Home / Prediction Markets / Sports / UEFA Champions League Most Assists: Michael Olise April 8 UEFA Champions League Most Assists: Michael Olise April 8 View on Polymarket → Share SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert Market Resolved Embed NEW Embed this market Full Compact Copy Published April 8, 2026 4 min read Resolution Verdict MICHAEL OLISE Market Resolved Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%. Resolved Volume $118.4K $19.3K in 24h Liquidity $1.4M Deep liquidity 7-Day Move +10.5% Sustained buying Time Left Ended Resolves May 31 118K Vol. Ended 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Select lines to display Vinícius Júnior $12K Vol. 100% Yes 100¢ No 0¢ Michael Olise $67K Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ Arda Güler $2K Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ Dominik Szoboszlai $182 Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia $18K Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ Kenan Yildiz $409 Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No 100¢ Michael Olise is the current market favorite to lead the UEFA Champions League in assists, sitting at a 44% implied probability. That number has climbed sharply from a 30-day low, jumping 8.5% on April 8 alone. When a market makes that kind of run, traders are reacting to something real. Olise competes against a loaded field that includes Lamine Yamal, Vinícius Júnior, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and nine other candidates. The Champions League wraps up on May 31, 2026. Olise holds 44% while the collective field sits at 56%. This market is wide open. How the Michael Olise Assists Market Resolves This is an outright award market, not a head-to-head matchup. Olise wins this contract if he finishes the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League with more assists than any other player in the competition. One more assist than the runner-up is all it takes. Michael Olise (Bayern Munich): 44% implied probability, market favoriteLamine Yamal (Barcelona): Key alternative candidateVinícius Júnior (Real Madrid): Key alternative candidateKhvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG): Key alternative candidateAntoine Griezmann, Dominik Szoboszlai, Arda Güler: Listed alternatives with lower probabilityTrossard, Rashford, Reijnders, Yildiz, Forbs, Vanaken: All priced below Olise The underdog path runs through bracket depth. Any player whose club exits early loses games and loses chances. Olise wins by staying on the pitch deep into May. Market Signals and Form The momentum behind Olise is gaining real speed. Combining the 24-hour move of plus 7.0% with the April 8 spike, the composite signal points clearly higher. That kind of acceleration usually means new information is landing: a standout performance, an injury to a rival, or a team advancing further than expected. Total market volume sits at $50,798 with $1,463 traded in the last 24 hours and liquidity at $4,142. Trader sentiment still leans bearish at 56% NO versus 44% YES. Spread and totals lines are secondary data strips available in the market UI. Sponsored Partner Lines Analysis: Olise as the Market Leader The case for Olise starts with domestic form. He finished the 2024-25 Bundesliga season as the top assist provider in the league with 15 assists. Bayern Munich runs an attack-first system that generates high volumes of chances. Olise operating inside that structure, with Bayern deep in the Champions League bracket, is a dangerous combination for every rival on this list. The case against Olise is real. Yamal and Vinícius Júnior operate for clubs with serious Champions League pedigree. Barcelona and Real Madrid consistently reach the final stages. Kvaratskhelia has shown creative burst at PSG. The 56% NO probability reflects that crowded field risk directly. Olise’s assist rate in knockout matches: The key performance indicator to trackBayern Munich’s remaining UCL schedule: Deeper runs mean more Olise appearancesYamal and Vinícius assist totals: Any surge from either narrows Olise’s market leadInjury risk across all candidates: One setback reshuffles the entire boardPrice trajectory toward 50 cents: Crossing majority signals a sentiment shift The $50,798 in total volume confirms genuine market depth and trader engagement. Olise’s price has climbed from 27 cents to 44 cents over the past month. The market is telling a story about a player trending in the right direction at the right moment in the Champions League calendar. LINES VERDICT Michael Olise Olise has the assist-generating profile and the team infrastructure to win this market outright. The market has priced that belief in with conviction over the past 30 days. Frequently Asked QuestionsWho is the current favorite to lead the Champions League in assists?Michael Olise of Bayern Munich holds the top spot at 44% implied probability. The market has moved sharply in his favor, rising from a low of 27% over the past 30 days.What does the spread mean in this market?This is an outright award market. Spread lines in the UI reflect secondary wagering options. The primary question is whether Olise leads all UCL players in assists by season end on May 31, 2026.When does this market resolve?The resolution date is May 31, 2026, aligned with the end of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League season. All candidates remain active until the final whistle of the final match.What is the over/under consideration in this market?Totals lines are a secondary data strip in the market UI. The core question is whether Olise finishes with more assists than any other player in the 2025-26 Champions League.Where can I trade this market?This market is available on Polymarket. Total volume stands at $50,798 with active liquidity of $4,142 available in the order book.How is the Smart Money Index calculated?We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.What is a convergence signal?A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.Is Lines a market operator?No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. Market Resolved Outcome: YES Final Price 100% Settled May 31, 2026 Duration 96 days Resolution Analysis Olise Runs Away With It Bayern Munich advances to the Champions League semifinals and final. Olise replicates his Bundesliga creative output on the European stage, piling up assists in knockout matches. The 44% price moves past 60 cents as rivals struggle to keep pace with his chance-creation volume. The Field Closes In Lamine Yamal or Vinícius Júnior goes on a multi-match assist tear in the knockout rounds. Barcelona or Real Madrid's deep run floods the leaderboard with a different name at the top. Olise's price retreats toward earlier lows as market confidence shifts away. Dark Horse Takes the Crown A candidate currently priced as a long shot, such as Arda Güler or Dominik Szoboszlai, breaks out with a standout semifinal performance. The assists title goes to a player the market underpriced all season. Olise finishes second despite strong personal form throughout. Injury Scrambles the Board A key injury to Olise, Yamal, or Vinícius Júnior before the semifinals reshuffles the entire market within hours. The assists title belongs to whichever elite creator stays healthy the longest. Prediction markets reprice fast when a frontrunner exits the competition early. Key macro factor: Bayern Munich's UEFA Champions League bracket position and depth of run is the single biggest external variable controlling Olise's assist ceiling in this market. Market Timeline Feb 20, 2026 Market Created Feb 23, 2026, 4:40 PM Event Start Feb 23, 2026, 4:43 PM Market Opened May 31, 2026 Market Resolution Related Prediction Markets Moving Now Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins PHI 64% MIA 37% PHI MIA Read Article Moving Now Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC CHI 43% Draw 21% VWH 36% CHI DRAW VWH Read Article Moving Now St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds CIN 58% STL 43% CIN STL Read Article Club Always Ready vs. Club Bolívar ALW 45% Draw 36% BOL 41% ALW Draw BOL Read Article Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox ATL 51% CWS 50% ATL CWS Read Article Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng ZHEN 59% EALA 42% ZHEN EALA Read Article KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers 20% chance Yes No Read Article Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 53% chance Yes No Read Article CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí - More Markets O/U 0.5 82% O 0.5 U 0.5 O/U 1.5 77% O 1.5 U 1.5 Read Article Loading... 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