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San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners Predictions

July 18 08:08 PM (Start in 2 Hours)
FOX T-Mobile Park

Giants vs. Mariners Matchup Overview

The San Francisco Giants visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners on July 18th, 2026. The Giants hold a record of 41-55, while the Mariners sit at 48-49. Check out the betting odds with the Giants at +119 on the moneyline and the Mariners at -139. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best bets for this matchup. Luis Arraez leads the Giants with a .330 batting average and 35 RBI, while Randy Arozarena is a key player for the Mariners, boasting an .838 OPS and 45 RBI. The Giants may be without Willy Adames due to back spasms, which could impact their lineup. The Mariners also have Luke Raley listed as questionable with a forearm injury. In their recent matchup history, the Giants have won their last three meetings against the Mariners, including a victory earlier this season. This game shapes up to be an interesting battle as both teams look to improve their standings.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners
  • Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
  • Time: 8:08 PM
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Giants -1.5 (-202) (+1.5 (-205 BetMGM Sportsbook)), Mariners -1.5 (+166) (-1.5 (+168 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.0 (-108/-112) (Over 7.0 (-110 BetMGM Sportsbook), Under 7.0 (-110 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Moneyline Odds: Giants +119 (+116 (BetMGM Sportsbook)), Mariners -139 (-136 (BetMGM Sportsbook))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Giants a win probability of 44%, while the Mariners have a win probability of 56%

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Giants 3-4 Mariners with a confidence score of 65%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
44%
56%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Over/Under
44%
56%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Moneyline
44%
56%
Confidence Level: 65.4%

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San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners Moneyline

The Giants, currently sitting at +119 on the moneyline, face the Mariners, who are favored at -139. San Francisco’s offense, led by Luis Arraez, looks to capitalize on Seattle’s pitching, while the Mariners, with Randy Arozarena, aim to leverage their home field advantage. This matchup presents a solid angle for bettors to consider the potential value in the odds.

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San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners Run Line

The San Francisco Giants, struggling on the road with a 41-55 record, face the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park. With both teams hovering around the .500 mark, the Giants could find it tough to cover the run line, especially if key players like Matt Chapman remain sidelined. Seattle’s home offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game, might give them the edge needed to surpass the spread.

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San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners Over/Under

The Giants and Mariners have shown solid offensive production, averaging around 8 runs per game in their recent matchups. However, both teams are dealing with key injuries that could impact their lineup depth and scoring potential. The effectiveness of the starting pitchers in this game will play a crucial role in determining if the total runs reach the expected number.

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42-55
All
48-50
22-25
Home
27-21
20-30
Away
21-29
21-29
as Fav
46-45
21-26
as Dog
2-5
42-55
ATS
39-59
19-28
ATS Home
19-29
23-27
ATS Away
20-30
45-44
O/U
47-45
22-23
O/U Home
23-23
23-21
O/U Away
24-22
RESULT
LOSE 5-6
DATE
04/30
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
WIN 7-0
DATE
07/17
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.0
RESULT
WIN 1-3
DATE
07/12
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 2-4
DATE
07/11
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
LOSE 4-3
DATE
07/10
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
LOSE 6-2
DATE
06/19
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o7.0
RESULT
LOSE 7-0
DATE
07/17
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o7.0
RESULT
WIN 8-2
DATE
07/12
SPREAD
β€”
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
LOSE 1-6
DATE
07/11
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
LOSE 2-7
DATE
07/10
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o7.5
WHO WON
Giants logo SF
RESULT
7-0
DATE
07/17
WHO WON
Giants logo SF
RESULT
4-5
DATE
04/06
WHO WON
Giants logo SF
RESULT
1-4
DATE
04/05
WHO WON
Giants logo SF
RESULT
9-10
DATE
04/04
WHO WON
Mariners logo SEA
RESULT
3-4
DATE
08/25

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.309
On Base Percentage
0.309
0.420
Slugging Percentage
0.377
4.43
Earned Run Average
3.64
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.36
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.19
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.246
19
52
91
0.328
4
35
120
0.229
16
41
83
0.282
19
50
100
0.307
5
33
103
0.278
8
28
63
0.232
4
20
45
0.269
9
22
52
0.162
4
9
12
0.293
4
9
17
0.265
0
2
9
0.269
1
3
7
0.105
0
0
2
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
5-7
3.86
1.16
80
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
8-6
3.38
1.27
90
7-8
3.98
1.27
106
5-7
3.86
1.16
80
2-6
4.95
1.40
55
2-8
5.31
1.46
73
3-7
5.02
1.30
54
0-0
2.87
1.13
33
2-5
4.62
1.36
48
2-0
3.29
1.50
38
4-1
5.60
1.65
22
0-1
7.52
1.82
19
1-1
4.94
1.52
15
1-2
2.04
1.59
21
0-1
3.55
1.18
13
0-0
13.50
2.50
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
POS
SS
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Back
Notes
Adames is dealing with lower back spasms injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Giants.
full roster and injuries
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.253
8
36
90
0.251
11
43
88
0.259
14
40
89
0.283
11
45
93
0.216
10
28
62
0.167
9
29
41
0.230
14
36
55
0.261
15
40
60
0.197
7
20
29
0.183
4
14
20
0.210
0
5
21
0.211
2
6
12
0.071
0
0
1
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
7-6
4.23
1.07
102
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
7-6
3.32
0.99
119
7-8
3.76
1.32
98
7-6
4.23
1.07
102
6-4
3.17
1.01
94
3-8
4.93
1.37
81
4-4
2.27
0.88
71
3-2
2.40
1.23
40
2-1
2.93
1.38
34
3-4
4.19
1.28
51
1-2
2.22
1.19
19
0-0
3.54
1.18
9
0-0
4.00
1.72
18
0-2
5.27
1.46
14
0-0
15.43
2.57
0
0-0
36.00
6.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
POS
RF
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Forearm
Notes
Raley is dealing with a forearm injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mariners.
full roster and injuries