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CS2 Map Removal Result: Valve Removed Train by June 30

CS2 Map Removal Result: Valve Removed Train by June 30

SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
Market Resolved
Embed this market
Resolution Verdict
TRAIN REMOVED (YES) Market Resolved

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 100%.

Resolved
Volume
$791.8K
$162 in 24h
Liquidity
$178.7K
Deep liquidity
7-Day Move
+0%
Stable
Time Left
Ended
Resolves Jun 30
792K Vol. Ended
Train $2K Vol.
100%
Mirage $11K Vol.
0%
Inferno $80K Vol.
0%
Nuke $77K Vol.
0%
Dust 2 $81K Vol.
0%
Overpass $534K Vol.
0%

Valve removed Train from the CS2 Active Duty map pool on January 22, 2026, settling the Polymarket question Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30? with Train as the resolved outcome. Anubis replaced Train as Premier Season Four launched, ending Train’s roughly one-year run in competitive rotation.

The Polymarket market closed at 100 percent for the Train outcome. Traders had correctly locked in Train as the map Valve would cut, and the January 22 announcement confirmed that read well before the June 30 deadline.

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What Happened: Valve Cuts Train, Brings Back Anubis

Valve officially dropped Train from the Active Duty pool on January 22, 2026, coinciding with the start of CS2 Premier Season Four. Anubis returned to replace Train, arriving back after a roughly six-month absence from competitive rotation. Train had been in the pool since January 2025, logging 1,942 plays over its run. Anubis, by contrast, had been the second most popular map on HLTV in 2024 before its removal in June 2025, which made its comeback broadly expected.

The change took effect across Premier and carried into tournament organizer rotations. BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 adopted Anubis starting January 13 for its Closed Qualifier, and IEM Kraków followed from January 28. Train did not survive the seasonal rotation reset, while Mirage, Inferno, Nuke, Dust 2, Overpass, and Ancient remained in the pool alongside the returning Anubis.

How the Market Called It

The Polymarket market closed at 100 percent for Train, meaning traders placed all available capital on Train as the removal outcome. The market drew $791,768 in total volume, a figure that reflects strong trader conviction from early in the contract’s life. Train’s removal settled the outcome cleanly, and the market read it correctly throughout.

Mirage, Inferno, Nuke, Dust 2, Overpass, and Ancient all remained in the Active Duty pool through June 30, confirming the alternative outcomes did not resolve. The Train outcome stood alone, and the market’s 100 percent close proved accurate. Trader sentiment was strongly bullish on Train the entire way, with no meaningful price movement recorded at any point in the contract’s history.

What Is Next

With Train resolved, CS2 market activity shifts to the next cycle of map pool decisions and tournament performance. Valve has not announced a further map rotation ahead of the next Premier season, but the competitive CS2 calendar continues with major events scheduled through the second half of 2026. Traders following CS2 and Valve decisions can find live prediction markets at Lines.com, including active esports markets and the broader sports hub. Related live markets on the platform cover the FIFA World Cup winner, F1 Drivers’ Champion, and the NFL Champion 2027, offering action across major global competitions.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

TRAIN

Valve removed Train from the CS2 Active Duty map pool on January 22, 2026, replacing it with Anubis for Premier Season Four. The result matched the market perfectly, with traders correctly calling Train as the sole removal well before the June 30 deadline.

Frequently Asked Questions

Valve removed Train from the CS2 Active Duty map pool on January 22, 2026. The Polymarket resolution confirmed Train as the sole map removed, settling the market well before the June 30, 2026 deadline.

Train was the winning outcome. The other candidates — Mirage, Inferno, Nuke, Dust 2, Overpass, and Ancient — all remained in the Active Duty pool through June 30, 2026.

Yes. The market closed Train at 100 percent, the maximum possible. Traders placed all capital on Train as the removal outcome, and the January 22 Valve announcement confirmed that read accurately.

Anubis replaced Train when Valve launched CS2 Premier Season Four on January 22, 2026. Anubis had been removed from the pool in June 2025 and returned after a roughly six-month absence.

Live esports and CS2-related prediction markets are available on Lines.com. The platform's esports hub lists active contracts alongside major sports markets covering the World Cup, F1, NFL, and more.

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

Market Resolved Outcome: YES
Final Price 100%
Settled Jun 30, 2026
Duration 145 days

Resolution Analysis

Train Removal Supporting Factors

Train ranked as the lowest-picked map in CS2 professional vetoes throughout the 2025-26 season. Casual matchmaking queues also showed Train as the most-avoided selection. Valve has cycled Train out of competitive pools before and the June 30 timeline aligns with a natural break between major tournament slates.

Train Removal Risk Factors

Valve could announce a Train rework that resets the removal conversation entirely. A delay in the official pool announcement past June 30 would prevent YES resolution regardless of Valve's long-term intentions. Both scenarios remain theoretical given zero capital has moved toward NO.

Train Survival Scenario

A surprise Valve developer blog post detailing Train improvements or a community playtest announcement could flip the narrative before June 30. If professional teams begin picking Train more actively at BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026, Valve might delay the rotation decision beyond the contract deadline.

Wildcard Factor

Valve occasionally bundles map pool announcements with major CS2 updates that include unexpected additions and removals simultaneously. A surprise pool overhaul removing multiple maps at once, including a crowd favorite, could shift attention away from Train and create ambiguity around which map officially triggered the contract resolution.

Key macro factor: The Cache addition market sitting at 44% links directly to Train's removal, suggesting traders are already pricing the next map pool cycle as a package deal.

Market Timeline

Jan 6, 2026, 8:06 PM
Market Created
Jan 6, 2026, 10:00 PM
Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 10:00 PM
Event Start
Jun 30, 2026
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.