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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in NYC on June 12?

$17.3k Volume ↑ 62% today
74-75°F 95% Yes No
72-73°F 4% Yes No
70-71°F 1% Yes No
+8 more
95% Leading
74-75°F 95%
72-73°F 4%
70-71°F 1%
+8 more
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Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

No meeting by December 31 64%
China 18%
Moving Now

US bank failure by June 30?

45% chance
Moving Now

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

6-8 39%
9-11 22%
Moving Now

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

160–189 42%
100–129 36%
Moving Now

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

2150 61%
2200 12%
Moving Now

Claude Code Commits End of June?

750.0k+ 57%
500.0-550.0k 11%

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

Anthropic 96%
OpenAI 3%

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

Anthropic 93%
Google 4%
Moving Now

Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?

11% chance

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

↑ 750.0k 100%
↑ 650.0k 100%

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Tucker Carlson 100%
Candace Owens 100%
Moving Now

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

Google 50%
Anthropic 29%
Moving Now

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC 48%
1.10–1.14ºC 40%

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest 90%
1st hottest 5%

Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

Alibaba 80%
Z.ai 12%

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

2% chance

Critical Discord Incident by June 30?

15% chance
Moving Now

Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?

800b+ 98%
<660b 1%
Moving Now

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

4+ 52%
3 27%
Moving Now

Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?

Obsession 86%
The Devil Wears Prada 2 10%

Israeli forces enter Beirut by…?

June 30 4%
May 31 0%

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

75+ 98%
80+ 93%
Moving Now

"The Death of Robin Hood" Rotten Tomatoes score?

60+ 76%
50+ 75%
Moving Now

"Supergirl" Rotten Tomatoes score?

60+ 91%
50+ 90%

Eurovision 2027 Participants

Italy 94%
Germany 94%

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

December 31, 2026 20%
October 31, 2026 14%

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Christina Koch 38%
Sam Altman 36%

Which pair advances to South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff?

Toby Doeden x Larry Rhoden 100%
Toby Doeden x Jon Hansen 0%
Moving Now

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Mac Deford 46%
Nancy Lacore 40%
Moving Now

Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

85%+ 37%
82.5%–85% 30%

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above __ ?

$1.0B 90%
$1.1B 75%

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

$17.5B–$20B 24%
$20B+ 18%

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

-2.4%– -1.6% 46%
3.2%–4.0% 41%

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

2% chance

Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?

33% chance

Will Ritual launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 77%
December 31, 2026 68%

Will Yeet launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 63%
December 31, 2026 35%
Moving Now

Will Curvance launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 74%
December 31, 2026 39%
Moving Now

Will BULK launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 61%
December 31, 2026 28%

Will Papertrade launch a token by ___?

September 30, 2027 98%
December 31, 2026 94%
Moving Now

Will Propr launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 84%
December 31, 2026 68%

Will RISE launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 66%
December 31, 2026 21%

Will Symbiotic launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 59%
June 30, 2027 36%
Moving Now

Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$40M 49%
$80M 36%

GMGN FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M 59%
$300M 31%
Moving Now

WNBA: Points Per Game Leader

Caitlin Clark 48%
A'ja Wilson 44%
Moving Now

WNBA: Assists Per Game Leader

Caitlin Clark 60%
Paige Bueckers 46%
Moving Now

WNBA: Rebounds Per Game Leader

Angel Reese 55%
Jessica Shepard 22%

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