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Market of the Day
88% Yes chance
Yes 88%
No 12%
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#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

Shadowrocket 99%
HotSchedules 1%

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

Steve Jurvetson 100%
Gwynne Shotwell 100%

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

48% chance

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

98% chance

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

8% chance
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SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

55% chance
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SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

88% chance

Which company has the best AI Agent end of June?

OpenAI 47%
Anthropic 37%

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

40%+ 100%
50%+ 23%

Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 74%
Google 9%
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Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

Google 62%
Anthropic 18%

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of July?

Anthropic 83%
Amazon 10%