Rolr3

Big Tech

Market of the Day
49% Yes chance
Yes 49%
No 51%
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Resolved

Cerebras IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$50B+ 100%
No IPO before July 2026 0%
Resolved

Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above __ in Q2?

$5.7B 100%
$5.8B 100%
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Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least __ in Q3?

$1.0B 100%
$1.5B 97%
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Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above __ in Q3?

$7.5B 100%
$8.0B 100%
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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

Claude by Anthropic 100%
ChatGPT 0%
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

ChatGPT 100%
Google Gemini 0%
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#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

Shadowrocket 100%
HotSchedules 0%
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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 8)

AI 35+ times 100%
Anthropic 10+ times 100%
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

ChatGPT 100%
Claude by Anthropic 0%
Resolved

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

Shadowrocket 100%
HotSchedules 0%
Resolved

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by…?

May 31 1%
May 8 0%
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Another critical Cloudflare incident by…?

September 30 100%
June 30 97%