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Market of the Day

Applied Aerospace & Defense IPO Closing Market Cap

$16.2k Volume ↑ 57% today
$2.75B–$3.25B 97% Yes No
$3.25B–$3.75B 2% Yes No
$4.75B–$5.25B 0% Yes No
+5 more
97% Leading
$2.75B–$3… 97%
$3.25B–$3… 2%
$4.75B–$5… 0%
+5 more
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Moving Now

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

47% chance

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

June 95%
July 3%
Moving Now

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%+ 69%
45%+ 28%

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

5% chance

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 82%
Anthropic 11%

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Earbuds/Headphones 22%
Clip-on device for clothing 19%

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

2% chance

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

97% chance

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B 84%
$1T 80%
Moving Now

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

73% chance

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 49%
Larry Ellison 40%

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

30%+ 100%
35%+ 100%