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elmcap2 Politics specialist

0xed10…d2e5 View on Polymarket → Last active 19h ago
$7.0M Total Volume
47 Trades
25 Markets
$1.0M Largest Bet
$149.5k Avg Bet Size
+$17.4k Realized PnL
+0.4% ROI
100.0% Win Rate
18W · 0L Resolved Record
#1,564 Leaderboard Rank
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Cumulative PnL

+$17,445

Alerts for this wallet

Price movement On their active markets FREE
🔒 Whale on this market $100K+ move · real-time VIP
🔒 Convergence signal When 3+ wallets align · 4h VIP
🔒 Pre-news flag Clustering before catalysts VIP
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Category Breakdown

Last 90 days · share of volume
  • Politics 90.0%
  • World 5.1%
  • Elections 3.3%
  • Other 1.6%

Recent Trades

Resolved

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 100%
Yes No
July 31 100%
Yes No
Last bet $55.5k YES @ 100¢ 2 days ago
Total on this market $776.0k across 4 trades
$475.2m Vol.
Resolved

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $60.7k NO @ 99¢ 4 weeks ago
Total on this market $140.0k across 3 trades
$38.3m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Trump out as President by April 30?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $33.1k NO @ 100¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $33.1k across 1 trade
$16.3m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $102.0k NO @ 99¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $102.0k across 1 trade
$38m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

0% chance
Yes No
Last bet $33.3k NO @ 99¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $33.3k across 1 trade
$52.7m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

June 30 100%
Yes No
April 30 100%
Yes No
Last bet $389.7k YES @ 100¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $389.7k across 1 trade
$112.4m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Israel 100%
Yes No
Jordan 100%
Yes No
Last bet $255.6k YES @ 100¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $655.6k across 3 trades
$8.6m Vol.
Resolved

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

April 30 100%
Yes No
December 31 100%
Yes No
Last bet $400.0k YES @ 100¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $736.0k across 2 trades
$278.7m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

US forces enter Iran by..?

December 31 100%
Yes No
April 30 100%
Yes No
Last bet $37.0k YES @ 99¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $37.0k across 1 trade
$362.4m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Fed Decision in June?

No change 100%
Yes No
25 bps decrease 0%
Yes No
Last bet $29.4k YES @ 100¢ 3 days ago
Total on this market $209.6k across 5 trades
$164.6m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Fed decision in April?

No change 100%
Yes No
50+ bps decrease 0%
Yes No
Last bet $350.7k YES @ 100¢ 2 months ago
Total on this market $1.47M across 5 trades
$241.5m Vol. Read Article
Resolved

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar 100%
Yes No
Viktor Orbán 0%
Yes No
Last bet $152.7k YES @ 100¢ 1 month ago
Total on this market $195.3k across 2 trades
$101.1m Vol. Read Article
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