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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 16?

$15.9k Volume ↑ 66.9% today
19°C 97% Yes No
18°C 2% Yes No
17°C 1% Yes No
+8 more
97% Leading
19°C 97%
18°C 2%
17°C 1%
+8 more
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Quebec General Election Winner

PQ 58%
PLQ 25%
Moving Now

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 36%
Grüne 22%

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

100% chance

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

8% chance
Moving Now

New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary Winner

John E. Sununu 83%
Chris Sununu 7%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Ed Markey 71%
Seth Moulton 50%

Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

5% chance

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Alexander Vindman 94%
Angie Nixon 4%

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

6% chance

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

97% chance

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by…?

June 30, 2026 0%
December 31 0%

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 92%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 4%

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 82%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 19%

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Andy Biggs 95%
Karrin Taylor Robson 5%

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

1% chance

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

9% chance
Moving Now

New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner

Kelly Ayotte 99%
Corey Lewandowski 1%

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

14% chance

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Cinde Warmington 97%
John Kiper 21%

New York Governor Republican Primary Winner

Bruce Blakeman 98%
Elise Stefanik 0%
Moving Now

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 73%
Genter Drummond 25%

Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Michael Bennet 70%
Phil Weiser 40%
Moving Now

Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Ned Lamont 65%
Josh Elliott 6%
Moving Now

Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ryan Fazio 89%
Erin Stewart 40%

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

Burt Jones 72%
Rick Jackson 28%

World Cup Group F Winner

Netherlands 44%
Sweden 29%

World Cup Group I Winner

France 66%
Norway 24%

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

100% chance

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount 81%
None by June 30, 2027 13%

Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

Petr Yan 62%
Alexandre Pantoja 44%

F1 Constructors' Champion

Mercedes 84%
Ferrari 8%

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by…?

December 31 34%
June 30 3%

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party 82%
Not Extended & Republican Party 17%

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party 81%
Shutdown & Republican Party 19%
Moving Now

Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Ethan Corson 51%
Cindy Holscher 35%
Moving Now

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Hannah Pingree 66%
Nirav Shah 27%

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

Robert Charles 92%
Ben Midgley 37%
Moving Now

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

Elaine Pelino 44%
Aaron Guckian 36%

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

Alan Wilson 58%
Pamela Evette 33%

Fed Decision in June?

No change 99%
25 bps decrease 0%

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

Marsha Blackburn 96%
John Rose 7%
Moving Now

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

Dan Cox 66%
Ed Hale 33%

Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner

Michael Minogue 86%
Brian Shortsleeve 15%

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Aly Richards 47%
Amanda Janoo 45%

Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner

Tom Tiffany 94%
Andy Manske 6%

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

24–25 32%
22–23 25%

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Therese Terlaje 77%
Josh Tenorio 24%
Moving Now

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

Frank F. Blas Jr. 53%
Vicente Ada 46%

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