Will ‘Over Your Dead Body’ Score 60+ on Rotten Tomatoes?

Critics have spoken, and the market has listened. The 60+ threshold on Rotten Tomatoes for Over Your Dead Body is not a live debate. With the film already earning scores in the high-60s to mid-70s across dozens of critic reviews, this contract resolves on April 27 with the math firmly settled.

The market price of $0.98 tells the whole story. Traders have priced Over Your Dead Body’s 60+ outcome at 98% certainty, leaving the NO side at just $0.02. That $1,022 in total volume and $448 in 24-hour trading shows a small but decisive market. The money flowing in is not debating the outcome. It is collecting a near-certain return before the April 27 close.

How the Over Your Dead Body Rotten Tomatoes Contract Works

This Polymarket contract asks one question: does Over Your Dead Body finish with a Rotten Tomatoes critic score of 60% or higher at resolution? The market resolves based on the Rotten Tomatoes score as of April 27, 2026. Resolution is binary: the score either clears 60 or it does not.

• YES ($0.98): Over Your Dead Body holds a 60% or higher Rotten Tomatoes score at resolution, implying a 98% probability.
• NO ($0.02): The score falls below 60%, implying a 2% probability.

The NO outcome requires a dramatic reversal. Over Your Dead Body would need its score to collapse from its current range down below the 60% floor. With 64 critics already logged on Rotten Tomatoes and the film scoring in the high 60s to mid-70s, the math required to push below 60 is nearly impossible in the time remaining before April 27.

Sponsored Partner

Market Signals: Conviction With No Drama

Momentum for Over Your Dead Body is composed and settled. The 1-hour change of +0.0%, the 24-hour gain of +0.3%, and a trend score of 37.58 combine into a single signal: this contract found its ceiling and is holding there. The buying pressure that drove the price up from $0.33 at open has faded into quiet conviction.

Over Your Dead Body’s $1,022 in total volume reflects a niche, low-liquidity contract. The $448 in 24-hour volume against $2,259 in available liquidity shows traders are still positioning, not exiting. The order book is deep relative to daily turnover. That ratio suggests the few remaining NO holders have no reinforcements arriving.

• Over Your Dead Body climbed from $0.33 to $0.98 across several sessions in late April, a move of more than 60 cents driven by expanding critic reviews landing above the 60% line.
• The 24-hour gain of +0.3% and the flat 1-hour reading confirm decelerating upward movement, consistent with a contract approaching natural ceiling.
• The $2,259 in liquidity against only $448 in daily volume shows thin but stable market structure with no sign of a reversal trade building.

Lines Analysis: Over Your Dead Body and the 60% Floor

Over Your Dead Body debuted at SXSW 2026 with a 75% score on 12 reviews. As the total review count expanded to 64 critics, the score settled into the high-60s range. Both figures comfortably clear the 60% threshold. Jorma Taccone’s dark comedy, starring Jason Segel, Samara Weaving, Timothy Olyphant, and Juliette Lewis, earned enough goodwill from critics to hold above the 60 line across a meaningful sample size.

The alternative outcome closes this gap only if dozens of late-arriving negative reviews flood Rotten Tomatoes before April 27. The arithmetic does not support that scenario. A film at roughly 69% with 64 reviews would need a string of consecutive Rotten reviews to drag the aggregate below 60. The review cycle for a film at this stage in its theatrical run has already peaked.

• Over Your Dead Body’s SXSW debut score of 75% signals the film’s ceiling among early enthusiast critics. Any price movement toward $1.00 would reflect a late wave of positive reviews.
• A score drop toward 60% would require a sustained wave of negative late reviews. Watch for any major critical outlet that has not yet weighed in.
• The $0.02 NO price moves meaningfully only if the Rotten Tomatoes score enters the low-60s range before April 27, tightening the margin to failure.
• Related markets show no correlated signal. Over Your Dead Body does not appear in the highest-grossing or biggest-opening-weekend markets at meaningful probabilities.

The $1,022 in total volume and the current $0.98 price put the data clearly on one side. Over Your Dead Body holds above 60% on Rotten Tomatoes. The market has reached that conclusion and is not revisiting it.

LINES VERDICT

Yes, Over Your Dead Body Clears the Line

The film already holds a critic score well above 60% with a large review sample locked in. The April 27 resolution is a formality, not a forecast.

What the market says: At 98%, traders have treated this contract as settled. The April 27 resolution date leaves almost no runway for the kind of critical reversal that would threaten the 60+ outcome. Volatility at this price level is noise, not signal.

Political Context: Film Scores as Prediction Markets

Here’s what the market is missing: the 60+ threshold was a genuine debate in early April. Over Your Dead Body opened at $0.33 on this market, meaning traders initially gave the film only a one-in-three chance of clearing 60%. The SXSW premiere changed that. Review scores from the festival circuit moved this market 65 cents in a matter of days. The film’s dark comedy tone, a remake of the 2021 Norwegian film The Trip, carries real polarization risk. But with 64 critics counted, the aggregate has stabilized above the critical floor. The math doesn’t lie: the sample size is too large, and the score is too high, for a reversal before April 27.

FAQ

• What does 98% probability mean for Over Your Dead Body? It means traders currently believe there is a 98-in-100 chance the film’s Rotten Tomatoes score finishes at 60% or above by the April 27 resolution date.
• What pays out the NO contract? The NO position pays out if Over Your Dead Body’s Rotten Tomatoes critic score falls below 60% at the April 27 resolution. At $0.02, the market assigns a 2% chance of that happening.
• What moves the price of this contract? New critic reviews published before April 27 that shift the Rotten Tomatoes aggregate below 60% would send the NO price sharply higher. A stable or rising score keeps YES near $0.98.
• When does this market resolve? The market resolves on April 27, 2026. The Rotten Tomatoes score at that date determines the outcome.
• Is the $1,022 in volume enough to trust? The low total volume of $1,022 means this is a thin market. Prices can move on small trades. The $2,259 in available liquidity provides some depth, but treat price signals here with more caution than in higher-volume markets.