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Tech

Market of the Day

Best AI model on June 20?

$6.6k Volume ↑ 49% today
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 90% Yes No
claude-fable-5 11% Yes No
Other 1% Yes No
+1 more
90% Leading
claude-op… 90%
claude-fa… 11%
Other 1%
+1 more
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Human moon landing in 2026?

3% chance

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

98% chance

Meta "Mango" model released by…?

June 30 12%
March 31 0%

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Anthropic 100%
OpenAI 5%

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 1500 100%
↑ 1550 20%

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 2028 55%
75B–100B 13%

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12% chance

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

12% chance

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

29% chance

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7% chance
Moving Now

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

79% chance

Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?

100% chance