New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Result: NRFI Confirmed

The New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers NRFI prediction market settled YES on July 20, 2026, after neither team scored in the opening inning of their American Family Field matchup. Milwaukee starter Logan Yoho and New York Mets right-hander Freddy Peralta both retired the side in order to deliver a clean first inning, locking in the outcome the market had been pricing toward.

Polymarket closed the NRFI market at 100 percent probability, reflecting full resolution in favor of the no-run outcome. The market correctly captured what the pitching matchup suggested: two capable arms holding the opposition off the board in the game’s opening frame.

What Happened: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Freddy Peralta returned to Milwaukee and faced his former Brewers club for the first time as a Met. Peralta spent eight seasons in Milwaukee, posting a 3.59 ERA and earning two All-Star selections. Peralta carried a 4.66 ERA into Sunday’s start but was sharp in the first frame, holding the Brewers scoreless and setting the NRFI market in motion.

Logan Yoho opened on the mound for Milwaukee, facing just four batters before giving way to Jacob Misiorowski. Misiorowski entered Sunday at 10-4 with a 1.62 ERA, one of the best marks in the National League. The Brewers kept New York off the board in the first, matching Peralta’s scoreless frame and locking in the NRFI outcome.

Milwaukee’s offense came to life after the first inning. Brewers infielder Brice Turang drove in a run to put the home team in front, and Andrew Vaughn added a two-run home run off Peralta in the third. Cal Pratt added a solo shot in the second. Despite the Brewers’ punch, Peralta earned the win as New York came back for the victory in regulation.

How the Market Called It: NRFI Polymarket Accuracy Read

Polymarket closed the New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers NRFI market at 100 percent, confirming the YES outcome — no run scored in the first inning. The market priced NRFI at roughly 50 percent at open and surged sharply in the final 24 hours, climbing 31 percentage points as traders piled onto the YES side. That late-market move correctly anticipated the outcome, making this a market that correctly favored the NRFI result by close.

The market drew $683,176 in total volume, with $672,910 of that flowing in the final 24 hours. That concentration of late capital behind a single direction underscores how decisively traders committed to the NRFI outcome before first pitch.

Game Stats

• Players
• Team

Batters	AB	HR	RBI	H
B.Bichette 3B	395	10	51	101
C.Benge RF	364	11	38	95
B.Baty 3B	303	5	32	67
J.Soto LF	289	21	52	83
M.Vientos 1B	237	11	35	50
F.Alvarez C	218	11	24	56
A.Ewing CF	214	7	25	58
F.Lindor SS	168	6	16	37
L.Torrens C	166	2	19	37
J.Young 1B	148	6	18	36
T.Taylor CF	126	7	18	29
R.Mauricio SS	50	1	2	9
E.Wagaman 1B	37	2	4	6

Starting pitcher	IP	ER	K	BB
F.Peralta SP	109	61	110	46

Pitchers	IP	ER	K	BB
N.McLean SP	113	42	135	41
F.Peralta SP	109	61	110	46
S.Manaea RP	79	42	81	26
C.Scott SP	59	19	72	26
H.Brazobán RP	47	14	46	22
K.Senga SP	40	40	49	30
L.Weaver RP	40	9	43	11
C.Pérez RP	37	23	34	16
B.Raley RP	35	8	37	14
A.Warren RP	35	18	37	18
D.Williams RP	32	17	45	19
A.Minter RP	20	4	17	1
J.Gerber RP	8	4	8	4
L.Torrens C	0	1	0	0
F.Lindor SS	0	0	0	0
J.Soto LF	0	0	0	0
B.Bichette 3B	0	0	0	0
F.Alvarez C	0	0	0	0
B.Baty 3B	0	0	0	0
J.Young 1B	0	0	0	0
A.Ewing CF	0	0	0	0
R.Mauricio SS	0	0	0	0
C.Benge RF	0	0	0	0
M.Vientos 1B	0	0	0	0
T.Taylor CF	0	0	0	0
E.Wagaman 1B	0	0	0	0

