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Germany vs Paraguay Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport
June 29, 2026
Germany Vs Paraguay 2026 06 29 Hero

Germany vs Paraguay odds set a Round of 32 test in Foxborough on June 29, 2026. Germany won Group E to reach the knockout bracket. Market-implied probabilities favor Germany at Gillette Stadium.

Why the market backs Germany against Paraguay in Foxborough

FanDuel three-way odds imply Germany near 70% after vig removal. The draw sits near 19%, and Paraguay near 11% on FanDuel. FanDuel listed Germany at -280, the draw at +400, and Paraguay at +800. Polymarket and Kalshi list Germany as a heavy favorite to advance. Oddsmakers across major books price Germany as the round's clearest favorite.

Germany topped Group E ahead of Ecuador, Ivory Coast, and Curacao. Paraguay advanced from Group D alongside the United States. Germany owns four World Cup titles across the nation's history. Paraguay last reached a World Cup quarterfinal in 2010. Germany exited the 2022 World Cup in the group stage. Paraguay returned to the World Cup after missing three straight editions. Both teams reached the Round of 32 through contrasting attacking output.

Germany defender Nico Schlotterbeck exits the tournament with knee ligament damage. Antonio Rudiger deputizes in central defense for Germany. Germany names captain Joshua Kimmich in the defensive line. Germany expects Havertz, Wirtz, and Musiala in the front line. Paraguay loses Miguel Almiron to suspension after a red card. Paraguay reports no fresh injury concerns before kickoff.

The winner advances to the Round of 16 in early July 2026. The loser leaves the 2026 World Cup at the last-32 stage. Germany targets a deep run toward a fifth world title. Paraguay leans on striker Antonio Sanabria for attacking output. Paraguay chases a first knockout upset of a European power. A Gillette Stadium crowd will watch the Foxborough knockout tie.

Germany ranked among the shorter outright prices on Polymarket pre-tournament. Paraguay opened as a clear underdog in the South American bracket. The point spread market lists Germany around minus one goal. A two-goal Germany margin remains a popular market scenario. The Germany vs Paraguay winner faces a Round of 16 European or African side.

FanDuel held Germany near -280 in the lead-up to kickoff. Heavy favorite pricing leaves limited value on the Germany moneyline. Any Musiala or Wirtz fitness news could shift the Germany vs Paraguay market. A surprise Paraguay opener would likely tighten the live Germany price. Lines.com reports these market-implied probabilities for informational purposes only.

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Sources: FanDuel sportsbook odds, Polymarket pricing, and Sports Mole team news shaped this preview. RotoWire and SI betting previews supplied additional market and lineup detail.

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.

Lines.com may earn affiliate commissions from partner links on this page. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Kalshi holds a CFTC-regulated exchange designation.