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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers Predictions

January 1 04:00 PM (Start in -43 Seconds)
ESPN Rose Bowl

Crimson Tide vs. Hoosiers Matchup Overview

The Alabama Crimson Tide face off against the Indiana Hoosiers at the Rose Bowl on January 1st, 2026 at 4:00 pm. Alabama comes into this game with an 11-3 record, while Indiana is unbeaten at 13-0. Check out the current betting odds with Alabama at +206 on the moneyline and Indiana at -253. The spread is set at -7.0 for both teams, with an over-under of 48.0. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best bets for this matchup. Key players to watch include Alabama’s quarterback Ty Simpson, who has thrown for 3,500 yards and 28 touchdowns this season. Germie Bernard and Ryan Williams have also been solid in the receiving game. Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza has been impressive as well, with 2,980 passing yards and 33 touchdowns. However, both teams are dealing with injuries; Alabama has several key players listed as questionable, including LT Overton and Kevin Riley, while Indiana will be without defensive lineman Stephen Daley and running back Lee Beebe Jr. This could impact both teams’ performance on the field.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers
  • Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM
  • Venue: Rose Bowl

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Crimson Tide -7.0 (+6.5 (+100 BetMGM Sportsbook)), Hoosiers -7.0 (-6.5 (-110 Unibet Sportsbook))
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.0 (-114/-109) (Over 48.5 (-110 ), Under 49.5 (-110 Unibet Sportsbook))
  • Moneyline Odds: Crimson Tide +206 (+220 (BetMGM Sportsbook)), Hoosiers -253 (-240 ())

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Crimson Tide a win probability of 31%, while the Hoosiers have a win probability of 69%

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Alabama Crimson Tide 24-28 Indiana Hoosiers with a confidence score of 70%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers Moneyline

The Crimson Tide’s away moneyline odds suggest they could be a tempting pick against the undefeated Hoosiers. With key injuries potentially impacting Alabama’s depth, bettors should consider how Indiana’s strong home record might play a role in this matchup.

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers Point Spread

The Alabama Crimson Tide, with an 11-3 record, face off against the undefeated Indiana Hoosiers at the Rose Bowl. While Alabama’s offense, led by Ty Simpson, has shown the ability to score, injuries on their defensive line could impact their performance against Indiana’s potent attack, led by Fernando Mendoza. This matchup could hinge on how well Alabama manages to contain Indiana’s scoring while potentially covering the spread.

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs Indiana Hoosiers Over/Under

The Crimson Tide and Hoosiers have shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 55.5 points per game in their recent matchups. However, injuries on both sides could impact scoring, particularly with key defensive players questionable for Alabama. The effectiveness of each team’s ground game and red zone efficiency will be crucial in determining if they hit the projected total.

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0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
as Fav
0-0
0-0
as Dog
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
RESULT
WIN 34-24
DATE
12/19
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o40.5
RESULT
LOSE 28-7
DATE
12/06
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u48.5
RESULT
WIN 27-20
DATE
11/29
SPREAD
-6.5
O/U
u48.5
RESULT
WIN 0-56
DATE
11/22
SPREAD
-50.5
O/U
u57.5
RESULT
LOSE 23-21
DATE
11/15
SPREAD
-6.5
O/U
u44.5
RESULT
WIN 10-13
DATE
12/06
SPREAD
+6.5
O/U
u48.5
RESULT
WIN 56-3
DATE
11/28
SPREAD
-28.5
O/U
o53.5
RESULT
WIN 7-31
DATE
11/15
SPREAD
-30.5
O/U
u43.5
RESULT
WIN 27-24
DATE
11/08
SPREAD
-14.5
O/U
o50.5
RESULT
WIN 55-10
DATE
11/01
SPREAD
-21.5
O/U
o50.5

