Mets vs. Phillies NRFI Result: No Run First Inning Confirmed

The New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies NRFI market settled YES, confirming that neither team scored in the first inning and resolving one of the sharpest-priced first-inning propositions of the 2025-26 MLB season. The first inning came and went without a run crossing the plate, and Polymarket closed the YES outcome at 100 percent as the market resolved in full. Traders who backed NRFI early captured the full payout as the scoreless frame delivered exactly what the market had priced.

Polymarket closed NRFI at 100 percent probability, reflecting a fully resolved YES outcome. The market correctly favored the no-run scenario, and over $1 million in total volume stood behind that read — a sign of serious trader conviction on this first-inning prop.

Game Stats

• Players
• Team

Batters	AVG	HR	RBI	H
B.Bichette SS	0.253	10	51	97
C.Benge RF	0.263	11	37	94
B.Baty 3B	0.224	5	32	66
M.Semien 2B	0.214	9	29	62
J.Soto LF	0.292	21	51	81
M.Vientos 1B	0.211	11	35	50
F.Alvarez C	0.259	11	24	55
A.Ewing CF	0.274	7	25	55
L.Torrens C	0.216	2	18	35
F.Lindor SS	0.210	5	12	33
J.Young 1B	0.245	6	18	35
T.Taylor CF	0.215	6	17	26
M.Melendez DH	0.192	4	11	23
L.Robert Jr. CF	0.224	2	8	19
J.Polanco 1B	0.169	1	3	13
Z.Short SS	0.140	0	2	7
R.Mauricio SS	0.180	1	2	9
E.Wagaman 1B	0.176	2	4	6
A.Ibáñez 3B	0.087	0	5	2
H.Senger C	0.133	1	2	2
T.Pham LF	0.000	0	0	0
V.Bruján SS	0.091	0	1	1
N.Morabito LF	0.000	0	0	0

Starting pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
S.Manaea RP	2-4	4.56	1.32	74

Pitchers	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
N.McLean SP	6-6	3.52	1.12	125
F.Peralta SP	5-8	4.66	1.44	104
S.Manaea RP	2-4	4.56	1.32	74
C.Scott SP	3-1	2.87	1.22	72
C.Holmes SP	4-4	2.39	1.10	45
H.Brazobán RP	4-2	2.70	1.07	44
T.Myers RP	0-2	6.26	1.39	33
L.Weaver RP	2-1	2.03	0.83	43
K.Senga SP	0-7	8.70	1.75	47
C.Pérez RP	3-3	5.75	1.56	32
B.Raley RP	4-4	2.02	1.15	37
A.Warren RP	1-3	4.63	1.49	37
D.Williams RP	3-2	4.68	1.65	45
A.Minter RP	1-1	1.42	0.84	17
Z.Thornton SP	0-1	2.60	0.92	15
J.Pintaro RP	0-0	5.11	0.73	12
J.Tong SP	1-1	3.60	1.50	7
J.Gerber RP	0-0	4.32	1.20	8
C.Edwards Jr. RP	0-0	1.50	1.17	11
D.Duarte RP	0-0	0.00	0.40	3
M.Seelinger RP	0-1	31.50	4.50	2
X.Curry SP	0-0	6.75	1.50	1
Z.Short SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
G.Zuñiga RP	0-0	0.00	1.00	1
L.Torrens C	0-0	27.00	6.00	0
J.Polanco 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
M.Semien 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Pham LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
F.Lindor SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Ibáñez 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Soto LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Taylor CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Bichette SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
L.Robert Jr. CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
M.Melendez DH	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
M.Vientos 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
V.Bruján SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
R.Mauricio SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
F.Alvarez C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Young 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Baty 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
H.Senger C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
E.Wagaman 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
N.Morabito LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Ewing CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
C.Benge RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0

INJURY REPORT

NAME	POS	STATUS	INJURY	NOTES
Jorge Polanco	POS 1B	STATUS Out	INJURY Achilles	Notes Polanco is dealing with achilles tendinitis and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Marcus Semien	POS 2B	STATUS Out	INJURY Hip Flexor	Notes Semien is dealing with a left hip flexor strain and has been placed on the 10-day injured list. He is expected to return in late July.
Clay Holmes	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Leg	Notes Holmes is dealing with a fractured tibia and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Luis Robert Jr.	POS CF	STATUS Out	INJURY Back	Notes Robert Jr. is dealing with a lumbar spine disc herniation and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Joey Gerber	POS RP	STATUS Questionable	INJURY Undisclosed	Notes Gerber is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mets.

full roster and injuries

Batters	AVG	HR	RBI	H
T.Turner SS	0.236	11	34	92
K.Schwarber DH	0.254	32	59	90
B.Harper 1B	0.261	20	57	90
B.Marsh LF	0.297	15	46	102
A.Bohm 3B	0.213	11	47	73
B.Stott 2B	0.247	7	42	80
J.Crawford CF	0.260	2	21	70
J.Realmuto C	0.208	7	33	48
A.García RF	0.195	7	21	45
E.Sosa 2B	0.218	5	25	32
D.Hill RF	0.258	7	16	34
R.Marchán C	0.106	2	6	9
G.Rincones Jr. RF	0.171	2	6	12
F.Reyes LF	0.158	1	2	6
G.Stubbs C	0.179	0	2	5
O.Kemp LF	0.080	0	0	2
D.Moore 2B	0.000	0	0	0
S.Berroa RF	0.143	0	1	1

Starting pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
J.Luzardo SP	8-4	3.51	1.22	136

