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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in NYC on June 12?

$15.6k Volume ↑ 64% today
74-75°F 95% Yes No
72-73°F 4% Yes No
70-71°F 1% Yes No
+8 more
95% Leading
74-75°F 95%
72-73°F 4%
70-71°F 1%
+8 more
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Resolved

March Unemployment Rate

4.3% 100%
4.0% 0%
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# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

4 100%
5 0%
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Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by…?

December 31 100%
June 30 100%
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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

10–15s 100%
15s+ 0%
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Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?

0% chance
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Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

0% chance
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Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

0% chance
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Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

20% chance
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TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

Tom Sell 99%
Abraham Enriquez 1%
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Bank of England decision in April?

No change 100%
50+ bps decrease 0%
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ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

No change 100%
50+ bps decrease 0%
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Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?

52% chance
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Gemini 3.5 released by…?

June 30 100%
May 31 100%
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TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

Colin Allred 100%
Carlos Quintanilla 0%
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Who will win Top Chef Season 23?

Rhoda Magbitang 100%
Duyen Ha 0%
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Another critical Cloudflare incident by…?

April 30 100%
May 31 100%
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UK Cabinet Minister resigns by…?

June 30 100%
May 31 100%
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Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

0% chance
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GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

↑ $2.40 100%
↑ $2.50 100%
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Who will Paddy Pimblett fight next?

Benoît Saint Denis 100%
Arman Tsarukyan 0%
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Don Lemon charges dropped?

0% chance
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Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by…?

June 30 100%
May 15 100%
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Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Lisa Murkowski 100%
Kevin Cramer 100%
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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by…?

June 30 88%
March 31 0%
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Bank of Canada decision in April?

No change 100%
50+ bps decrease 0%
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Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Decrease 100%
Increase 0%
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Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?

2% chance
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Mezo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 100%
$300M 0%
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Bank of Japan Decision in April?

No change 100%
Decrease rates 0%
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How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

54 100%
55 0%
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Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 100%
Rizo Velovic 0%
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Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Israel 100%
Belgium 100%
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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Albania 100%
Australia 100%
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2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

Manchester City 100%
Wrexham AFC 0%
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CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

100% chance
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Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

100% chance
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US forces enter Iran by..?

December 31 100%
April 30 100%
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DeepSeek V4 released by…?

May 15 100%
April 30 100%
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Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by…?

April 15 100%
March 31 100%
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

100% chance
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Bank of Korea decision in April?

No Change 100%
Increase 0%
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Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Juan Pablo Velasco 100%
Juan Carlos Medrano 0%
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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

5.0-5.5% 100%
3.5-4.0% 0%
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2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick

David Bailey 100%
Fernando Mendoza 0%
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Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

TVK 100%
AITC 0%
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Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner

INC 100%
BSP 0%
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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Goldman Sachs 99%
Bank of America 1%
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Who will win a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?

None 100%
Elena Rybakina 0%

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