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Market of the Day

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$4.7k Volume ↓ 94.4% today
Office Romance 2% Yes No
Ticket To Paradise (2022) 1% Yes No
Creed III 1% Yes No
+8 more
2% Leading
Office Ro… 2%
Ticket To… 1%
Creed III 1%
+8 more
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Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by…?

July 31 16%
April 30 0%

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Shohei Ohtani 27%
Kyle Schwarber 23%

MLB: 2026 NL East Champion

Atlanta Braves 82%
Philadelphia Phillies 16%

MLB: 2026 NL Central Champion

Milwaukee Brewers 67%
Chicago Cubs 12%

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

7% chance

Prince Andrew released by…?

February 20 100%
February 22 100%

Yellow FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 100%
$200M 100%

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

New York Yankees 27%
Seattle Mariners 19%

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Los Angeles Dodgers 41%
Atlanta Braves 20%

MLB: 2026 AL Central Champion

Cleveland Guardians 55%
Chicago White Sox 31%
Moving Now

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Cam Schlittler 50%
Dylan Cease 16%

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Jacob Misiorowski 45%
Cristopher Sanchez 35%

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

Kristijan Kahlina 47%
Roman Bürki 45%

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 96%
$100M 91%

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

24% chance

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Switzerland 100%
Oman 0%

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

19% chance

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

22% chance

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

40% chance

Which NFL players will be traded?

AJ Brown 100%
Jonathan Greenard 100%

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 20%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11%
Moving Now

MLS: 2026 Coach of the Year

Bradley Carnell 45%
Nico Estévez 36%
Moving Now

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…?

December 31 33%
February 28 0%

Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?

Kansas City Chiefs 47%
Buffalo Bills 26%

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia 100%
Yemen 0%

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

66% chance

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

36% chance

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1% chance

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

89% chance

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time? (Wider Strikes)

60+ Years 100%
<30 Years 0%

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

Not revealed in 2026 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 14%

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

1% chance

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Richard Branson 100%
Steve Bannon 3%

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

16% chance
Moving Now

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

29% chance
Moving Now

Greta Thunberg arrested by…?

December 31 42%
June 30 1%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5% 39%
Lula da Silva 5-10% 30%

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL 73%
UNIÃO 11%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 68%
Renan Santos 16%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos 49%
Ronaldo Caiado 17%

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

89% chance

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

96% chance

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 94%
CDU 6%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 87%
SPD 13%

Who will get married on Love is Blind: Season 10?

Amber Morrison and Jordan Faeth 100%
Christine Hamilton and Victor St. John 100%

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

7% chance

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

30% chance

Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 52%
$900M 52%

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