How is the Smart Money Index calculated?

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

What is a convergence signal?

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

Is Lines a market operator?

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

Naismith Coach of the Year: Tommy Lloyd Wins at 100%

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SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert

Market Resolved

Published April 5, 2026 1 min read

Resolution Verdict

YES Market Resolved

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%.

Resolved

Market Timeline

Mar 2, 2026

Market Created

Mar 4, 2026, 11:29 PM

Event Start

Mar 4, 2026, 11:33 PM

Market Opened

Apr 13, 2026

Market Resolution

Market Comments

Whale activity on this market

Recent trades

No whale trades tracked on this market yet. Sized positions ($25K+) appear here as they land.

See all whale activity

Disclaimer

Probabilities are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. Smart Money Index aggregates positions from the top Polymarket whales by 30-day volume. Lines is not a market operator and does not custody funds. Outbound links may be affiliate links.

Market Timeline

Related Prediction Markets

Resolution Rules

Market Comments