	1	11	30
A.Call LF	0.250	1	16	28
T.Edman LF	0.343	1	11	24
S.Espinal 3B	0.268	1	7	15
R.Ward LF	0.218	3	12	12
C.Robinson C	0.087	0	1	2
E.Alfonzo C	0.000	0	0	0
E.Alfonzo C	0.000	0	0	0
E.Hernández 1B	1.000	1	2	4

Starting pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
E.Sheehan SP	4-6	4.81	1.24	93

Pitchers	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
Y.Yamamoto SP	9-6	2.85	0.91	106
J.Wrobleski SP	10-2	2.69	1.02	73
R.Sasaki SP	3-5	4.99	1.34	85
S.Ohtani DH	8-2	1.79	0.95	95
E.Sheehan SP	4-6	4.81	1.24	93
E.Lauer SP	4-5	4.81	1.28	47
J.Dreyer RP	4-1	2.93	0.95	46
T.Glasnow SP	3-0	2.72	0.83	49
T.Scott RP	1-3	2.50	0.76	51
E.Henriquez RP	4-1	2.29	0.94	37
W.Klein RP	3-4	2.41	1.37	43
A.Vesia RP	1-1	2.20	1.19	45
K.Hurt RP	3-1	4.88	1.40	38
B.Treinen RP	4-1	3.52	1.35	25
J.Hernández RP	0-0	8.15	1.76	15
C.Barnes SP	0-1	7.50	1.92	4
B.Stewart RP	0-0	2.79	1.03	10
P.Gervase RP	0-0	2.35	1.57	8
E.Díaz RP	1-0	10.50	2.33	10
B.Casparius RP	0-1	9.64	2.14	4
W.Mills RP	0-0	6.23	2.31	4
M.Rojas SS	0-0	13.50	2.50	0
J.Eder SP	1-0	2.25	1.00	1
B.Snell SP	0-1	12.00	2.67	5
E.Phillips RP	0-0	6.00	1.33	4
L.Knack SP	0-0	9.00	2.00	2
C.McDermott SP	0-0	7.71	1.29	1
F.Freeman 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
M.Betts SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
E.Hernández 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
M.Muncy 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
E.Alfonzo C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Hernández LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
K.Tucker RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Call LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
W.Smith C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Edman LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
S.Espinal 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
C.Robinson C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Pages CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
R.Ward LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
D.Rushing C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Freeland 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
H.Kim SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
E.Alfonzo C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0

INJURY REPORT

NAME	POS	STATUS	INJURY	NOTES
Mookie Betts	POS SS	STATUS Questionable	INJURY Wrist	Notes Betts is dealing with wrist soreness and is uncertain to take the field for the Dodgers.
Enrique Hernández	POS 1B	STATUS Out	INJURY Oblique	Notes Hernández is dealing with a left oblique tear and has been placed on the 10-day injured list. He is expected to return in early August.
Blake Treinen	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Treinen is dealing with right elbow inflammation and has been placed on the 15-day injured list.
Tyler Glasnow	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Lower Back	Notes Glasnow is dealing with lower back spasms and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Blake Snell	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Undisclosed	Notes Snell is dealing with loose bodies in his left elbow and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Edwin Díaz	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Diaz is dealing with an elbow injury and has been placed on the 60-day injured list. He is expected to return in late July.
Will Smith	POS C	STATUS Out	INJURY Neck	Notes Smith is dealing with a stiff neck and has been placed on the 10-day injured list. He is expected to return in late July for the Dodgers.
Evan Phillips	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Phillips is recovering from Tommy John surgery and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Landon Knack	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Undisclosed	Notes Knack is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Ben Casparius	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Shoulder	Notes Casparius is dealing with right shoulder inflammation and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.

full roster and injuries

Batters	AVG	HR	RBI	H
C.Bellinger LF	0.254	11	51	89
B.Rice 1B	0.282	29	68	96
J.Chisholm Jr. 2B	0.223	13	37	72
J.Caballero SS	0.246	10	35	68
T.Grisham CF	0.234	10	40	61
P.Goldschmidt 1B	0.255	15	42	62
A.Judge RF	0.248	17	38	53
R.McMahon 3B	0.215	9	26	45
A.Wells C	0.153	6	13	30
A.Rosario 3B	0.237	9	27	36
A.Volpe SS	0.246	1	13	34
J.Domínguez RF	0.235	5	11	32
G.Stanton DH	0.256	3	14	23
J.Escarra C	0.188	0	7	16
S.Jones RF	0.233	2	7	17
M.Schuemann SS	0.241	2	6	13
A.Sánchez C	0.250	0	4	8
O.Cabrera 3B	0.000	0	0	0

Starting pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
R.Weathers SP	3-7	4.15	1.24	110

Pitchers	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
C.Schlittler SP	9-5	2.05	0.94	137
W.Warren SP	7-4	4.03	1.36	96
R.Weathers SP	3-7	4.15	1.24	110
M.Fried SP	4-3	3.21	1.01	50
G.Cole SP	3-5	3.93	1.16	55
P.Blackburn RP	2-1	2.17	1.09	37
B.Headrick RP	5-1	1.52	1.16	54
C.Rodón SP	4-2	3.30	1.25	52
F.Cruz RP	4-3	2.20	1.22	51
D.Bednar RP	3-3	2.70	1.10	45
R.Yarbrough RP	2-0	4.14	1.22	27
T.Hill RP	3-2	4.50	1.11	17
C.Doval RP	3-1	5.09	1.39	35
J.Bird RP	1-1	4.50	1.37	30
L.Gil SP	1-2	6.05	1.35	9
E.Rodríguez SP	0-2	4.77	1.77	10
Y.De los Santos RP	0-0	1.04	1.39	7
A.Chivilli RP	0-0	1.17	0.91	8
B.Beck SP	0-1	9.45	1.80	4
Y.Cruz SP	0-0	0.00	0.23	6
K.Castro RP	0-0	4.50	1.00	2
M.Schuemann SS	0-0	0.00	2.00	0
P.Goldschmidt 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
G.Stanton DH	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Judge RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
C.Bellinger LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Grisham CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
R.McMahon 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Rosario 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Sánchez C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Chisholm Jr. 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Caballero SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
O.Cabrera 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Escarra C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Volpe SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Domínguez RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Wells C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Rice 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
S.Jones RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0

