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Market of the Day

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$4.5k Volume ↓ 90.5% today
Office Romance 5% Yes No
Ticket To Paradise (2022) 3% Yes No
The Murder of Rachel Nickell 1% Yes No
+8 more
5% Leading
Office Ro… 5%
Ticket To… 3%
The Murde… 1%
+8 more
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Resolved

UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion

100% chance
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Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

1040-1079 100%
<20 0%
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UEFA Champions League: Most Assists

Vinícius Júnior 100%
Michael Olise 0%
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UEFA Champions League: Most Goal Contributions

Harry Kane 100%
Vitinha 0%
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UEFA Champions League: Most Cards

Morten Hjulmand 100%
Declan Rice 0%
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UEFA Champions League: Most Red Cards

Robert Andrich 100%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 0%
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UEFA Champions League: Most Yellow Cards

Martín Zubimendi 0%
Aitor Paredes 0%
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UEFA Champions League: Most Clean Sheets (GK)

Thibaut Courtois 0%
Guglielmo Vicario 0%
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UEFA Champions League: Most Player of the Match Awards

Harry Kane 100%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 0%
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Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Daniel Ennis 79%
Janice Boylan 17%
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Farrer By-Election Winner

David Farley 100%
Rebecca Scriven 0%
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Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

0% chance
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When will the US next strike Iran? (Week)

February 22-28 100%
March 1-7 0%
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Will Drake release Iceman by…?

May 31 100%
June 30 100%
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Will MegaETH launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2026 100%
September 30, 2026 100%
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Bank of Russia decision in April?

Decrease 100%
Increase 0%
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March Inflation US – Annual

≥2.8% 100%
2.2% 0%
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March Unemployment Rate

4.3% 100%
4.0% 0%
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# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

4 100%
5 0%
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Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by…?

December 31 100%
June 30 100%
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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

10–15s 100%
15s+ 0%
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Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?

0% chance
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Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

0% chance
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In which month will SpaceX IPO?

June 100%
July 0%
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Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

0% chance
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Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

20% chance
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TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

Tom Sell 99%
Abraham Enriquez 1%
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Bank of England decision in April?

No change 100%
50+ bps decrease 0%
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ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

No change 100%
50+ bps decrease 0%
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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%+ 100%
60%+ 100%
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Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?

52% chance
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Gemini 3.5 released by…?

June 30 100%
May 31 100%
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TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

Colin Allred 100%
Carlos Quintanilla 0%
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Who will win Top Chef Season 23?

Rhoda Magbitang 100%
Duyen Ha 0%
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Another critical Cloudflare incident by…?

April 30 100%
May 31 100%
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UK Cabinet Minister resigns by…?

June 30 100%
May 31 100%
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Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

0% chance
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GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

↑ $2.40 100%
↑ $2.50 100%
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Who will Paddy Pimblett fight next?

Benoît Saint Denis 100%
Arman Tsarukyan 0%
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Don Lemon charges dropped?

0% chance
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Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

100% chance
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Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by…?

June 30 100%
May 15 100%
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Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Lisa Murkowski 100%
Kevin Cramer 100%
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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by…?

June 30 88%
March 31 0%
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Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+ 100%
30%+ 100%
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Bank of Canada decision in April?

No change 100%
50+ bps decrease 0%
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Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Decrease 100%
Increase 0%
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Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?

2% chance

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