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Ewing vs. Basharat UFC 329 Result: Fight Went the Distance

Ewing vs. Basharat UFC 329 Result: Fight Went the Distance

SS Steve Silverman Sport Expert
Market Resolved
Embed this market
Resolution Verdict
FARID BASHARAT Market Resolved

Market has ended. Final implied probability: 50%.

Resolved
Volume
$7.8K
$57 in 24h
Liquidity
$17.0K
Moderate depth
7-Day Move
+0%
Stable
Time Left
Ended
Resolves Jul 12
8K Vol. Ended
Farid Basharat
Farid Basharat $7K Vol.
51%
Ethyn Ewing
Ethyn Ewing $7K Vol.
50%

Farid Basharat entered UFC 329 under unusual circumstances after Ethyn Ewing vs. Farid Basharat, the originally scheduled bantamweight early prelim, fell apart one week before fight night. Ewing withdrew due to injury, and late replacement John Garza stepped in, leaving the Polymarket prediction on whether the fight would go the distance in a dead heat at resolution. The market closed at exactly 50 percent on each side, reflecting genuine trader uncertainty about how a mismatched short-notice contest would unfold.

Basharat, ranked No. 15 in the UFC bantamweight division and carrying a perfect 15-0 professional record, entered as the overwhelming skill favorite despite the market’s coin-flip read. The distance market closed with neither side holding an edge, meaning traders split evenly on whether Basharat would finish Garza inside the scheduled rounds or whether Garza would survive to the final bell.

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What Happened: Ewing Out, Garza In at UFC 329

Ethyn Ewing disclosed his withdrawal on Instagram roughly five weeks after sustaining what he called a detrimental injury. Marcel Dorff confirmed the replacement pairing on July 5, 2026, six days before the card. John Garza, a 6-1 regional prospect with a 7-3 amateur background, accepted the assignment on short notice at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Garza entered the cage against one of the division’s most polished undefeated prospects. Basharat built his perfect record through a combination of sharp grappling and disciplined striking, making him a dangerous short-notice assignment for any fighter stepping up on days’ notice. The early prelim bantamweight bout carried meaningful implications for Basharat’s divisional climb regardless of the opponent change.

How the Market Called It

The Polymarket fight-goes-the-distance market closed at 50 percent for YES and 50 percent for NO, which is about as flat a read as a prediction market can produce. Traders backed neither outcome with conviction, a logical response to a late-replacement fight where Garza’s ceiling and floor were genuinely unknown.

The market drew $7,774 in total volume against $17,025 in liquidity, modest figures that reflect the early-prelim placement and the last-minute opponent change. With open interest at zero at resolution, all positions had settled. The 50-50 close means the market offered no directional signal — a neutral call on a contest that was structurally unpredictable from the moment Ewing stepped aside.

What Is Next for Farid Basharat

Basharat moves forward as one of the UFC bantamweight division’s top undefeated prospects regardless of how the distance question resolved. A win here — however it came — keeps his run intact and pushes him closer to the ranked contenders above him at 135 pounds. Traders looking to follow Basharat’s next UFC booking can find live prediction markets at Lines.com under the UFC and MMA hub, where bantamweight futures and upcoming card markets update in real time.

For fans who tracked the Ewing vs. Basharat market from its original posting, the next chapter belongs entirely to Basharat. Lines.com carries the full UFC 329 market suite and upcoming bantamweight bouts, making it the destination for traders who want to stay ahead of the division’s fastest risers.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

FARID BASHARAT

Basharat navigated a late opponent change and fought on schedule at UFC 329, keeping his undefeated record intact. The market’s dead-even 50-50 close reflected trader uncertainty about the distance question rather than doubt about the outcome itself.

Frequently Asked Questions

Ethyn Ewing never fought at UFC 329. Ewing withdrew due to injury roughly one week before the event on July 11, 2026. Farid Basharat fought late replacement John Garza instead, with the market resolving on July 12, 2026.

Farid Basharat faced John Garza at UFC 329 after Ethyn Ewing pulled out injured. Basharat entered 15-0 as the heavy skill favorite over Garza, who stepped in on six days' notice with a 6-1 professional record.

The Polymarket fight-goes-the-distance market closed at exactly 50% YES and 50% NO, reflecting a coin-flip read. Traders split evenly given the uncertainty of a short-notice replacement fight. The market drew $7,774 in total volume.

Ethyn Ewing withdrew from the bout citing a serious injury sustained five weeks earlier. UFC found replacement John Garza by July 5, 2026, and the bantamweight early prelim proceeded at UFC 329 as Basharat vs. Garza on July 11.

Basharat continues his undefeated run in the UFC bantamweight division and is expected to face a ranked opponent in his next booking. Traders can find live prediction markets for Basharat's next fight at Lines.com's UFC and MMA hub.

We aggregate the live positions of the top 50 Polymarket whales (ranked by 30-day tracked volume) into one composite reading per market. It refreshes every hour. The percentage shows how many of those whales hold YES versus NO; the net dollar position shows the cohort's directional exposure in dollars.

A convergence event fires when three or more tracked wallets buy the same outcome on the same market within a four-hour window. We surface these in the activity feed and the VIP digest.

No. Lines is an editorial and data product. We do not operate prediction markets, custody funds, or accept trades. All trade flows deep-link to Polymarket via our affiliate code. Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations.

Market Resolved Outcome: UNCERTAIN
Final Price 50%
Settled Jul 12, 2026
Duration 14 days

Resolution Analysis

Basharat Secures a Submission Finish

Farid Basharat's six career submission wins and elite grappling at American Top Team make an early-round takedown-to-finish sequence the most likely path to a NO outcome. If Basharat lands a takedown in round one and advances position, Ewing's injury-diminished base could limit his ability to defend, bringing the fight to a close before the final horn.

Fight Goes the Full Three Rounds

Farid Basharat's two most recent UFC bouts ended in decisions — over Chris Gutierrez and Jean Matsumoto — suggesting his finishing power has cooled against more experienced competition. If Ewing enters healthy and uses movement to avoid grappling exchanges, Basharat's tendency to win ugly and late pushes the distance probability toward YES.

Ewing Survives and Steals Rounds

Ethyn Ewing owns a 10-2 record and has shown he can compete in close fights. If Ewing's injury resolves fully before fight night and he uses active footwork to neutralize Basharat's takedown entries, the distance question shifts toward YES and the Ewing upset becomes a live narrative entering round three.

Late Replacement Changes Everything

Ewing withdrew from UFC 329, and the UFC confirmed a replacement search is underway. A short-notice substitute would carry different finishing rates, physical conditioning, and stylistic tendencies — potentially swinging the distance market significantly away from the current 50/50 equilibrium based entirely on the replacement's fight history.

Key macro factor: Ewing's confirmed injury withdrawal and the UFC replacement search are the dominant variables. Any health update or replacement announcement before July 11 weigh-ins will reprice this market.

Market Timeline

Jun 27, 2026, 10:00 PM
Market Created
Jun 27, 2026, 10:03 PM
Market Opened
Jun 27, 2026, 10:03 PM
Event Start
Sunday, Jul 12
Market Resolution

Market Comments

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only.