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Prediction Markets

Market of the Day

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$4.5k Volume ↓ 90.5% today
Office Romance 5% Yes No
Ticket To Paradise (2022) 3% Yes No
The Murder of Rachel Nickell 1% Yes No
+8 more
5% Leading
Office Ro… 5%
Ticket To… 3%
The Murde… 1%
+8 more
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Resolved

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA 100%
MSZP 0%
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NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Denise Powell 100%
Mark Johnston 0%
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PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Chris Rabb 100%
Sharif Street 0%
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Named storm forms before hurricane season?

0% chance
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Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

100% chance
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CA-22 Primary Winners

David Valadao 97%
Randy Villegas 70%
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Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

0% chance
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New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Cory Booker 100%
Saxon Callahan 0%
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Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Jeff Merkley 100%
Jacob Ryan 0%
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Will Solstice launch a token by ___ ?

June 30, 2026 100%
September 30, 2026 100%
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Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Charles Booker 100%
Jared Randall 0%
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Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Andy Barr 100%
Mike Faris 0%
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KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

Ed Gallrein 100%
Nicole Lee Ethington 0%
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Ohio Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Sherrod Brown 100%
Greg Landsman 0%
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Nebraska Republican Senate Primary Winner

Pete Ricketts 100%
Edward Dunn 0%
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South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Annie Andrews 100%
Catherine Fleming Bruce 0%
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Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

100% chance
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Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner

Jim Risch 100%
Joe Evans 0%
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Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Alani Bankhead 100%
Michael Hummert 0%
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Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner

Tommy Tuberville 100%
Ken McFeeters 0%
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US civil war before 2027?

8% chance
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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+ 100%
7 0%
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Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

Jim Pillen 100%
Jacy Todd 0%
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Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Aaron Ford 100%
Alexis Hill 0%
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New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Deb Haaland 100%
Ken Miyagishima 0%
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New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Greg Hull 100%
Brian Cillessen 0%
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Ohio Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Amy Acton 100%
Jacob Chiara 0%
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Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vivek Ramaswamy 100%
Philip Funderburg 0%
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Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms 100%
Derrick Jackson 0%
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Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Terri Pickens 100%
Stephen Heidt 0%
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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

1T+ 100%
500B–600B 0%
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Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner

Zach Lahn 99%
Randy Feenstra 0%
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Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Rob Sand 100%
Paul Dahl 0%
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Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$400M 100%
$200M 100%
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Pennsylvania Governor Republican Primary Winner

Stacy Garrity 100%
John Ventre 0%
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South Carolina Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jermaine Johnson 100%
Mullins McLeod 0%
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Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 100%
$100M 100%
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Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scottish National Party 100%
Scottish Conservatives 0%
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What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Other (incl $SPCX) 100%
$SPAX 0%
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Octra FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$30M 0%
$100M 0%
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Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

David Brock Smith 94%
Jo Rae Perkins 4%
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Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Pause–Pause–Pause 100%
Other 0%
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West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

BJP 100%
AITC 0%
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Which teams will make the NBA Playoffs?

Atlanta Hawks 100%
Boston Celtics 100%
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NBA Best Record

Oklahoma City Thunder 100%
San Antonio Spurs 0%
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NBA Worst Record

Washington Wizards 100%
Indiana Pacers 0%
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NBA Defensive Player of the Year Winner

Victor Wembanyama 100%
Chet Holmgren 0%
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NBA Sixth Man of the Year Winner

Keldon Johnson 100%
DeAndre Hunter 0%

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