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Elections

Market of the Day
19% Yes chance
Yes 19%
No 81%
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Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

6% chance

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 47%
Chuck Schumer 24%

California voter ID referendum passes?

42% chance

Trump out as President by June 30?

1% chance
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TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Justin Pearson 77%
DeVante Hill 11%

Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

Kevin Hern 99%
Markwayne Mullin 0%

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

93% chance

CA-04 Primary Winners

Mike Thompson 100%
Eric Jones 97%

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

120-125m 31%
130m+ 27%

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

19% chance

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

21% chance

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

40% chance

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5% 39%
Lula da Silva 5-10% 30%

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL 74%
UNIÃO 12%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 68%
Renan Santos 14%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos 48%
Romeu Zema 16%

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 94%
CDU 6%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 87%
SPD 13%

MI-01 House Election Winner

Republican Party 72%
Democratic Party 22%

MI-05 House Election Winner

Republican Party 92%
Democratic Party 9%

MI-09 House Election Winner

Republican Party 91%
Democratic Party 9%

MI-13 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 97%
Republican Party 1%

MN-01 House Election Winner

Republican Party 59%
Democratic Party 39%

MN-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 93%
Republican Party 7%

MN-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94%
Republican Party 7%

MN-06 House Election Winner

Republican Party 79%
Democratic Party 15%

MN-07 House Election Winner

Republican Party 92%
Democratic Party 9%

MN-08 House Election Winner

Republican Party 73%
Democratic Party 27%

MO-02 House Election Winner

Republican Party 77%
Democratic Party 22%

MO-03 House Election Winner

Republican Party 91%
Democratic Party 10%

MO-04 House Election Winner

Republican Party 93%
Democratic Party 7%

MO-06 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94%
Democratic Party 7%

MO-08 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94%
Democratic Party 6%