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Prediction Markets

Market of the Day

Fed Decision in July?

$5.5m Volume ↓ 7.9% today

No change 74% Yes No

25 bps increase 25% Yes No

50+ bps increase 1% Yes No

+2 more

74% Leading

No change 74%

25 bps in… 25%

50+ bps i… 1%

+2 more

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Resolved

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Australia 100%

Yes No

Albania 0%

Yes No

$3.2m Vol.

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Resolved

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by…?

June 30 0%

Yes No

March 31 0%

Yes No

$68k Vol.

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Resolved

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

0% chance

Yes No

$2.5m Vol.

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Resolved

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0% chance

Yes No

$38m Vol.

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Resolved

Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC

Querétaro FC 100%

Deportivo Toluca FC 0%

Querétaro FC Deportivo Toluca FC

$75k Vol.

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Will Ken Paxton drop out?

0% chance

Yes No

$10k Vol.

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New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Justin Murphy 100%

Yes No

Richard Tabor 0%

Yes No

$462k Vol.

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Resolved

NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player

Elliot Cadeau 100%

Yes No

Cameron Boozer 0%

Yes No

$293k Vol.

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Resolved

Jets vs. Blue Jackets

Jets vs. Blue Jackets 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$526k Vol.

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Blackhawks vs. Kraken

Blackhawks vs. Kraken 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$771k Vol.

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Resolved

Predators vs. Sharks

Predators vs. Sharks 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$879k Vol.

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Golden Knights vs. Oilers

Golden Knights vs. Oilers 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$596k Vol.

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Wild vs. Red Wings

Wild vs. Red Wings 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$1.4m Vol.

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Bruins vs. Flyers

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

O/U 6.5 0%

O 6.5 U 6.5

$660k Vol.

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UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to reach final

Rayo Vallecano 100%

Yes No

Strasbourg 0%

Yes No

$36k Vol.

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Resolved

Flyers vs. Islanders

Flyers vs. Islanders 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$2.1m Vol.

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Blues vs. Ducks

Blues vs. Ducks 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$1.9m Vol.

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McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

0% chance

Yes No

$13k Vol.

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Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by…?

March 13 100%

Yes No

March 20 0%

Yes No

$1.2m Vol.

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Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

0% chance

Yes No

$18k Vol.

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Resolved

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

0% chance

Yes No

$1.9m Vol.

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Resolved

Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?

0% chance

Yes No

$106k Vol.

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Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by…?

June 30 0%

Yes No

April 30 0%

Yes No

$155k Vol.

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Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by…?

September 30 100%

Yes No

March 31 0%

Yes No

$199k Vol.

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Resolved

Canadiens vs. Rangers

Canadiens vs. Rangers 100%

Yes No

O/U 4.5 0%

O 4.5 U 4.5

$1m Vol.

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Resolved

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi 100%

Yes No

None before 2027 0%

Yes No

$2.9m Vol.

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Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

Kevin Hern 100%

Yes No

Markwayne Mullin 0%

Yes No

$81k Vol.

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Resolved

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

0% chance

Yes No

$306k Vol.

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Resolved

Who will die in The Boys: Season 5?

Billy Butcher 100%

Yes No

Annie January (Starlight) 0%

Yes No

$1.1m Vol.

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Resolved

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

Noah Kahan 0%

Yes No

Don Toliver 0%

Yes No

$107k Vol.

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Resolved

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Tisza 9%+ 100%

Yes No

Tisza 6-9% 0%

Yes No

$3.6m Vol.

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Resolved

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by April 30?

475m 100%

Yes No

477m 0%

Yes No

$368k Vol.

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Resolved

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

Tisza 100%

Yes No

Fidesz–KDNP 0%

Yes No

$1.9m Vol.

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Resolved

Which teams will qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

BIG 100%

Yes No

SINNERS Esports 0%

Yes No

$144k Vol.

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Resolved

Ducks vs. Sharks

O/U 4.5 100%

O 4.5 U 4.5

Ducks vs. Sharks 0%

Yes No

$1.4m Vol.

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Resolved

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

0% chance

Yes No

$52.7m Vol.

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Resolved

NCAAM: Naismith Coach of the Year

Tommy Lloyd 100%

Yes No

Jon Scheyer 0%

Yes No

$52k Vol.

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Resolved

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 100%

Yes No

Judy Shelton 0%

Yes No

$64.5m Vol.

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Resolved

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

US x Iran Ceasefire 100%

Yes No

Fed Rate Cut 0%

Yes No

$736k Vol.

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Resolved

Internet Access restored in Iran by…?

September 30 100%

Yes No

March 7 0%

Yes No

$1.9m Vol.

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Resolved

US announces military support of Iran opposition by…?

April 30 0%

Yes No

March 31 0%

Yes No

$477k Vol.

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Resolved

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

0% chance

Yes No

$160k Vol.

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Resolved

US announces military support of Kurds by…?

April 30 0%

Yes No

March 31 0%

Yes No

$646k Vol.

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Resolved

Which teams will qualify to MSI 2026?

T1 100%

Yes No

GenG 0%

Yes No

$172k Vol.

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Resolved

MSI 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea) 100%

Yes No

LPL (China) 0%

Yes No

$2.2m Vol.

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Resolved

Where will David Njoku play in 2026-27?

Los Angeles Chargers 100%

Yes No

Arizona Cardinals 0%

Yes No

$3.4m Vol.

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Resolved

Largest Company end of April?

NVIDIA 100%

Yes No

Microsoft 0%

Yes No

$15m Vol.

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Resolved

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by…?

April 18 100%

Yes No

March 31 0%

Yes No

$112.4m Vol.

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