Netherlands vs Sweden Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport

By lines

June 19, 2026

Netherlands vs Sweden odds set up a Group F clash in Houston on June 20, 2026. Sweden lead the group after a 5-1 win. The Netherlands chase a bounce-back after a 2-2 draw. Kickoff lands at 1:00 PM ET at NRG Stadium.

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Lines.com reports de-vigged sportsbook consensus odds, not its own forecast. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Kalshi holds CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Lines.com may earn affiliate commissions from links on this page.

What the market implies for Netherlands vs Sweden

Sportsbooks price the Netherlands at -130 for the June 20 match. The Dutch price implies a 54% de-vigged win probability. The draw sits at +295, a 24% market-implied outcome. Sweden carry +350 odds, near a 21% implied chance. Some books shortened the Netherlands to -138.

The Netherlands drew Japan 2-2 in their Group F opener. The Dutch led twice before Japan equalized in Dallas. Japan struck the equalizer late at AT&T Stadium in Texas. Sweden thrashed Tunisia 5-1 on matchday one. That result gave Sweden a plus-four goal difference. The Dutch sit on one point after the Japan draw.

Virgil van Dijk scored in the Dutch opener against Japan. The Netherlands conceded a late equalizer in that 2-2 draw. Sweden enter Houston after scoring five goals against Tunisia. Sweden top Group F on three points before kickoff.

Sweden lead Group F with three points before matchday two. A Netherlands loss would drop the Dutch toward elimination danger. A Sweden win or draw strengthens their grip on top spot. Japan and Tunisia meet later in the same group.

Houston hosts the Group F fixture at NRG Stadium on June 20. Sweden scored five goals in one match already. The Netherlands managed two goals against Japan. The market-implied 54% Dutch figure reflects that scoring gap.

The Netherlands price ranged from -130 to -138 across books this week. The Sweden price held near +350 across major sportsbooks. Market-implied numbers favor the Dutch at 54% over Sweden. A Sweden upset would reshape Group F before matchday three. Lines.com tracks the implied probabilities into the 1:00 PM ET kickoff.