Chud the Builder charged by May 20?

The market has already priced this as settled. Dalton Eatherly, known online as “Chud the Builder,” was charged with attempted murder on May 13, 2026. Montgomery County authorities booked Eatherly into jail the same evening. At 99.8% YES, the market reached consensus before morning headlines broke.

Eatherly, 28, was involved in a shooting outside the Montgomery County Courthouse in Clarksville, Tennessee. Authorities charged him with attempted murder, employing a firearm during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment with a deadly weapon. The courthouse closed May 14 as the investigation continued.

How the Chud the Builder Charges Contract Works

This contract resolves YES if Dalton Eatherly faces formal criminal charges by May 20, 2026. It resolves NO if no charges are filed before that deadline. The Montgomery County District Attorney’s Office is the relevant charging authority.

• YES is priced at $1.00, reflecting a 99.8% probability that charges were filed.
• NO is priced at $0.00, reflecting a 0.2% probability that no charges stand before May 20.

A NO resolution requires prosecutors to drop every charge lodged on May 13. Eatherly’s booking sheet is a matter of public record. A reversal before May 20 is functionally implausible.

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Market Signals Show Locked Conviction

The momentum composite reads flat on the one-hour change, N/A on the 24-hour change, and 42.19 on the trend score. For Eatherly’s contract, that signal reflects a market with nothing left to react to. Charges landed May 13. The price moved to $1.00 and stayed there.

Total volume sits at $3,199, with all of it trading in the last 24 hours. Liquidity stands at $2,890. Traders put real capital behind a conclusion the facts already support.

Key Factors

• Eatherly was booked into Montgomery County Jail on May 13, 2026, confirming the charging event the contract requires.
• The one-hour change holds at +0.0% and the trend score sits at 42.19, reflecting complete consensus with no residual uncertainty.
• Four charges are on the record: attempted murder, firearm use during a dangerous felony, aggravated assault, and reckless endangerment.
• Open interest reads $0.00. No capital remains exposed to a contrarian outcome.

Lines Analysis: Eatherly Charges

The math doesn’t lie. Eatherly’s charges are on the books. Four distinct counts appear on the charging document. A YES resolution requires only that formal charges exist before May 20. That condition was satisfied six days before the deadline.

A NO outcome requires a full prosecutorial withdrawal or court-ordered dismissal inside six days. Given the severity of the counts and public visibility of the case, that path carries near-zero probability.

Signals to Monitor

• A prosecutorial motion to dismiss all charges before May 20 remains the only path to a NO resolution.
• Eatherly’s prior Nashville arrest on disorderly conduct and theft reduces the probability of any full charge withdrawal.
• The courthouse closure on May 14 signals an active, expanding investigation rather than a contracting one.
• Volume of $3,199 concentrated in the 24-hour window confirms traders entered post-charges. Here’s what the market is missing: there is nothing left to miss.

The $3,199 in total volume reflects a small but decisive market. All capital points one direction. No credible counterargument exists before May 20.

LINES VERDICT

Charges Filed Against Dalton Eatherly

Eatherly was charged with attempted murder and three additional counts on May 13, 2026. The contract’s YES condition was satisfied six days before the deadline, and no procedural path to reversal exists inside that window.

What the market says: At 99.8%, the market has reached a conclusion matching the public record. Volatility before the May 31, 2026 resolution date is near zero unless an extraordinary legal reversal occurs.

Political and Legal Context

Eatherly built his following by livestreaming confrontations using racial slurs in public. The May 13 shooting followed a separate Nashville restaurant arrest on disorderly conduct and theft. That prior record complicates any defense on the attempted murder count.

Both men were transported to nearby hospitals and remained in stable condition as of May 14. The charging window closes May 20. The charges already exist.

Frequently Asked Questions

• What does 99.8% mean? The market assigns near-certainty to formal charges existing before May 20, 2026. A $1.00 YES price treats the outcome as resolved.
• What pays out on NO? The NO contract pays only if all charges are formally dropped before May 20. At $0.00, the market assigns virtually no probability to that.
• What could move this price? Only a full prosecutorial withdrawal of all four counts before May 20 would shift this market toward NO.
• When does this contract close? Charges must exist by May 20, 2026. The contract resolves by May 31, 2026.
• How reliable is the volume? At $3,199 total and $2,890 in liquidity, this is a lower-volume market. The directional signal is clear, but it reflects a niche contract.

This analysis reflects market conditions as of May 14, 2026. Prediction market probabilities are volatile and shift as new information emerges, especially as the 2026-05-31 00:00:00 resolution date approaches. Lines.com does not accept bets or provide financial or gambling advice. All market outcomes are uncertain.