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South Korea vs Czechia Prediction (2026 World Cup)

Sport
June 7, 2026
Wc2026 South Korea Czechia Hero

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Kalshi holds CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Lines.com may receive compensation from affiliated partners linked on this page.

South Korea vs Czechia 2026 World Cup Group A kicks off June 11 at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara. Kickoff is 10:00 PM ET. Both nations enter knowing Group A host Mexico holds heavy tournament favorite status. The winner here gains a decisive edge in the race for second place in Group A.

South Korea vs Czechia: Kalshi markets show the tightest group-stage opener of matchday 1

Kalshi, holding CFTC-regulated exchange designation, assigns South Korea a 37% match-implied win probability for June 11. Czechia holds a 33% market-implied win probability on the same Kalshi market. The draw carries a 31% implied probability. Polymarket, operating under CFTC oversight, also hosts a match market with near-equal pricing across all three outcomes.

South Korea’s FIFA ranking stands at 22nd globally entering the 2026 World Cup. Czechia ranks 33rd in the June 2026 FIFA rankings. South Korea qualified from the AFC third round with eight wins in ten matches. Czechia advanced via a European play-off win in November 2025. Kalshi’s Group A Winner market prices Mexico at 68%, South Korea at 18%, and Czechia at 11%.

Son Heung-min captains South Korea at his fourth World Cup, now playing for LAFC in MLS. Son scored 12 goals and 4 assists in 13 MLS appearances in 2025. Kim Min-jae anchors South Korea’s defense after a full season with Bayern Munich. Midfielder Hwang In-beom carries an ankle concern and has been limited in South Korea’s training camp. Patrik Schick leads Czechia’s attack after 16 goals in 28 Bundesliga appearances for Bayer Leverkusen in 2025-26. Tomas Soucek anchors Czechia’s midfield after captaining West Ham in the Premier League in 2025-26. Coach Hong Myung-bo leads South Korea and Coach Miroslav Koubek manages Czechia.

A South Korea win moves the team ahead of Czechia in Group A before Matchday 2 against Mexico. A Czechia win would match South Korea’s total victories from the entire 2022 World Cup group stage. A draw leaves both teams tied on one point entering Matchday 2. Group A Matchday 2 sends South Korea against Mexico and Czechia against South Africa.

South Korea’s Kalshi win probability moved from 34% to 37% between June 1 and June 7. The 3-point drift followed reports of Hwang In-beom’s ankle concern reducing Czech fears in central midfield. Czechia’s implied win odds slipped from 35% to 33% over the same window. The draw holds at 31%, reflecting how evenly matched both squads appear on paper. Polymarket had not posted a high-volume standalone match market for this fixture as of June 7, 2026.

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Market data sourced from Polymarket, operating under CFTC oversight, and DeFi Rate World Cup Odds Tracker (Kalshi), as of June 7, 2026. Squad and form data sourced from ESPN and KhelNow.