BOX SCORE: NCAAF TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

Offense
440
Points
545
3,783
Passing Yards
3,271
11
Interceptions
18
440
Rushing Attempts
511
1,550
Rushing Yards
2,948
0
Fumbles
0
Defense
250
Points Against
141
9
Fumbles Recovered
8
30
Sacks
39
Passing
C/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
20/32
250.0
2.0
0.4
4/5
41.7
0.7
0.0
5/7
71.5
1.0
0.0
0/0
1.1
0.0
0.0
Rushing
CAR
YDS
AVG
TD
13
50.4
0.4
0.3
6
5.4
0.1
0.1
6
24.6
0.4
0.5
6
24.7
0.4
0.2
3
28.0
1.5
0.6
1
7.2
0.4
0.1
3
14.8
1.1
0.0
1
3.2
0.6
0.0
0
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.0
2.5
0.3
1
8.5
2.9
0.0
1
10.0
10.0
0.0
1
1.0
1.0
0.0
0
0.6
0.6
0.0
Receiving
REC
YDS
AVG
TD
4
57.3
1.0
0.5
3
34.9
1.0
0.4
2
33.9
1.1
0.2
1
18.0
0.9
0.1
2
19.6
1.0
0.1
1
10.8
0.6
0.0
1
16.7
1.5
0.1
1
16.3
1.5
0.3
2
19.0
2.7
0.0
0
3.6
1.2
0.0
3
22.0
7.3
0.0
2
17.0
8.5
0.0
1
3.5
1.8
0.0
1
15.5
7.8
0.5
0
3.8
3.8
0.0
1
2.0
2.0
0.0
Defense
TOT
SOLO
SACK
INT
6
3.8
0
0.1
5
3.3
0
0.0
4
2.9
0
0.3
3
2.9
0
0.0
4
2.3
0
0.1
3
2.3
0
0.0
3
2.1
0
0.0
2
1.7
0
0.0
2
1.6
0
0.2
2
1.5
0
0.2
2
1.4
0
0.0
2
1.1
0
0.0
2
1.4
0
0.1
1
0.8
0
0.0
1
1.2
0
0.0
1
1.0
0
0.0
2
0.6
0
0.0
1
0.6
0
0.0
1
0.4
0
0.0
2
1.0
0
0.0
1
1.0
0
0.0
1
1.0
0
0.0
1
0.0
0
0.0
3
0.0
0
0.0
2
0.0
0
0.0
2
1.0
0
0.0
0
0.1
0
0.0
0
0.1
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.1
0
0.0
0
0.3
0
0.0
1
0.0
0
0.0
full roster
Passing
C/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
17/24
229.2
2.5
0.5
0/0
2.5
0.0
0.0
Rushing
CAR
YDS
AVG
TD
13
70.6
0.4
0.5
11
61.4
0.4
0.5
5
18.5
0.3
0.5
7
50.3
0.7
0.7
9
69.7
2.6
0.3
1
8.0
0.9
0.0
0
6.2
2.1
0.1
2
17.0
8.5
0.0
0
3.0
3.0
0.0
0
0.1
0.1
0.1
Receiving
REC
YDS
AVG
TD
4
69.0
1.2
0.9
5
66.3
1.3
1.2
3
37.8
1.1
0.5
2
46.8
1.8
0.2
2
28.7
1.1
0.2
1
9.6
0.7
0.3
1
12.3
0.9
0.0
1
12.4
1.8
0.4
1
9.8
2.0
0.0
0
1.9
0.6
0.0
0
7.0
3.5
0.0
1
65.0
65.0
1.0
0
1.6
1.6
0.0
0
2.3
2.3
0.0
Defense
TOT
SOLO
SACK
INT
6
3.0
0
0.0
5
3.3
0
0.5
6
3.5
0
0.2
4
2.5
0
0.1
3
2.8
0
0.1
3
2.1
0
0.2
3
1.8
0
0.3
3
2.2
0
0.0
2
1.6
0
0.0
2
1.6
0
0.0
3
1.9
0
0.0
2
0.8
0
0.0
2
0.9
0
0.0
1
0.4
0
0.0
1
1.4
0
0.0
1
0.9
0
0.0
1
0.8
0
0.2
1
1.0
0
0.0
0
0.4
0
0.0
3
1.0
0
0.0
1
0.7
0
0.0
1
1.0
0
0.0
1
0.3
0
0.0
1
0.7
0
0.0
1
1.0
0
0.0
0
0.1
0
0.0
0
0.5
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
1
1.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
1
1.0
0
0.0
0
0.1
0
0.0
1
0.0
0
0.0
full roster