Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction July 26

The Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction locks in the No Run First Inning outcome at 100 percent, the most decisive market read on Polymarket entering Sunday’s series finale in Milwaukee. Jacob Misiorowski has been Milwaukee’s shutdown ace all season, carrying a 1.57 ERA into a matchup against a road-weary Colorado lineup that ranks among the worst in baseball away from Coors Field.

The NRFI market climbed 27 percent in the last 24 hours and settled there, with a trend score of 31.54 confirming the move built steadily rather than spiking on a single trade. The Colorado Rockies (42-64) and Milwaukee Brewers (65-39) split the first two games of this series — Milwaukee won Game 1 by 8-5, Colorado answered Friday with a 5-2 victory. Total market volume of 337,888 dollars, nearly all arriving in one 24-hour window, signals strong trader conviction.

Game Stats

• Players
• Team

Batters	AVG	HR	RBI	H
H.Goodman C	0.259	31	60	94
T.Rumfield 1B	0.298	13	53	108
E.Tovar SS	0.198	8	32	66
W.Castro 2B	0.256	9	43	82
J.McCarthy CF	0.302	10	58	95
K.Karros 3B	0.266	9	37	80
T.Johnston RF	0.292	3	41	86
T.Freeman RF	0.253	3	23	60
M.Moniak LF	0.277	16	43	64
E.Julien 2B	0.215	3	20	48
B.Sullivan C	0.218	4	15	29
C.Carrigg CF	0.288	4	25	36
B.Doyle CF	0.207	1	4	23
J.Beck LF	0.183	1	10	15
S.Thompson RF	0.232	2	10	16
B.Fulford C	0.180	1	7	11
C.Stevens 2B	0.036	0	3	1
R.Ritter 2B	0.143	0	0	1

Starting pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
K.Freeland SP	2-9	7.28	1.56	83

Pitchers	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
M.Lorenzen SP	3-9	6.53	1.79	78
T.Sugano SP	10-4	4.69	1.29	56
K.Freeland SP	2-9	7.28	1.56	83
R.Feltner SP	3-5	5.73	1.46	54
Z.Agnos RP	0-2	6.42	1.59	39
T.Gordon SP	0-2	5.90	1.52	53
A.Senzatela RP	9-2	3.53	1.24	45
J.Mejia RP	3-6	5.48	1.57	47
C.Dollander SP	3-3	3.89	1.30	47
B.Bernardino RP	3-3	2.74	1.20	33
J.Quintana SP	2-3	5.27	1.51	20
V.Vodnik RP	3-3	5.18	1.64	24
J.Herget RP	0-3	5.60	1.57	28
J.Hill RP	0-2	5.06	1.65	28
S.Sullivan SP	0-3	8.87	2.02	16
B.Castaño RP	1-0	3.92	1.36	17
G.Hughes SP	0-2	2.79	1.14	19
S.Halvorsen RP	0-1	4.74	1.95	17
J.Romano RP	0-2	6.14	1.84	21
K.Thompson RP	0-0	8.25	1.75	11
V.Bellozo RP	0-1	7.59	1.59	8
B.Sullivan C	0-0	4.50	1.83	1
T.Shook RP	0-0	9.53	1.94	6
J.Brebbia RP	0-0	10.39	1.62	2
J.Criswell SP	0-0	4.50	1.75	3
E.Castellano RP	0-0	0.00	1.33	2
S.Peralta RP	0-1	10.13	1.88	4
W.Herrera RP	0-0	0.00	1.29	2
W.Castro 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
M.Moniak LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Freeman RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.McCarthy CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Doyle CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
E.Julien 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
H.Goodman C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
C.Stevens 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
E.Tovar SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Rumfield 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Johnston RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Fulford C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Beck LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
R.Ritter 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
S.Thompson RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
C.Carrigg CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
K.Karros 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0

INJURY REPORT

NAME	POS	STATUS	INJURY	NOTES
Jose Quintana	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Quintana is dealing with a left elbow sprain and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Tomoyuki Sugano	POS SP	STATUS Questionable	INJURY Finger	Notes Sugano is dealing with a finger injury and is uncertain to make his next scheduled start for the Rockies.
Brenton Doyle	POS CF	STATUS Out	INJURY Left Side	Notes Doyle is dealing with a left side contusion and has been placed on the 10-day injured list.
Jaden Hill	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Shoulder	Notes Hill is dealing with right shoulder tendonitis and has been placed on the 15-day injured list.
Blas Castaño	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Pectoral	Notes Castaño is dealing with a right pectoral strain and has been placed on the 15-day injured list.
Chase Dollander	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Dollander underwent UCL surgery and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Welinton Herrera	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Herrera is dealing with inflammation in his left elbow and has ben placed on the 60-day injured list.

