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I Love Boosters RT Score: 89+ Market at 86%

I Love Boosters RT Score: 89+ Market at 86%

VC Vanessa Cole Culture & Entertainment Expert
Market Resolved
Embed this market
Resolution Verdict
YES Market Resolved

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%.

Resolved
Volume
$4.5K
$943 in 24h
Liquidity
$8.3K
Low depth
Time Left
Ended
Resolves May 26
5K Vol. Ended
89+ $825 Vol.
100%
91+ $493 Vol.
0%
93+ $2K Vol.
0%
95+ $110 Vol.
0%
97+ $1K Vol.
0%

Two days before resolution, the I Love Boosters Rotten Tomatoes market has already made up its mind — almost. Traders are pricing an 86.2% chance the film clears the 89% critical approval threshold. That’s a confident lean, not a sure thing. With a resolution window closing May 26 and thin volume on the books, a single batch of late reviews could still reprice this contract sharply in either direction.

The market question is straightforward: does I Love Boosters finish with a Rotten Tomatoes score at or above 89%? Polymarket’s YES contract trades at $0.86 and the NO contract at $0.14, implying an 86.2% probability of a YES resolution. The market closes May 26, 2026. Total volume stands at $4,537 with $943 traded in the last 24 hours.

How the I Love Boosters RT Contract Works

Resolution depends entirely on Rotten Tomatoes’ aggregated critic score for I Love Boosters at the time Polymarket’s resolution source checks the data. YES pays out if the score lands at 89% or higher. NO pays out if the score sits at 88% or below. The five threshold markets — 89+, 91+, 93+, 95+, 97+ — are structured so that YES in a lower tier doesn’t guarantee YES in a higher one.

  • YES (89+ score): $0.86, implying 86.2% probability.
  • NO (score below 89%): $0.14, implying 13.8% probability.

For NO to pay out, I Love Boosters needs enough negative or mixed reviews to drag the aggregate below 89%. Rotten Tomatoes scoring is binary per critic: fresh or rotten. A film sitting at 90% with 100 reviews needs 11 consecutive rotten reviews to fall below 89%. The closer a score sits to the threshold, the more vulnerable it becomes to a late review batch. That’s the specific risk embedded in the NO contract here.

Momentum and Market Signals Move the Needle

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The momentum picture for this contract is stable rather than directional. The trend score of 52.68 sits near neutral, and price changes over the last hour and 24 hours have not registered a significant move. Stable momentum this close to resolution typically signals that the information baked into current pricing reflects the available review count — and traders aren’t anticipating a sudden wave of late-breaking critical opinion.

Volume tells a more cautious story. Total traded volume is $4,537, and the 24-hour figure is $943. Both sit well below $1 million. At this liquidity level, a single meaningful trade — or a surprise cluster of rotten reviews hitting RT — can shift the price sharply without needing much capital. The $8,287 in available liquidity provides a modest buffer, but this is a thin market. Price is more volatile per dollar traded than a high-volume contract.

  • I Love Boosters YES contract holds at $0.86, unchanged through recent trading windows, suggesting reviewers in the current count are predominantly positive.
  • The 13.8% NO probability reflects real uncertainty: at any RT score near the 89% boundary, a handful of rotten reviews would trigger resolution in the other direction.
  • The trend score of 52.68 indicates neither a strong bullish push nor a retreat — the market is waiting on data, not reacting to it.
  • Thin volume means price can move sharply on breaking news — specifically, a publication of a significant critical batch before May 26.
  • The 24-hour volume of $943 represents roughly 20% of total market volume, indicating modest but consistent recent interest.

Lines Analysis: What the Score Structure Says About I Love Boosters

I Love Boosters sits in a favorable position with two days left. An 86.2% market probability suggests the current RT score is comfortably above 89%, not teetering at 89% or 90%. Films that hover right at the threshold typically see more price volatility and lower YES probabilities this close to resolution. The relative confidence here points to a score likely in the low-to-mid 90s, which would explain why the 89+ contract is comfortable while higher-threshold contracts (91+, 93+, 95+, 97+) presumably trade at lower probabilities.

