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Market of the Day

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$4.9k Volume ↓ 90.3% today
Office Romance 5% Yes No
Ticket To Paradise (2022) 1% Yes No
Creed III 1% Yes No
+8 more
5% Leading
Office Ro… 5%
Ticket To… 1%
Creed III 1%
+8 more
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MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

19% chance

Arcium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 92%
$100M 81%

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

16% chance

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

2% chance

Will at least 2 of the next 3 Bitcoin hourly candles be up?

100% chance
Moving Now

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

39% chance

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

18% chance

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…?

December 31 36%
July 31 9%
Moving Now

MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner

Pete Crow-Armstrong 43%
Nico Hoerner 11%

MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner

Bobby Witt Jr. 47%
Ceddanne Rafaela 11%
Moving Now

MLB: Outstanding DH Winner

Yordan Alvarez 34%
Kyle Schwarber 22%

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Will Venable 33%
Kevin Cash 29%

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 56%
Munetaka Murakami 17%

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

JJ Wetherholt 37%
Sal Stewart 21%

Tori Finance FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 50%
$200M 44%

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 6%
Michael Echols 2%

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jerry Carl 75%
Rhett Marques 27%

Noble FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 66%
$100M 45%

Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$20M 56%
$50M 26%

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

1.75-2.00T 93%
2.00-2.25T 3%

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

14% chance

QFEX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$300M 44%
$80M 43%
Moving Now

Which league will Mo Salah play in next?

Saudi Pro League 55%
Serie A 34%

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

5% chance

Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?

44% chance

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

1% chance

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by…?

July 31 13%
April 30 0%

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 43%
Chuck Schumer 24%

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

15% chance

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Decrease 92%
No Change 9%

Fed Decision in July?

No change 93%
25 bps increase 4%

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

12% chance

Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

1% chance

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

66% chance

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

3% chance

Either Tate brother arrested by…?

June 30 12%
April 30 0%

Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?

100% chance

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

19% chance

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

3% chance

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

17% chance

Perle Labs FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 100%
$100M 100%

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by…?

June 30 3%
March 31 0%

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

89% chance

California voter ID referendum passes?

42% chance

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

↑ 12,000 100%
↓ 10,000 64%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…?

September 30 17%
June 30 4%

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

2% chance
Moving Now

US x Cuba economic deal by…?

December 31 57%
July 31 19%

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