Rolr3 1920x300
NIP vs K27 Result: Ninjas in Pyjamas Win Map 2 at Stake Ranked Ep 3

NIP vs K27 Result: Ninjas in Pyjamas Win Map 2 at Stake Ranked Ep 3

Market called it correctly

Implied 100% at publication · Resolved YES · Brier score: 0.00

See full track record
SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
Market Resolved
Embed this market
Resolution Verdict
OVER 21.5 ROUNDS (YES) Market Resolved

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%.

Resolved
Real Money Odds Book
Total
Over O 2.5
Under U 2.5
Volume
$956.7K
$956.7K in 24h
Liquidity
$413.6K
Deep liquidity
Time Left
2 hours
Resolves Jul 18
957K Vol. Jul 18, 2026
NIP
NIP $649K Vol.
0%
K27
K27 $649K Vol.
0%
Largest Trade
$82,164
0xcd30...f316
voted with: K271 · K27
Jul 18, 2026 at 4:35pm
Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time
0xcd30...f316 - $82,164 K271 K27 $5.1M - - 6 hours ago
0x79ae...9a4a - $42,378 NIP NIP $425.3K - - 10 hours ago

Ninjas in Pyjamas beat K27 on Map 2 of their NIP vs K27 best-of-three upper bracket quarter-final at Stake Ranked Episode 3, settling the Map 2 Winner prediction market. The victory sent NIP forward in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 playoffs, where the Swedish organization next faces HEROIC in the upper bracket final.

Polymarket closed NIP at 100 percent on the Map 2 Winner market, reflecting a decisive result that matched the market’s final read exactly. NIP’s Map 2 win confirmed the upper bracket progression that traders had fully priced in by the time the market resolved on July 18, 2026.

Sponsored Partner
ROLRROLR

What Happened: NIP vs K27 at Stake Ranked Episode 3

Ninjas in Pyjamas controlled Map 2 against K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 upper bracket quarter-final, played on LAN in July 2026. K27 competed with shalfey substituting for clax due to visa-related issues, a roster disruption that weakened the squad heading into the playoff bracket. NIP capitalized on the advantage and secured the map win to advance from the upper side of the bracket.

The best-of-three series ran across the playoff day on July 18, 2026. NIP’s performance on Map 2 was strong enough for the market to settle at the maximum implied probability, leaving no ambiguity in the resolution. The result kept NIP alive in the upper bracket and on a path to the Stake Ranked Episode 3 grand final.

How the Market Called It: NIP vs K27 Map 2

The Map 2 Winner market closed NIP at 100 percent, meaning traders assigned full certainty to NIP winning Map 2 before the market resolved. The market correctly favored NIP, and the outcome matched that read without deviation. That level of consensus is rare in esports markets, where in-game momentum can shift results quickly.

Total volume on the broader NIP vs K27 market reached $956,696, a substantial figure for a single CS2 playoff match. The 24-hour volume of $956,696 shows traders piled in heavily on the day of the match, reflecting strong conviction behind the NIP outcome across the full market suite.

Where the Big Money Landed

Large trades over the seven-day window totaled $124,542 in combined volume. The largest single sell came from wallet 0xcd30…f316, which sold $82,164 worth of NIP shares at near-maximum price, locking in profit after the market moved in NIP’s favor. The second-largest position, a $42,378 buy from 0x79ae…9a4a at an earlier price point, backed NIP from the long side.

The whale sell from 0xcd30…f316 was a profit-taking exit rather than a fade against NIP. With NIP at near-certain pricing, exiting into liquidity was the rational move for large holders. The buy from 0x79ae…9a4a at a lower price shows a trader who entered earlier and rode the market upward as NIP’s probability climbed toward certainty on match day.

What Is Next for Ninjas in Pyjamas

Ninjas in Pyjamas advance to face HEROIC in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 upper bracket final. HEROIC is the top-seeded team remaining in the upper bracket, making the NIP vs HEROIC matchup the marquee clash of the tournament’s final day. Traders looking for action on NIP’s next step can find the NIP vs HEROIC market and the broader Stake Ranked Episode 3 hub on Lines.com.

Stake Ranked Episode 3 is a Valve Tier 2 event with a $100,000 prize pool, organized by StarLadder. The upper bracket final placement means NIP has already secured a top-four finish and a share of the prize money, adding to the stakes of the HEROIC clash.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

NINJAS IN PYJAMAS

NIP won Map 2 against K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 upper bracket quarter-final, exactly matching the market’s final call. The result was never seriously in doubt once NIP found its footing, and the full-certainty closing price reflected that reality.

Frequently Asked Questions

Ninjas in Pyjamas won Map 2 against K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 upper bracket quarter-final. The market resolved on July 18, 2026, with NIP confirmed as the Map 2 winner.

NIP won Map 2 of the best-of-three series against K27. NIP advanced from the upper bracket quarter-final. K27 competed with a substitute player due to visa issues affecting clax.

Yes, the favorite won. The Map 2 Winner market closed NIP at 100 percent on Polymarket, reflecting full trader certainty. NIP delivered the expected result and the market correctly favored them.

The NIP vs K27 best-of-three was played on LAN as a standard CS2 playoff match. Map 2 resolved through normal round play, with NIP securing enough rounds to claim the map win without requiring overtime.

Ninjas in Pyjamas advance to face HEROIC in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 upper bracket final. Traders can find the NIP vs HEROIC prediction market on Lines.com, a live prediction market provider.

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

Market Resolved Outcome: YES
Final Price 100%
Settled Jul 18, 2026
Duration 1 day

Resolution Analysis

Extended Map 1 Confirms the Over

NIP's new roster combination with n0te creates tactical uncertainty that allows K27 to trade rounds across both halves. The map reaches 22-plus rounds, the Over resolves, and whale capital proves well-placed. This is the base case at 75 percent.

NIP Dominates, Under Hits

NIP's experienced core of Snappi, ewjerkz, and sjuush clicks immediately on Map 1 with a dominant first-half run. K27 cannot recover, and the map closes at 21 rounds or fewer. The Under at 25 percent becomes live in this scenario.

K27 Forces a Deep Second Half

K27 drops the first half but rallies behind consistent round-trading on its CT side, pushing Map 1 deep into the high twenties. NIP closes it out, but the Over lands comfortably, rewarding patience from traders who backed the majority outcome early.

n0te Debut Disrupts NIP's System

NIP's new player n0te, competing in his first tournament match under the NIP banner, takes time to sync with established teammates. Miscommunication mid-round extends Map 1 well beyond 21.5, creating a larger Over margin than the market priced in.

Key macro factor: Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs in Barcelona feature eight teams in a double-elimination format. NIP enters as a top-four contender with a new roster piece, while K27 competes as a qualifier-level underdog — a pairing that historically produces contested maps rather than clean sweeps.

Market Timeline

7:20 PM
Market Created
7:22 PM
Market Opened
6:00 PM
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.