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Belgium vs Senegal Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport
June 30, 2026
Belgium Vs Senegal Odds And Prediction 2026

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Kalshi holds a CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Lines.com earns affiliate commissions from some links on this page.

Belgium vs Senegal odds headline a Round of 32 tie at Lumen Field on July 1, 2026. Belgium won Group G after a slow tournament start. Senegal advanced third from Group I on goal difference.

Market makes Belgium a narrow favorite over Senegal in Round of 32

De-vigged FanDuel odds assign Belgium a 43.7% market-implied win probability for July 1. The same consensus prices a draw at 30.3% and Senegal at 26.1%. FanDuel listed Belgium at +115 before the de-vig adjustment. DraftKings posted Belgium +115, a draw near +220, and Senegal +270. Opta simulations gave Belgium a 45.6% win rate across 90 minutes.

Belgium drew Egypt, drew Iran, then beat New Zealand 5-1 in Group G. Belgium finished first in Group G despite two opening draws. Senegal lost to France and Norway before beating Iraq 5-0. Senegal qualified with three points as a best third-place team. Senegal became the first team to advance after two opening losses.

Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku returned to form for Belgium. Romelu Lukaku holds the most Belgium World Cup goal involvements since 1966. Defender Zeno Debast remains a Belgium injury doubt with a leg problem. Senegal miss first-choice goalkeeper Edouard Mendy with a knee sprain. Pape Gueye contributed three goal involvements in Senegal’s 5-0 win.

The winner advances to the 2026 World Cup Round of 16. A Belgium win would confirm the market-implied favorite read. A Senegal win would continue an improbable knockout run. A draw pushes the tie toward extra time and penalties. Belgium plays the tie at Lumen Field in Seattle.

Belgium enters as the Group G winner in the bracket. Senegal qualified among the eight best third-place teams in the tournament. Belgium’s 43.7% read leads a tight three-way market. Senegal’s 26.1% read reflects real market-implied upset chances. Book liquidity concentrates on the moneyline and total markets.

Belgium chases a deep run behind De Bruyne and Lukaku. Senegal aims to extend a knockout run past the Round of 32. The 2026 World Cup expanded to 48 teams with a new Round of 32. The knockout stage runs from June 28 to July 19, 2026. The 2026 World Cup final takes place at MetLife Stadium on July 19.

Market watchers track Belgium’s +115 price against the +210 draw line. An early Senegal goal would shift live win probability quickly. Belgium’s narrow favorite status reflects a close three-way market. Senegal’s +260 price shows competitive market-implied odds for July 1. The next matchday sends the winner into the Round of 16.

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Sources: FanDuel and DraftKings moneyline markets supplied the de-vigged probabilities. CBS Sports and Opta Analyst reported the fixture odds and form. ESPN reported team news and predicted lineups.