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Tech

Market of the Day
93% Yes chance
Yes 93%
No 7%
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Resolved

2nd largest company end of April?

Alphabet 100%
Apple 0%
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3rd largest company end of April?

Apple 100%
Alphabet 0%
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Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Anthropic 100%
OpenAI 0%
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Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Google 100%
Anthropic 0%
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Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 100%
Moonshot 0%
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Claude 4.7 released by…?

May 31 100%
June 30 100%
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GPT-5.5 released by…?

June 30 100%
April 30 100%
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Largest Company end of April?

NVIDIA 100%
Microsoft 0%
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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

40%+ 100%
60%+ 100%
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Gemini 3.5 released by…?

June 30 100%
May 31 100%
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Another critical Cloudflare incident by…?

April 30 100%
May 31 100%
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Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

100% chance