Spain vs Saudi Arabia Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport

By lines

June 19, 2026

Spain vs Saudi Arabia 2026 World Cup market-implied odds preview

Spain vs Saudi Arabia odds headline a Group H match in Atlanta on June 21, 2026. Spain seek a first win after a shock draw. Saudi Arabia arrive level on points with Spain. Kickoff lands at 12:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Lines.com reports de-vigged sportsbook consensus odds, not its own forecast. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Kalshi holds CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Lines.com may earn affiliate commissions from links on this page.

What the market implies for Spain vs Saudi Arabia

Sportsbooks price Spain at -1000 for the June 21 match. The Spain price implies an 88% de-vigged win probability. The draw sits at +1100, an 8% market-implied outcome. Saudi Arabia carry +2500 odds, near a 4% implied chance. The Spain line ranks among the tournament’s shortest favorites.

Spain drew Cape Verde 0-0 in their Group H opener. That result left Spain fourth on goal difference. Saudi Arabia drew Uruguay 1-1 on matchday one. The Saudis sit level with Spain on one point. All four Group H teams hold one point each.

Spain coach Luis de la Fuente expects Lamine Yamal to play around 45 minutes. The 18-year-old returns from a hamstring injury this week. Yamal played 17 minutes off the bench against Cape Verde. Spain named no Real Madrid players in their World Cup squad.

Spain sit fourth in Group H despite their pedigree. A win would lift Spain to four points before matchday three. A second dropped result would deepen Spain’s early exit risk. Saudi Arabia could climb to four points with an upset.

Atlanta hosts the Group H fixture at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on June 21. Spain failed to score against Cape Verde. Saudi Arabia earned a point against Uruguay. The market-implied 88% Spain figure reflects squad quality over current form.

The Spain price held near -1000 across major sportsbooks this week. Market-implied numbers favor Spain at 88% over Saudi Arabia. A Saudi draw or win would stun the Group H market. Lines.com tracks the implied probabilities into the 12:00 PM ET kickoff.