The challenger scenario comes from review count dynamics. Early RT scores can look very different at 30 reviews versus 100. If I Love Boosters has a smaller current review count, each new critic carries more weight. A wave of middling-to-negative reviews from outlets that publish late in a film’s cycle — weekly publications, international critics, or specialty outlets — could compress the score below 89% before resolution. The NO contract is priced modestly for a reason: this outcome is unlikely but structurally possible.

  • Watch the Rotten Tomatoes review count between now and May 26 — a jump in new reviews is the single most important variable.
  • Track whether major critical outlets with historically contrarian takes have yet to publish on I Love Boosters.
  • Monitor the higher-threshold markets (91+, 93+) for price movement — if those drop, it signals incoming negative reviews even before the 89+ contract moves.
  • Any distributor-driven press pushes or embargo lifts in the next 48 hours could trigger a review batch that reprices this market quickly.

The data available — $4,537 in total volume, an 86.2% implied probability, and a neutral trend score — favors the YES side. Here’s what the precursors are telling us: the review base is large enough and positive enough that traders aren’t pricing in meaningful downside. The risk lives at the margins, not at the center of this contract.

LINES VERDICT

QUALIFIED YES LEAN

I Love Boosters has built enough critical goodwill that the 89+ threshold looks well-supported — but thin volume and a 48-hour review window mean this contract carries more volatility than the price suggests.

What the market says: An 86.2% implied probability reflects strong-but-not-certain confidence. With resolution May 26, the market hasn’t fully closed the door on a late-review surprise, and thin liquidity means price can move sharply on a single batch of fresh criticism.

Key unknown: The most important variable before resolution is whether a significant cluster of critic reviews publishes in the next 48 hours — and whether those reviews trend negative enough to move an RT score that appears comfortably above 89%.

This analysis reflects market conditions as of 2026-05-24. Prediction market probabilities are volatile and shift as precursor results, nominations, and industry announcements emerge, especially as the 2026-05-26 resolution date approaches. Lines.com does not accept bets or provide financial or gambling advice. All market outcomes are uncertain.

Market Resolved Outcome: UNCERTAIN
Final Price 14%
Settled May 26, 2026
Duration 6 days

Resolution Analysis

Score Holds Comfortably Above Threshold

If I Love Boosters continues to receive predominantly positive reviews from remaining critics, the RT score stays well above 89% and YES resolves cleanly. A score in the 92-95% range with a robust review count would make the threshold irrelevant by resolution date, pushing the YES contract toward certainty in the final hours.

Late Review Batch Compresses the Score

Rotten Tomatoes scores are vulnerable when review counts are still climbing. If I Love Boosters receives a cluster of mixed-to-negative reviews from late-publishing outlets before May 26, the aggregate could slide toward or below 89%. This risk is small but real, and the NO contract at $0.14 reflects exactly this scenario.

NO Contract Gains Ground on Thin Volume

With only $4,537 in total volume, the NO side doesn't need a massive influx of negative reviews to shift the price. A single high-profile negative review from a prominent critic, combined with modest buying pressure on the NO contract, could reprice this market meaningfully within hours. Thin liquidity amplifies every signal.

Embargo Lift Floods the Review Pool

An unexpected embargo lift or distributor-driven press push in the final 48 hours could dump a large batch of reviews simultaneously onto Rotten Tomatoes. Depending on the quality of those reviews, the score could jump toward 95% or crash below 89%. Either outcome would be decisive, and thin volume means the market would reprice immediately.

Key macro factor: Rotten Tomatoes review counts for 2026 releases are trending higher due to expanded critic accreditation, meaning late-cycle review batches carry more statistical weight than in prior years.

Market Timeline

May 19, 2026, 7:21 PM
Market Created
May 19, 2026, 11:36 PM
Event Start
May 19, 2026, 11:40 PM
Market Opened
May 26, 2026
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.