Home / Prediction Markets / Sports / New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings Result: Liberty Win 99-98 OT New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings Result: Liberty Win 99-98 OT View on Polymarket → Share Market called it correctly Implied 100% at publication · Resolved YES · Brier score: 0.00 See full track record SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert Market Resolved Embed NEW Embed this market Full Compact Copy Published July 20, 2026 5 min read Resolution Verdict NEW YORK LIBERTY Market Resolved Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%. Resolved Overview Whale activity Volume $948.1K $943.9K in 24h Liquidity $58.3K Moderate depth Time Left Ended Resolves Jul 21 948K Vol. Ended 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Select lines to display New York Liberty $695K Vol. 100% Yes -- No 0¢ Dallas Wings $695K Vol. 0% Yes 0¢ No -- Largest Trade $48,899 DLEK (-$113) voted with: NYL · NEW YORK L Jul 20, 2026 at 5:51pm Trader Rank Amount Position Volume PnL ROI Time DLEK #1,654,731 $48,899 NYL NEW YORK L $451.6K -$113 0.0% 17 hours ago DLEK #1,654,731 $43,326 NYL NEW YORK L $451.6K -$113 0.0% 17 hours ago The New York Liberty beat the Dallas Wings 99-98 in overtime on July 20, 2026, settling the New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings prediction market with a hard-fought road win. Breanna Stewart posted 33 points, 13 rebounds, and eight assists, while Sabrina Ionescu poured in 12 of her 21 points during the five-minute overtime period to seal the result. The Polymarket prediction market closed at 100 percent in favor of the New York Liberty, reflecting a resolved outcome. The market opened close to even and swung sharply toward New York as the Liberty clawed back in the fourth quarter and seized control in overtime, correctly favoring the Liberty by the final buzzer. Sponsored Partner What Happened: New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings The New York Liberty arrived in Arlington carrying a four-game losing skid and faced a Dallas Wings squad that had won six straight. Dallas Wings entered at 17-9, one of the hottest teams in the WNBA, and held a third-quarter lead that looked likely to extend the Liberty’s rough stretch. New York Liberty clawed back in the fourth quarter, forcing overtime in a tightly contested finish. Breanna Stewart was the engine throughout, finishing with 33 points, 13 rebounds, and eight assists. Sabrina Ionescu caught fire when it mattered most, scoring 12 of her game-total 21 points inside the five-minute overtime period. Arike Ogunbowale kept the short-handed Dallas Wings in the game and launched a runner as time expired in overtime, but the shot glanced off the rim. New York Liberty escaped with the 99-98 win and snapped the skid, improving to 14-12 on the season. How the Market Called It The Polymarket market on this game closed at 100 percent for the New York Liberty, reflecting full resolution. Entering game day, the market had priced this contest close to a coin flip, with the Liberty carrying roughly even odds against the surging Wings. The 24-hour price surge of nearly 40 percent captured the swing as New York took control late and in overtime. The market correctly favored the New York Liberty at close. Total volume reached $948,072, with $943,874 of that trading in the final 24 hours, a sign of heavy late-game activity as the result crystallized. That depth of capital behind the final read makes this a well-validated market call, even if the path there was anything but smooth. Where the Big Money Landed Wallet DLEK placed two large positions in the Liberty win market during the contest. DLEK committed $48,899 on New York Liberty at 64.4 cents and followed with a second position of $43,326 at 62.5 cents, backing the Liberty to hold on. Both positions came in during a volatile stretch when the Wings still had a credible path to winning. The Liberty did hold on, but the timing of those entries — before the market fully resolved — left DLEK with a marginal combined loss of roughly $113 on the two trades, as prices had dipped slightly below those entry points before snapping back to full resolution. What Is Next for the New York Liberty The New York Liberty have snapped their skid and head into the second half of the 2026 WNBA regular season with momentum restored. Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu have demonstrated they can deliver in hostile road environments against top competition. Traders looking to back the Liberty’s continued run can find live markets on Lines.com, including the WNBA category hub for futures, player props, and upcoming game markets. The Dallas Wings drop to 17-10 but remain one of the WNBA’s best records. Paige Bueckers and Jessica Shepard continue to anchor a deep roster, and live markets on Dallas are available on Lines.com for their next contest. Keep an eye on injury news, as Dallas played short-handed in this one, and any roster updates will move the market quickly. LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT NEW YORK LIBERTY The New York Liberty won 99-98 in overtime, matching what a fully resolved market confirmed at the final buzzer. Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu delivered when the skid needed ending most, and the market — which opened near even — ultimately got the call right. Frequently Asked QuestionsWho won New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings?The New York Liberty won, defeating the Dallas Wings 99-98 in overtime on July 20, 2026. The win snapped a four-game losing skid for New York and handed Dallas their first loss in seven games.What was the final score of New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings?The final score was New York Liberty 99, Dallas Wings 98. The game went to overtime after the two teams were tied at the end of regulation.Did the favorite win, and what did the market price?The Polymarket prediction market closed at 100 percent for the New York Liberty, reflecting full resolution. The market opened near 50 percent for each team and correctly shifted toward New York as the Liberty took control in overtime.How did the New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings game resolve — regulation, overtime, or other?The game went to overtime. Dallas Wings had a lead heading into the fourth quarter, but the New York Liberty tied the game to force a five-minute overtime period, which New York won 99-98.What is next for the New York Liberty, and where can traders trade it?The New York Liberty continue their 2026 WNBA regular season schedule. Traders can find live prediction markets on the Liberty's next game and WNBA futures on Lines.com, a Polymarket-integrated prediction market platform.How is the Smart Money Index calculated?We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.What is a convergence signal?A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.Is Lines a market operator?No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. Market Resolved Outcome: YES Final Price 100% Settled Jul 21, 2026 Duration 4 days Resolution Analysis Liberty Stars Deliver Breanna Stewart posts a dominant two-way performance while Sabrina Ionescu continues her scoring resurgence. New York's defensive structure limits Paige Bueckers and the Wings to inefficient looks, and the Liberty pull away in the second half to cover the spread comfortably. Wings Push the Pace Dallas exploits transition opportunities and Paige Bueckers takes over as the primary creator. The Wings' perimeter shooting clicks against a Liberty defense that struggles to rotate, and Dallas pulls a home-court upset at College Park Center. Wings Erase Early Deficit New York builds a first-half lead behind Breanna Stewart, but the Wings use a Paige Bueckers-led third-quarter run to pull even. Dallas closes the game on a perimeter shooting barrage and holds on for a narrow win. Jonquel Jones Ankle Factor If Jonquel Jones is limited by her ankle concern, the Liberty lose a key interior dimension. Dallas exploits that absence inside, Paige Bueckers controls tempo, and the Wings win outright as the market's 38-percent probability proves accurate. Key macro factor: Sabrina Ionescu's back-injury return to form and the Liberty's Commissioner's Cup championship win over the Aces drove a sharp 24-hour surge in market confidence, locking in New York as a clear WNBA regular-season favorite. Market Timeline Jul 16, 10:00 PM Market Created Jul 16, 10:00 PM Market Opened 12:00 AM Market Resolution Related Prediction Markets Moving Now Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick NOGUCHI 57% SHICK 43% NOGUCHI SHICK Read Article Moving Now Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan WATANUK 67% ILAGAN 34% WATANUK ILAGAN Read Article Moving Now LoL: RED Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season NERD 100% REDA 0% NERD REDA Read Article Moving Now Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC CHI 57% Draw 16% VWH 28% CHI DRAW VWH Read Article Moving Now St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds CIN 58% STL 42% CIN STL Read Article Moving Now Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier NIP 53% M80 48% NIP M80 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals STL 55% ARI 46% STL ARI Read Article Moving Now KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins 22% chance Yes No Read Article Moving Now Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan BARTUNK 76% YUAN 24% BARTUNK YUAN Read Article Loading... Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on Market Comments Loading comments… Whale activity on this market Last 30 days. Cohort is the top tracked wallets by 30-day volume. Whale volume (30d) $92K 9.7% of market Unique whales 1 traded in window Net positioning $0 cohort leans YES Largest single $49K DLEK on NEW YORK L Top whales holding this market # Wallet Cluster Side Size Entry 1 DLEK Sports sharp NYL · NEW YORK L $49K $0.64 · 17 hours ago Pre-news entries indicate the trade preceded the news event. They do not imply insider information. Probabilities are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.
