Rolr3

Tech

Market of the Day
88% Yes chance
Yes 88%
No 12%
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Resolved

Largest Company end of April?

NVIDIA 100%
Microsoft 0%
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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%+ 100%
60%+ 100%
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Gemini 3.5 released by…?

June 30 100%
May 31 100%
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Another critical Cloudflare incident by…?

April 30 100%
May 31 100%
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Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

100% chance
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Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+ 100%
30%+ 100%
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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

2.0T+ 100%
1.6T–1.8T 0%
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DeepSeek V4 released by…?

May 15 100%
April 30 100%
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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Goldman Sachs 99%
Bank of America 1%
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AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

100% chance
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SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

0% chance
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Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>16m 100%
>12m 100%