Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees Result: NRFI Settled YES

The Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees prediction market settled its NRFI outcome on July 20, 2026, confirming no runs crossed the plate in the opening inning at Yankee Stadium. Both starting pitchers — Braxton Ashcraft for Pittsburgh and Ryan Weathers for New York — navigated the first inning cleanly, locking in the YES resolution.

Polymarket closed the NRFI market at 100 percent in favor of the YES outcome, meaning traders who backed a scoreless first inning were fully vindicated. The Yankees won the overall game 8-5, but the first-inning outcome stood independent of the final result.

Game Stats

• Players
• Team

Batters	AB	HR	RBI	H
B.Lowe 2B	368	21	65	90
B.Reynolds LF	365	14	59	103
N.Gonzales 3B	356	5	45	110
R.O'Hearn RF	320	16	64	90
J.Mangum LF	246	2	20	74
M.Ozuna DH	231	8	28	48
K.Griffin SS	225	5	25	62
J.Triolo SS	201	1	18	49
H.Davis C	174	8	27	29
E.Valdez RF	108	13	34	33
E.Rodríguez C	100	5	16	26
T.Callihan LF	83	3	15	20
B.Cook RF	41	0	2	9

Starting pitcher	IP	ER	K	BB
B.Ashcraft SP	116	51	130	28

Pitchers	IP	ER	K	BB
B.Ashcraft SP	116	51	130	28
P.Skenes SP	115	44	138	26
M.Keller SP	103	59	77	35
B.Chandler SP	94	50	85	55
C.Mlodzinski SP	83	29	66	28
Y.Ramírez RP	52	19	59	31
D.Santana RP	41	28	37	21
G.Soto RP	40	18	46	18
J.Jones SP	40	18	48	12
M.Montgomery RP	39	17	58	18
E.Sisk RP	36	9	43	13
I.Mattson RP	32	15	29	14
T.Callihan LF	2	0	0	3
N.Gonzales 3B	0	0	0	0
B.Lowe 2B	0	0	0	0
B.Reynolds LF	0	0	0	0
E.Valdez RF	0	0	0	0
R.O'Hearn RF	0	0	0	0
M.Ozuna DH	0	0	0	0
J.Triolo SS	0	0	0	0
H.Davis C	0	0	0	0
B.Cook RF	0	0	0	0
J.Mangum LF	0	0	0	0
K.Griffin SS	0	0	0	0
E.Rodríguez C	0	0	0	0

full roster

Batters	AB	HR	RBI	H
C.Bellinger LF	361	11	52	92
B.Rice 1B	352	29	68	99
J.Chisholm Jr. 2B	334	16	43	76
J.Caballero SS	283	10	37	70
P.Goldschmidt 1B	251	15	42	65
A.Wells C	202	6	13	32
A.Rosario 3B	152	9	27	36
J.Domínguez DH	148	5	11	34
A.Volpe SS	143	1	14	35
S.Jones RF	73	2	7	17
M.Schuemann SS	57	2	6	13
A.Sánchez C	35	0	4	8
O.Cabrera 3B	9	0	0	0

Starting pitcher	IP	ER	K	BB
R.Weathers SP	102	50	115	29

Pitchers	IP	ER	K	BB
C.Schlittler SP	123	30	145	25
R.Weathers SP	102	50	115	29
W.Warren SP	98	44	96	33
G.Cole SP	55	24	55	12
P.Blackburn RP	52	12	38	17
B.Headrick RP	50	8	59	17
C.Rodón SP	46	17	52	26
F.Cruz RP	42	11	55	24
R.Yarbrough RP	39	17	28	16
T.Hill RP	38	18	18	9
C.Doval RP	37	20	35	15
J.Bird RP	30	20	31	11
M.Schuemann SS	1	0	0	1
B.Rice 1B	0	0	0	0
P.Goldschmidt 1B	0	0	0	0
C.Bellinger LF	0	0	0	0
J.Chisholm Jr. 2B	0	0	0	0
J.Domínguez DH	0	0	0	0
A.Wells C	0	0	0	0
J.Caballero SS	0	0	0	0
A.Volpe SS	0	0	0	0
A.Rosario 3B	0	0	0	0
A.Sánchez C	0	0	0	0
S.Jones RF	0	0	0	0
O.Cabrera 3B	0	0	0	0

full roster

PIT

NYY

0

At Bats

0

0

Runs

0

0

Hits

0

0

Walks

0

0

Strikeouts

0

0.341

On Base Percentage

0.315

0.427

Slugging Percentage

0.423

4.30

Earned Run Average

3.42

0

Earned Runs

0

0

Home Runs

0

0

Walks

0

0

Strikeouts

0

0

Strikeouts Per 9 Innings

0

1.32

Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched

1.19

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What Happened: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees

The New York Yankees defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-5 on July 20, 2026, at Yankee Stadium. The game featured a high-scoring middle and late innings, but the opening frame was quiet on both sides. Braxton Ashcraft took the mound for Pittsburgh and held the Yankees hitless in the first. Ryan Weathers did the same against the Pirates, setting the NRFI result in stone before either offense found its footing.

The Yankees finished with nine hits and no errors across the full game. The Pirates collected six hits with two errors. Jazz Chisholm Jr. drew three walks and contributed offensively for New York, while the Yankees’ lineup built most of its damage in the middle innings. Pittsburgh’s offense produced five runs but could not overcome New York’s sustained output through the later frames.

How the Market Called It

Polymarket closed the NRFI market at 100 percent, with the market correctly favoring the YES outcome. The market priced this game at near-even odds earlier in the trading window, with the 30-day low sitting around 49 percent before momentum shifted sharply higher on July 20. By resolution, traders had moved the probability to a full lock.

Total volume on the market reached $845,915, with $845,402 of that trading in the final 24 hours. That late surge reflected a strongly bullish read on the NRFI outcome as game time approached. The closing probability correctly identified the result, making this a market that called its shot cleanly when it mattered most.

Where the Big Money Landed

Three significant positions drove the late-market volume toward the YES side. The largest came from trader mooseborzoi, who placed $131,757 on YES at 48 cents per share, backing the NRFI outcome and generating an estimated profit of $25,900 when the market settled.

Wallet 0x69c5…1e01 entered the market twice. The first position totaled $76,274 at 52.4 cents. The second position added $73,454 at 53 cents, with the price moving 19 cents in that trader’s favor by resolution. All three large positions backed the YES side — no major capital sat on the NO outcome — and all three traders closed profitably after the first inning confirmed no runs scored.

What Is Next

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees continue their 2026 MLB schedules with separate upcoming series. Traders looking for the next live market on either club can find active Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees game lines on Lines.com. The MLB World Series Champion 2026 market remains live and tracks the broader playoff picture, with current probability sitting at 32 percent for relevant contenders.

For sports prediction market action beyond baseball, Lines.com carries live markets on the NFL Champion 2027 contest and F1 Drivers’ and Constructors’ Championships. Head to the MLB hub on Lines.com to find the next available Pirates and Yankees matchup markets before they move.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

NRFI — YES

The Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees first inning produced no runs on July 20, 2026, settling the NRFI market exactly as the closing probability indicated. The market called this one correctly, and the heavy late-money volume on the YES side proved well-placed.