Elections Market of the Day Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? $12.3k Volume ↓ 46.5% today View Market Buy Yes · 19¢ Buy No · 81¢ 19% Yes chance Yes 19% No 81% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout 50-60% 32% Yes No 60-70% 26% Yes No Moving Now Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá Iván Cepeda Castro 63% Yes No Abelardo de la Espriella 37% Yes No Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia Abelardo de la Espriella 98% Yes No Iván Cepeda Castro 2% Yes No Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? 15% chance Yes No Nigerian Presidential Election Winner Bola Tinubu 71% Yes No Peter Obi 24% Yes No Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner Loranne Ausley 52% Yes No Jeremy Matlow 25% Yes No Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? Jordan Bardella 69% Yes No Édouard Philippe 51% Yes No Moving Now Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner Luciano Zucco 53% Yes No Juliana Brizola 44% Yes No California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory? Becerra <5% 94% Yes No Becerra 5–10% 3% Yes No Who will win the Democratic nomination for Ann Arbor Mayor? Christopher Taylor 55% Yes No Yousef Rabhi 44% Yes No California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner Xavier Becerra 99% Yes No Steve Hilton 6% Yes No California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner Steve Hilton 96% Yes No Xavier Becerra 10% Yes No California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner Steve Hilton 98% Yes No Chad Bianco 1% Yes No California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner Xavier Becerra 83% Yes No Tom Steyer 13% Yes No California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner Tom Steyer 97% Yes No Steve Hilton 1% Yes No Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? 40-45% 99% Yes No 50-55% 5% Yes No Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? 40-45% 97% Yes No 45%+ 2% Yes No Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? <10% 99% Yes No 10-15% 1% Yes No Moving Now Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? 62% chance Yes No OK-03 Republican Primary Winner Frank Lucas 100% Yes No Wade Burleson 1% Yes No Moving Now OK-04 Democratic Primary Winner Jeff Pixley 56% Yes No Mitchell Jacob 36% Yes No DC Delegate Democratic Primary Winner Robert White 74% Yes No Brooke Pinto 23% Yes No Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Nick Begich III 94% Yes No Matt Schultz 93% Yes No Which pair advances to South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff? Toby Doeden x Larry Rhoden 100% Yes No Toby Doeden x Jon Hansen 0% Yes No SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner Nancy Lacore 45% Yes No Mac Deford 43% Yes No Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? Fujimori 0–4% 98% Yes No Sánchez 0–4% 1% Yes No CA-14 Primary Winners Aisha Wahab 100% Yes No Melissa Hernandez 99% Yes No Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout? 70–75% 97% Yes No >85% 2% Yes No Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place? PT 47% Yes No PRI 45% Yes No Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place Robert Kenyon 74% Yes No Andy Burnham 22% Yes No MD-07 Democratic Primary Winner Kweisi Mfume 99% Yes No Theo Gillespie 1% Yes No NY-21 Republican Primary Winner Anthony Constantino 80% Yes No Robert Smullen 21% Yes No MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner April McClain Delaney 91% Yes No David Trone 7% Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 5 … 26 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on