Pitchers	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
C.Sánchez SP	11-4	2.62	1.19	144
J.Luzardo SP	8-4	3.51	1.22	136
A.Nola SP	3-7	5.68	1.45	108
Z.Wheeler SP	10-1	2.13	0.89	108
A.Painter SP	1-8	7.06	1.66	53
T.Mayza RP	2-3	3.59	1.08	43
O.Kerkering RP	6-0	2.43	1.16	41
J.Alvarado RP	3-3	6.82	1.73	47
J.Duran RP	1-3	1.38	0.92	50
J.Bowlan RP	2-0	2.84	1.07	38
B.Keller RP	2-1	4.02	1.34	32
T.Banks RP	0-4	7.14	2.00	32
C.Shugart RP	2-0	4.97	1.35	34
T.Walker SP	1-4	9.13	2.07	17
A.Rangel RP	0-2	4.19	1.40	22
K.Backhus RP	1-0	5.87	1.57	15
S.Johnson RP	1-0	6.75	1.58	16
Z.Pop RP	0-0	3.68	1.09	6
M.Lazar RP	0-0	7.11	1.26	4
L.Trivino RP	0-0	15.00	2.83	7
N.Hoffman SP	0-0	3.86	1.93	2
G.Stubbs C	0-0	5.40	1.50	0
D.Moore 2B	0-0	5.40	1.20	0
J.Realmuto C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Harper 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
K.Schwarber DH	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Turner SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
D.Hill RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
R.Marchán C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
E.Sosa 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Marsh LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Bohm 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.García RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Stott 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
F.Reyes LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
S.Berroa RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Crawford CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
G.Rincones Jr. RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
O.Kemp LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0

INJURY REPORT

NAME	POS	STATUS	INJURY	NOTES
Brad Keller	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Forearm	Notes Keller is dealing with right forearm tendinitis and has been placed on the 15-day injured list. He is expected to return in early July for the Phillies.
Adolis García	POS RF	STATUS Out	INJURY Lat	Notes García is dealing with a right latissimus dorsi tear and has been placed on the 60-day injured list. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.

full roster and injuries

NYM

PHI

33.58

At Bats

33.61

4.10

Runs

4.34

768

Hits

774

3.11

Walks

2.94

8.21

Strikeouts

8.78

0.302

On Base Percentage

0.301

0.382

Slugging Percentage

0.397

4.24

Earned Run Average

4.23

4.20

Earned Runs

4.16

1.10

Home Runs

1.20

3.59

Walks

2.92

894

Strikeouts

957

0.09

Strikeouts Per 9 Innings

0.10

1.30

Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched

1.32

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What Happened: Mets vs. Phillies, First Inning

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies faced off in a game scheduled for Citizens Bank Park, with the first-inning result carrying the full weight of this proposition. Neither the Mets nor the Phillies scored in the opening frame. The starting pitchers kept both lineups quiet through the first inning, delivering the scoreless result that NRFI traders needed. No runs, no walks that led to scoring, no costly errors in the first — just clean baseball to open the game.

The NRFI outcome held despite the Mets and Phillies ranking as two of the NL East’s most offensively capable clubs. The Phillies entered the series sitting second in the NL East at 54-44. The Mets, rebuilding toward 2027, were at 41-57 but still capable of putting up crooked numbers early. That first inning stayed clean regardless, and the YES market resolved without contest.

How the Market Called It

Polymarket closed the NRFI YES outcome at 100 percent, confirming a full-resolution event. The market correctly favored the no-run outcome, and the price action leading into resolution made the direction unmistakable. The total market volume reached $1,052,910, with $1,051,740 of that arriving in the final 24 hours — meaning traders flooded this market right as the resolution became clear. That kind of late-session volume concentration signals a market moving on confirmed information, not speculation.

Trader sentiment finished at 100 percent YES and zero percent NO. The bullish lean on NRFI was not a close call — it was a decisive read that proved correct. When a proposition market draws over a million dollars in volume and closes at full probability, the market and the outcome are aligned completely. This one was.

Where the Big Money Landed

Large traders put serious capital behind NRFI in the seven days leading to resolution. Total large-trade volume reached $355,021, with $289,474 flowing to the buy side and $65,547 to the sell side — a strongly bullish posture that matched the eventual outcome. The biggest single position came from wallet 0xf668…5c69, which deployed $125,577 on the YES side at 62.5 cents per share. That trade carried a very high signal rating and proved prescient as the market pushed to full resolution.

Wallet 0x547f…2937 added $100,168 on the YES side at 66 cents per share, booking a confirmed profit of $45,200 as the market resolved in NRFI’s favor. SDTrading entered at 52 cents with $63,729 on YES, closing a profit of $693 as the market moved to full resolution. The same wallet behind the largest buy also placed a $65,547 sell at 61 cents — a partial hedge that reduced exposure while still retaining net long conviction on NRFI. Every major buyer finished on the winning side of this market.

What Is Next

The Mets and Phillies continue to play out their 2025-26 NL East schedules, and both clubs will generate fresh proposition markets throughout the remainder of the regular season. The Phillies, sitting second in the NL East, are among the leading candidates in the MLB World Series Champion 2026 market, which Polymarket currently prices at 30 percent for the field. First-inning and game-total markets for upcoming Mets and Phillies matchups will open on Lines.com as schedules are confirmed. Head to the MLB hub on Lines.com to track live NRFI, run-line, and totals markets for both clubs.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

NRFI (YES)

The no-run first inning delivered exactly as the market priced, with Polymarket settling the YES outcome at full probability. The result matched the market’s direction completely, and traders who backed NRFI early captured the full payout.