INJURY REPORT

NAME	POS	STATUS	INJURY	NOTES
Joey Gerber	POS RP	STATUS Questionable	INJURY Undisclosed	Notes Gerber is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mets.

full roster and injuries

Batters	AB	HR	RBI	H
B.Turang 2B	368	14	61	96
W.Contreras C	357	10	57	99
J.Bauers 1B	308	18	59	79
G.Mitchell CF	286	8	48	81
S.Frelick RF	276	4	34	65
J.Chourio LF	274	13	39	76
C.Yelich DH	258	6	33	62
J.Ortiz SS	225	5	26	51
D.Hamilton 3B	204	3	15	49
A.Vaughn 1B	157	3	26	49
G.Sánchez C	143	8	25	32
B.Perkins CF	89	1	11	14
C.Pratt SS	86	1	8	23
L.Matos RF	20	0	0	4

Starting pitcher	IP	ER	K	BB
J.Misiorowski SP	115	20	173	28

Pitchers	IP	ER	K	BB
J.Misiorowski SP	115	20	173	28
K.Harrison SP	83	28	101	20
B.Sproat SP	82	47	87	39
C.Patrick SP	76	29	65	28
S.Drohan RP	76	27	76	21
A.Ashby RP	57	22	78	29
B.Woodruff SP	45	15	47	10
G.Anderson RP	44	17	36	18
A.Uribe RP	40	11	39	15
T.Megill RP	38	12	48	10
J.Kuhnel RP	35	19	22	12
J.Koenig RP	7	7	7	7
G.Stallings SP	3	0	4	1
C.Yelich DH	0	0	0	0
J.Bauers 1B	0	0	0	0
W.Contreras C	0	0	0	0
B.Turang 2B	0	0	0	0
A.Vaughn 1B	0	0	0	0
G.Mitchell CF	0	0	0	0
J.Ortiz SS	0	0	0	0
J.Chourio LF	0	0	0	0
C.Pratt SS	0	0	0	0
B.Perkins CF	0	0	0	0
D.Hamilton 3B	0	0	0	0
S.Frelick RF	0	0	0	0
L.Matos RF	0	0	0	0
G.Sánchez C	0	0	0	0

full roster

NYM

MIL

0

At Bats

0

0

Runs

0

0

Hits

0

0

Walks

0

0

Strikeouts

0

0.302

On Base Percentage

0.335

0.380

Slugging Percentage

0.399

4.27

Earned Run Average

3.44

0

Earned Runs

0

0

Home Runs

0

0

Walks

0

0

Strikeouts

0

0

Strikeouts Per 9 Innings

0

1.31

Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched

1.16

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Where the Big Money Landed

Whale trader surfandturf placed the largest single position in this market, committing $175,714 to the YES (NRFI) side at 66 percent. That trade alone accounted for all $175,714 in large-trade volume tracked over the seven-day window, with zero dollars on the NO side — a one-directional whale position with no offsetting capital from large accounts.

Despite the market resolving YES, surfandturf’s position posted a reported profit-and-loss figure of -$156,900, reflecting the trader’s cost basis relative to position accounting. The NRFI outcome settled correctly, but the whale’s entry price and position structure produced that reported figure per the market data.

What Is Next: Mets and Brewers Live Markets

The Milwaukee Brewers hold first place in the NL Central at 62-37 and remain one of the strongest World Series contenders in the National League. Jacob Misiorowski, who entered this game at 10-4 with a 1.62 ERA, gives Milwaukee a rotation anchor that keeps the Brewers in the MLB title conversation all summer. The New York Mets, sitting fifth in the NL East at 42-58, continue to search for consistency in a tough division.

Traders looking for the next live market should check the MLB World Series Champion 2026 market, where Milwaukee is a live contender, and the broader MLB hub on Lines.com for active game and series markets across the league.

LINES RESOLUTION VERDICT

NRFI (No Run First Inning)

Neither the Mets nor the Brewers scored in the first inning on July 20, 2026, settling the NRFI market YES and matching what the closing market strongly favored.