full roster and injuries

Batters	AVG	HR	RBI	H
B.Turang 2B	0.267	15	62	102
W.Contreras C	0.274	10	57	102
J.Bauers 1B	0.259	18	59	83
G.Mitchell CF	0.272	8	48	81
J.Chourio LF	0.275	13	39	80
S.Frelick RF	0.236	4	34	65
C.Yelich DH	0.243	7	37	66
J.Ortiz SS	0.235	5	28	55
D.Hamilton 3B	0.237	3	15	50
A.Vaughn 1B	0.309	3	26	51
G.Sánchez C	0.218	8	25	32
C.Pratt SS	0.281	2	11	27
B.Perkins CF	0.157	1	11	14
B.Shewmake SS	0.259	3	10	22
B.Lockridge LF	0.294	0	12	25
L.Lara CF	0.276	0	5	8
T.Black DH	0.333	0	7	9
G.Jones LF	0.087	0	1	2
L.Matos RF	0.200	0	0	4
J.Quero C	0.000	0	0	0

Starting pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
J.Misiorowski SP	10-4	1.57	0.77	173

Pitchers	W-L	ERA	WHIP	K
J.Misiorowski SP	10-4	1.57	0.77	173
B.Sproat SP	3-5	5.09	1.39	91
K.Harrison SP	8-2	3.01	1.08	101
S.Drohan RP	5-4	3.51	1.20	82
C.Patrick SP	5-4	3.48	1.20	67
A.Ashby RP	12-2	3.32	1.41	82
R.Gasser SP	3-4	4.71	1.17	52
B.Woodruff SP	2-2	2.98	0.84	47
G.Anderson RP	3-3	3.38	1.13	37
L.McCullers Jr. SP	2-3	6.55	1.55	48
A.Uribe RP	4-2	2.38	1.06	41
T.Megill RP	2-2	2.98	0.99	49
L.Henderson SP	4-1	3.05	0.94	47
J.Kuhnel RP	1-3	4.84	1.47	22
D.Hall RP	0-0	2.03	1.23	32
C.Crow SP	0-1	5.30	1.45	10
C.Yoho RP	2-0	3.50	0.89	18
B.Wilson RP	0-0	4.08	1.36	14
A.Zerpa RP	0-2	6.40	1.74	8
C.Rodriguez RP	0-0	3.86	1.50	8
J.Koenig RP	0-0	9.00	2.71	7
B.Fitzpatrick RP	0-0	1.35	1.50	5
D.Rom SP	1-0	3.18	1.77	11
G.Stallings SP	0-0	0.00	0.67	4
E.McGee RP	0-0	0.00	1.00	1
C.Yelich DH	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
G.Sánchez C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Bauers 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Perkins CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
G.Mitchell CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
W.Contreras C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Turang 2B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
L.Matos RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
G.Jones LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Ortiz SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Shewmake SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
A.Vaughn 1B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Quero C	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
B.Lockridge LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
D.Hamilton 3B	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
J.Chourio LF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
T.Black DH	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
S.Frelick RF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
L.Lara CF	0-0	0.00	0.00	0
C.Pratt SS	0-0	0.00	0.00	0

INJURY REPORT

NAME	POS	STATUS	INJURY	NOTES
Lance McCullers Jr.	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Shoulder	Notes McCullers Jr. is dealing with right shoulder inflammation and has been placed on the 15-day injured list.
DL Hall	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Pectoral	Notes Hall is dealing with a pectoral injury and has been placed on the 15-day injured list. He is expected to return in late July.
Braden Shewmake	POS SS	STATUS Out	INJURY Adductor	Notes Shewmake is dealing with a right adductor muscle strain and has been placed on the 10-day injured list.
Brandon Lockridge	POS LF	STATUS Out	INJURY Knee	Notes Lockridge is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the 10-day injured list. He is expected to return in late July.
Angel Zerpa	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Zerpa will undergo Tommy John surgery and has been placed on the 60-day injured list. He will miss the reminder of the 2026 season.
Logan Henderson	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Back	Notes Henderson is dealing with a lower back strain and has been placed on the 15-day injured list. He is expected to return in early July for the Brewers.
Carlos Rodriguez	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Shoulder	Notes Rodriguez is dealing with a right shoulder impingement and has been placed on the 15-day injured list. He is expected to return in late July.
Coleman Crow	POS SP	STATUS Out	INJURY Forearm	Notes Crow is dealing with a flexor strain in his right forearm and has been placed on the 15-day injured list. He is expected to return in early July.
Brian Fitzpatrick	POS RP	STATUS Out	INJURY Elbow	Notes Fitzpatrick is dealing with an elbow injury and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.

