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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in NYC on June 12?

$15.6k Volume ↑ 64% today
74-75°F 95% Yes No
72-73°F 4% Yes No
70-71°F 1% Yes No
+8 more
95% Leading
74-75°F 95%
72-73°F 4%
70-71°F 1%
+8 more
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Resolved

ECB rate hike in 2026?

100% chance
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Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

100% chance
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Ethereum flipped in 2026?

100% chance
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Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

100% chance
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Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?

0% chance
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Tulsi Gabbard out by…?

June 30 19%
March 31 0%
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IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

Joe Mitchell 100%
Charlie McClintock 2%
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ME-02 Republican Primary Winner

Paul LePage 100%
James Clark 0%
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TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

Everett Jackson 100%
Sholdon Daniels 0%
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US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

2.0–2.5% 100%
<1.0% 0%
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2026 IPL Champion

Royal Challengers Bengaluru 100%
Gujarat Titans 0%
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Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>16m 100%
>12m 100%
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U.S. strike on Nigeria by…?

June 30 99%
December 31 0%
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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by…?

May 31 100%
June 30 100%
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Next Manchester United manager?

Michael Carrick 99%
Gareth Southgate 1%
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Who will win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?

None 100%
Carlos Alcaraz 0%
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Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$5M 1%
$40M 0%
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Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

100% chance
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US/Israel strikes Iran by…?

March 31 100%
December 31 100%
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Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Xavier Becerra 100%
Steve Hilton 100%
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Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner

Christine Drazan 100%
Danielle Bethell 0%
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Eurovision Winner 2026

Bulgaria 100%
Albania 0%
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Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA 100%
MSZP 0%
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NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Denise Powell 100%
Mark Johnston 0%
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PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Chris Rabb 100%
Sharif Street 0%
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Named storm forms before hurricane season?

0% chance
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Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

0% chance
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CA-22 Primary Winners

David Valadao 97%
Randy Villegas 70%
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New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Cory Booker 100%
Saxon Callahan 0%
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Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Jeff Merkley 100%
Jacob Ryan 0%
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Will Solstice launch a token by ___ ?

June 30, 2026 100%
September 30, 2026 100%
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Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Charles Booker 100%
Jared Randall 0%
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Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Andy Barr 100%
Mike Faris 0%
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KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

Ed Gallrein 100%
Nicole Lee Ethington 0%
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Ohio Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Sherrod Brown 100%
Greg Landsman 0%
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Nebraska Republican Senate Primary Winner

Pete Ricketts 100%
Edward Dunn 0%
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Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

100% chance
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South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Annie Andrews 100%
Catherine Fleming Bruce 0%
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Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner

Jim Risch 100%
Joe Evans 0%
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US civil war before 2027?

8% chance
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Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Alani Bankhead 100%
Michael Hummert 0%
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Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner

Tommy Tuberville 100%
Ken McFeeters 0%
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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+ 100%
7 0%
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Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

Jim Pillen 100%
Jacy Todd 0%
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Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Aaron Ford 100%
Alexis Hill 0%
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New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Deb Haaland 100%
Ken Miyagishima 0%
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New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Greg Hull 100%
Brian Cillessen 0%
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Ohio Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Amy Acton 100%
Jacob Chiara 0%

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