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Brazil vs Morocco Prediction (2026 World Cup)

Sport
June 7, 2026
Wc2026 Brazil Morocco Hero

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Lines.com may receive compensation from affiliated partners linked on this page.

Brazil vs Morocco 2026 World Cup Group C opens June 13 at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is 6:00 PM ET in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Brazil enters as a five-time FIFA World Cup champion. Morocco arrives as Africa’s first-ever World Cup semi-finalists, from Qatar 2022.

Brazil vs Morocco: What prediction markets signal for Group C’s opener

Polymarket, operating under CFTC oversight, assigns Brazil a 58.5% market-implied win probability for June 13. Morocco holds a 17.2% market-implied win probability on the same Polymarket market. The draw absorbs the remaining 24.3% implied probability. Polymarket’s Group C Winner market prices Brazil at 73% and Morocco at 21% to top the group.

Brazil has won the FIFA World Cup five times: 1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, and 2002. Carlo Ancelotti coaches the Seleção at his first World Cup as Brazil manager. Vinicius Junior scored 23 La Liga goals for Real Madrid in 2025-26. Raphinha contributed 27 goals and 14 assists for Barcelona in 2025-26. Morocco won all ten African qualifying matches, scoring 26 goals in the campaign.

Real Madrid confirmed Rodrygo has torn the ACL and meniscus in his right knee, ruling Rodrygo out. Estevao also misses the World Cup after a hamstring injury in April 2026. Neymar, Brazil’s all-time leading scorer, returns to the squad in place of Estevao. Morocco captain Achraf Hakimi carries a thigh concern from the Champions League semi-final in May 2026. Hakim Ziyech and Youssef En-Nesyri are absent from Morocco’s confirmed 26-man squad.

Brazil’s FIFA ranking stands at sixth globally entering the 2026 World Cup. Morocco ranks 14th in the June 2026 FIFA rankings, a record high for an African nation. The two teams met in a March 2023 friendly, which Brazil won 2-1. Brazil went 9-1-8 in 18 CONMEBOL qualifying matches.

A Brazil win advances the Seleção to three points before Group C Matchday 2 against Haiti. A Morocco win would shift Group C standings and open a path to the top two spots. A draw leaves both sides needing a result in Matchday 2 to secure safe passage. Group C also contains Haiti and Scotland, both ranked outside the top 45 by FIFA.

Brazil’s Polymarket win probability climbed 4.5 points, from 54.0% on June 1 to 58.5% by June 7. The movement followed Neymar’s squad recall and Hakimi’s confirmed thigh concern. Morocco’s implied win odds contracted from 20.0% to 17.2% in that same six-day window. The draw fell from 27.0% to 24.3% as Brazil-side volume increased. Kalshi holds CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Kalshi had not posted a standalone match market for this fixture as of June 7, 2026.

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Market data sourced from Polymarket, operating under CFTC oversight, as of June 7, 2026. Squad and injury data sourced from ESPN Injuries Tracker and FOX Sports.