Economy Fed RatesTrade WarMacro IndicatorsTaxesInflationGlobal RatesGDPTreasuriesHousingTSA Market of the Day Fed Decision in July? $1.3m Volume ↓ 3.6% today View Market Watch No change 76% Yes No 25 bps increase 23% Yes No 50+ bps increase 1% Yes No +2 more 76% Leading No change 76% 25 bps in… 23% 50+ bps i… 1% +2 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Status All Unresolved Resolved US recession by end of 2026? 13% chance Yes No Read Article How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? 0 (0 bps) 85% Yes No 1 (25 bps) 9% Yes No 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Resolved US bank failure by July 31? 100% chance Yes No Read Article Resolved Number of TSA passengers June 29 – July 5 <19m 100% Yes No 19-19.5m 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30 (Higher Strikes)? $1.00-$1.10T 100% Yes No <$1.00T 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved Price of Dozen Eggs in June? $2.00–$2.25 100% Yes No <$1.50 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved June Inflation US – Annual ≤3.6% 100% Yes No 3.7% 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved June Inflation US – Monthly ≤0.1% 100% Yes No 0.2% 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved Core CPI YoY – June 2026 2.6% 100% Yes No ≤2.4% 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved ISM Services PMI – June 2026 54.0–54.9 100% Yes No <48.0 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved ISM Manufacturing PMI – June 2026 53.0–53.9 100% Yes No <48.0 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved How many jobs added in June? 50k – 100k 100% Yes No <0 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved June Unemployment Rate 4.2% 100% Yes No ≤3.9% 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30? $339k – $342k 100% Yes No <$339k 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30? $1.181M – $1.190M 100% Yes No <$1.172M 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in Miami be on June 30? $1.105M – $1.138M 100% Yes No <$1.072M 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in the US be on June 30? $433k – $435k 100% Yes No <$429k 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in New York City be on June 30? >$620k 100% Yes No <$585k 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30? >$1.244M 100% Yes No <$1.174M 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30? <$481k 100% Yes No $481k – $484k 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30? <$554k 100% Yes No $554k – $558k 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved People's Bank of China rate change in June? No Change 100% Yes No Increase 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved Durable Goods Orders MoM – May 2026 <-4% 100% Yes No -4%– -2% 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30? ↓ 1.7M 100% Yes No ↑ 2.0M 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved USD x Iranian rials End of June? 1.7-1.8M 100% Yes No <1.5M 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026 7.2M+ 100% Yes No <6.5M 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY – May 2026 6.0%–6.9% 100% Yes No <3.0% 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – June 2026 49.0–51.9 100% Yes No <40.0 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved South African Reserve Bank decision in July? No Change 100% Yes No 50+ bps cut 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved Core CPI (ex food and energy) MoM – May 2026 0.2% 100% Yes No ≤-0.3% 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved ISM Manufacturing PMI – May 2026 54.0–54.9 100% Yes No <47.0 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved ISM Services PMI – May 2026 54.0–54.9 100% Yes No <47.0 0% Yes No Read Article Resolved US bank failure by June 30? 0% chance Yes No Read Article Previous 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