full roster and injuries

COL

MIL

33.93

At Bats

33.94

4.76

Runs

5.04

915

Hits

896

3.16

Walks

4.13

8.59

Strikeouts

8.23

0.325

On Base Percentage

0.336

0.418

Slugging Percentage

0.399

5.49

Earned Run Average

3.44

5.36

Earned Runs

3.42

1.42

Home Runs

0.98

3.25

Walks

3.16

752

Strikeouts

1,012

0.07

Strikeouts Per 9 Innings

0.09

1.52

Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched

1.17

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How the Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Market Resolves

The NRFI market on Polymarket resolves YES if neither the Colorado Rockies nor the Milwaukee Brewers score in the first inning on July 26. The YES outcome carries 100 percent implied probability, with the NO outcome sitting at zero percent. The two sides break down as follows:

• NRFI (YES): 100%
• Run in First Inning (NO): 0%

The Colorado Rockies make the strongest case for a clean first inning on the road side. Kyle Freeland takes the mound with a 2-9 record and a 7.28 ERA, and the Rockies carry a brutal 18-35 road mark — the worst away record in the NL West. Colorado’s lineup consistently underperforms outside of Coors Field’s altitude advantage, and Misiorowski’s 0.77 WHIP makes reaching base even harder. The Brewers are 65-39 and atop the NL Central, with a .336 on-base percentage that keeps a first-inning threat realistic for the home side against a struggling Freeland.

Market Signals and Form

The NRFI market surged 27 percent over 24 hours, then went flat in the final hour — traders priced in this outcome decisively once Misiorowski’s start was confirmed and then left it alone. The trend score of 31.54 reflects a market that cooled after a strong directional run, not one still seeking direction. The catalyst is clear: Misiorowski’s season numbers made a scoreless first inning feel inevitable to anyone watching.

Total volume of 337,888 dollars with 337,379 dollars arriving in 24 hours is an unusual single-session concentration for a game prop. Liquidity of 731,042 dollars against near-zero open interest means traders moved through this market aggressively and left little room for the opposing side. The game total sits at 9.5 overall, with the first-five-innings over/under at 4.5, reflecting a Brewers-controlled, lower-scoring early environment.

• Jacob Misiorowski: 10-4, 1.57 ERA, 0.77 WHIP — one of the NL’s dominant individual pitching performances in 2026
• Kyle Freeland: 2-9, 7.28 ERA — struggling badly away from Coors Field
• Market momentum: NRFI gained 27% in 24 hours then stabilized, confirming deliberate conviction
• Volume concentration: 337,379 of 337,888 total dollars traded in a single session
• Series context: Milwaukee won Game 1 by 8-5; Colorado won Game 2 by 5-2 on a first-inning double play

NRFI Lines Analysis: Misiorowski Sets the Table

The bull case for NRFI rests squarely on Jacob Misiorowski. The Milwaukee right-hander has posted a 1.57 ERA across 19 starts in 2026, one of the most dominant individual pitcher seasons in the NL. Misiorowski’s 0.77 WHIP means Colorado batters make quick outs, squeezing the probability of any first-inning scoring sequence to near zero.

The path to NO runs through Kyle Freeland and Milwaukee’s disciplined lineup. Colorado showed in Game 2 on Friday that the Rockies can strike fast — Kyle Karros and Cole Carrigg hit consecutive doubles in the opening frame. A repeat of that sequence would break the market and resolve NRFI as NO.

• Watch Freeland’s first-pitch strikes: Early control determines whether Milwaukee’s top of the order extends at-bats
• Watch Misiorowski’s fastball command: Colorado’s Jake McCarthy and Kyle Karros have shown ability to work quality at-bats
• Watch Colorado’s road lineup: The Rockies’ 18-35 road record reflects consistent underperformance outside of altitude
• Watch Milwaukee’s home park advantage: American Family Field gives Brewers starters a strong home-crowd edge early

Total volume of 337,888 dollars on a single-game prop reflects genuine market depth and broad participation. That concentration reinforces the consensus that Sunday’s pitching matchup makes a scoreless first inning the overwhelming expected outcome.

LINES VERDICT

NRFI

Jacob Misiorowski’s elite command and the Colorado Rockies’ dismal road offense make a scoreless first inning the clear consensus outcome, with overwhelming trader conviction fully supporting the market read.