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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 16?

$17.2k Volume ↑ 63.5% today
19°C 99% Yes No
18°C 2% Yes No
17°C 1% Yes No
+8 more
99% Leading
19°C 99%
18°C 2%
17°C 1%
+8 more
Read Article

US x Russia military clash by…?

December 31, 2026 7%
Yes No
June 30, 2026 1%
Yes No
$1.6m Vol. Read Article

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 59%
Yes No
Republican 41%
Yes No
$1.9m Vol. Read Article

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

December 31, 2026 4%
Yes No
December 31 0%
Yes No
$112k Vol. Read Article

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

14% chance
Yes No
$683k Vol. Read Article

Israel and Syria normalize relations by…?

December 31, 2026 13%
Yes No
June 30, 2026 1%
Yes No
$2.1m Vol. Read Article

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7% chance
Yes No
$34.9m Vol. 1 votes Read Article

Will Russia capture Sumy by…?

March 31, 2027 13%
Yes No
September 30 0%
Yes No
$718k Vol. Read Article

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

12% chance
Yes No
$2.5m Vol. Read Article

Pump.fun airdrop by ….?

December 31, 2026 22%
Yes No
July 18 0%
Yes No
$2.8m Vol. Read Article

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

8% chance
Yes No
$515k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Hyperliquid airdrop by ….?

December 31, 2027 42%
Yes No
June 30, 2027 38%
Yes No
$501k Vol. Read Article

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

7% chance
Yes No
$875k Vol. Read Article

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 52%
Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro 26%
Yes No
$100.6m Vol. Read Article

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 26%
Yes No
Lamine Yamal 17%
Yes No
$4.2m Vol. Read Article

MegaETH airdrop by…?

December 31, 2026 31%
Yes No
June 30, 2026 5%
Yes No
$2.6m Vol. Read Article

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7% chance
Yes No
$487k Vol. Read Article

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 69%
Yes No
1 (25 bps) 21%
Yes No
$35.6m Vol. Read Article

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

9% chance
Yes No
$7.8m Vol. Read Article

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

December 31, 2026 55%
Yes No
December 31 0%
Yes No
$183k Vol. Read Article

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 98%
Yes No
United States 1%
Yes No
$8.5m Vol. Read Article

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 88%
Yes No
Steve Hilton 10%
Yes No
$39.3m Vol. Read Article

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 60%
Yes No
Nithya Raman 40%
Yes No
$11.8m Vol. Read Article

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party 56%
Yes No
Democratic Party 44%
Yes No
$2.7m Vol. Read Article

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 83%
Yes No
Republican Party 18%
Yes No
$7.3m Vol. Read Article

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

December 31, 2026 95%
Yes No
December 31 0%
Yes No
$188k Vol. Read Article

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 43%
Yes No
R Senate, D House 36%
Yes No
$7.8m Vol. Read Article

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by…?

December 31 27%
Yes No
July 31 4%
Yes No
$952k Vol. Read Article

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

by December 31, 2026 6%
Yes No
by June 30, 2026 0%
Yes No
$26m Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Will Russia capture Lyman by…?

December 31 57%
Yes No
June 30 4%
Yes No
$2.6m Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by…?

December 31, 2026 18%
Yes No
September 30 0%
Yes No
$84k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Netanyahu out by…?

December 31 64%
Yes No
July 31 13%
Yes No
$122.6m Vol. Read Article

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

2% chance
Yes No
$239k Vol. Read Article

Will Hamas agree to disarm by…?

June 30, 2026 4%
Yes No
December 31 0%
Yes No
$2m Vol. Read Article

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 92%
Yes No
Callum Turner 5%
Yes No
$3.1m Vol. Read Article

Grok 5 released by…?

June 30, 2026 1%
Yes No
December 31, 2025 0%
Yes No
$171k Vol. Read Article

Will Abstract launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2026 20%
Yes No
December 31, 2025 0%
Yes No
$493k Vol. Read Article

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by…?

June 30 0%
Yes No
December 31 0%
Yes No
$602k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 45%
Yes No
December 31, 2026 24%
Yes No
$195k Vol. Read Article

Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 46%
Yes No
December 31, 2026 15%
Yes No
$75k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 43%
Yes No
December 31, 2025 0%
Yes No
$293k Vol. Read Article

Israel military action against Damascus by…?

June 30 4%
Yes No
September 30 0%
Yes No
$187k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 70%
Yes No
December 31, 2025 0%
Yes No
$98k Vol. Read Article

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

0% chance
Yes No
$4.7m Vol. Read Article

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

23% chance
Yes No
$75k Vol. Read Article

Israeli parliament dissolved by…?

July 31 59%
Yes No
June 30 18%
Yes No
$1.3m Vol. Read Article

US recession by end of 2026?

13% chance
Yes No
$1.6m Vol. Read Article

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

1% chance
Yes No
$327k Vol. Read Article

Who will Bernie endorse?

James Talarico – TX-Sen 85%
Yes No
Dan Osborn – NE-Sen 51%
Yes No
$167k Vol. Read Article
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