Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by…? $96.5k Volume ↑ 55.9% today View Market June 15 99% Yes No June 14 98% Yes No June 13 95% Yes No +1 more 99% Leading June 15 99% June 14 98% June 13 95% +1 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Houthis successfully target shipping by…? April 30 0% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved Israeli forces enter Beirut by…? April 30 0% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by…? June 30 100% Yes No April 30 100% Yes No Resolved Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote 50-54% 98% Yes No 54%+ 0% Yes No Resolved Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats? 130+ 100% Yes No 100+ 100% Yes No Resolved Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats? 80+ 0% Yes No 100+ 0% Yes No Resolved Military action against Iran ends by…? April 30 100% Yes No May 31 100% Yes No Resolved US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner PB 100% Yes No DPS 0% Yes No Resolved # of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election? 130+ 100% Yes No 70–79 0% Yes No Resolved Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election 77–80% 100% Yes No 74–77% 0% Yes No Resolved # of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election? <70 100% Yes No 70-84 0% Yes No Resolved US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? 93% chance Yes No Resolved US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will Ken Paxton drop out? 0% chance Yes No Resolved New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner Justin Murphy 99% Yes No Alex Zdan 13% Yes No Resolved Will VIX close above 50 by June 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet? Pam Bondi 100% Yes No Marco Rubio 0% Yes No Resolved Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory Tisza 9%+ 99% Yes No Tisza 0-3% 0% Yes No Resolved Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner Tisza 100% Yes No Other 0% Yes No Resolved Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? Kevin Warsh 100% Yes No Judy Shelton 0% Yes No Resolved What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed? US x Iran Ceasefire 100% Yes No New Supreme Leader of Iran 100% Yes No Resolved US announces military support of Iran opposition by…? April 30 0% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved US announces military support of Kurds by…? April 30 0% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by…? June 30 100% Yes No April 30 100% Yes No Resolved Next leader out of power before 2027? Orbán – Hungary PM 100% Yes No Macron – France President 0% Yes No Previous 1 … 50 51 52 53 54 … 56 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