INJURY REPORT

NAME	POS	STATUS	INJURY	NOTES
Giancarlo Stanton	POS DH	STATUS Out	INJURY Calf	Notes Stanton is dealing with a calf strain and has been placed on the 10-day injured list.
Aaron Judge	POS RF	STATUS Out	INJURY Rib	Notes Judge is dealing with a stress fracture of his right rib and has been placed on the 10-day injured list.
Trent Grisham	POS CF	STATUS Out	INJURY Hamstring	Notes Grisham is dealing with tightness in his right hamstring and has been placed on the 10-day injured list.
Max Fried	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Fried is dealing with a left elbow bone bruise and has been placed on the 15-day injured list.
Ryan McMahon	POS 3B	STATUS Out	INJURY Ear	Notes McMahon is dealing with an ear infection and has been placed on the 10-day injured list.
David Bednar	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Personal	Notes Bednar has been placed on the paternity list and not take the field for the Yankees.

full roster and injuries

LAD

NYY

33.71

At Bats

33.13

5.18

Runs

4.77

859

Hits

761

3.99

Walks

3.80

7.83

Strikeouts

9.02

0.340

On Base Percentage

0.316

0.431

Slugging Percentage

0.423

3.52

Earned Run Average

3.38

3.46

Earned Runs

3.33

1.07

Home Runs

1.01

3.02

Walks

2.97

874

Strikeouts

842

0.09

Strikeouts Per 9 Innings

0.09

1.14

Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched

1.19

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How the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees Matchup Resolves

A Los Angeles Dodgers win secures the YES outcome on Polymarket. A New York Yankees victory resolves the market NO. The two sides stand at:

• Los Angeles Dodgers (YES): 79%
• New York Yankees (NO): 21%

The New York Yankees carry a real path to victory as the home underdog. David Bednar anchors the Yankees bullpen with roughly 18 saves and an ERA around 2.70. Aaron Boone can keep games within reach into the late innings, and if the Yankees build an early lead against a Dodgers rotation stretched thin by injuries, an upset at Yankee Stadium is entirely possible.

Market Signals and Form

The momentum composite here is a settled surge story. The Dodgers’ Polymarket price barely moved in the last hour after a 24-hour climb of nearly 20 percent, and the trend score of 32.50 confirms the market cooled rather than accelerated. Traders locked in the 79 percent level and stopped pushing, which usually means conviction is firm.

Volume reinforces that read. Nearly all of $123,885 in lifetime volume arrived in the last 24 hours, signaling urgent directional trading ahead of first pitch. Liquidity sits at $890,183, giving the market enough depth to absorb late movement without a dramatic price shift. The spread stands at -1.5 for the Dodgers, the full-game total at 8.5, and the primary first-five-innings over/under at 2.5. The MLB World Series Champion 2026 market shows a strong positive correlation with tonight’s result, as a Dodgers win boosts the championship case that already sits at 30 percent on Polymarket.

• Dodgers 24h momentum: Up nearly 20 percent, then stabilized — composite reads as a settled conviction surge
• Shohei Ohtani: Available as DH with knee inflammation managed; not pitching in this series
• Mookie Betts: Symptom-free from right oblique strain and active in the lineup
• Tanner Scott: Dodgers closer with a 2.56 ERA and 13 saves in 41 appearances, 50 strikeouts in 38.2 innings
• Polymarket volume: $123,505 in 24 hours reflects strong, fresh directional conviction

Los Angeles Dodgers Lines Analysis

The Dodgers’ case is the strongest in baseball. Los Angeles holds an 11.5-game lead in the NL West and the best overall record in the sport. Ohtani in the DH spot forces the Yankees to navigate their most dangerous hitter. Tanner Scott and a reliable late-inning bullpen provide the insurance that keeps leads locked through the seventh, eighth, and ninth. The 79 percent market price reflects that gap in overall quality.

The New York Yankees at 21 percent are not a lost cause. Bednar gives Boone a reliable closing option, and Yankee Stadium’s home atmosphere carries tangible value. Both teams remain undecided on their starting pitchers for tonight, meaning the early innings carry more uncertainty than usual and the Yankees can exploit any Dodgers bullpen inefficiency from the first frame.

• Dodgers NL West lead: 11.5 games, best record in MLB
• Ohtani status: DH role confirmed; knee inflammation rules out pitching
• Starting pitchers: Both teams TBD, raising early-inning unpredictability
• Scott ERA: 2.56 with 13 saves; Dodgers hold elite late-inning depth
• Bednar ERA: Approximately 2.70 with around 18 saves; Yankees bullpen is competitive

The concentration of $123,885 in total volume almost entirely within the last 24 hours reflects decisive, directional trader conviction. The Dodgers’ roster depth, standings lead, and bullpen quality all reinforce the market’s current read heading into first pitch tonight.

LINES VERDICT

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers carry the best record in baseball into Yankee Stadium, with Ohtani healthy at DH and Tanner Scott ready to close, and the market settled firmly in their favor after a surge of fresh trader conviction.